Climate Risk in Jeir, New South Wales

Jeir, New South Wales· Yass Valley
Medium Risk
Updated May 2026

Jeir faces moderate risks from flooding and heatwaves, with bushfire risk also present. Climate change is expected to increase the intensity and frequency of these events, posing challenges for the community.

Overall Risk Score

55/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.0
Bushfire
4.0
Heat
7.0
Coastal
1.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Jeir

increasing

Flood

60/100

Jeir faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, potentially worsening flood events.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Proximity to waterways
increasing

Bushfire

40/100

The risk of bushfires in Jeir is moderate, given the surrounding bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures due to climate change may exacerbate bushfire risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Higher temperatures
increasing

Heat

70/100

Jeir is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. Higher average temperatures can pose health risks, especially for vulnerable populations.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
stable

Coastal

10/100

Jeir is not exposed to coastal risks due to its inland location.

stable

Wind

28/100

Moderate wind risk — East Coast Lows and gust fronts

stable

Storm

39/100

Moderate storm risk — severe thunderstorms and hail

stable

Social

21/100

Moderate social stability — mixed urban density

increasing

Energy

35/100

Moderate energy costs — climate-driven cooling demand

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Jeir

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

70/100

Jeir is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. Higher average temperatures can pose health risks, especially for vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.5

2050

8.0

Data source

flood Risk

60/100

Jeir faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, potentially worsening flood events.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Proximity to waterways
  • ·Low-lying areas

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.0

Data source

coastal Risk

10/100

Jeir is not exposed to coastal risks due to its inland location.

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

1.0

2050

1.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

40/100

The risk of bushfires in Jeir is moderate, given the surrounding bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures due to climate change may exacerbate bushfire risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Higher temperatures
  • ·Proximity to bushland

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.5

2050

5.0

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to flood and bushfire risks.

Price Impact

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience price stagnation or decline.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
  • 2.Assess bushfire risk and implement mitigation measures.
  • 3.Ensure adequate insurance coverage.
  • 4.Consider energy efficiency measures to reduce heat stress.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Yass River
Elevation Range
530-580m
Flood Zone
Areas near Yass River are prone to flooding.

Historical flood data indicates that properties near the Yass River are most vulnerable.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Adjacent to Murrumbateman State Forest
Planning Overlay
Refer to NSW RFS for bushfire prone area maps.
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

Properties bordering the state forest require adequate bushfire protection measures.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
30.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
3 days

The number of days exceeding 35°C is projected to increase.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
150 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Not applicable
Erosion Risk
Not applicable

Historical Climate Events

2010
floodModerate

Significant flooding along the Yass River affected low-lying areas in and around Jeir.

Source
2013
bushfireMinor

A bushfire near Murrumbateman State Forest threatened properties in Jeir.

Source
2017
heatwaveModerate

A prolonged heatwave resulted in high temperatures and heat stress in the region.

Source
2019
droughtMajor

Severe drought conditions impacted agriculture and water resources in the Yass Valley region.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood606.5(+0.5)7.0(+1.0)
bushfire404.3(+0.3)4.5(+0.5)
heat707.7(+0.7)8.2(+1.2)
coastal101.01.0

By 2030, Jeir is projected to experience a notable increase in heatwave frequency and intensity, along with a heightened risk of flooding due to more intense rainfall events. Bushfire risk is also expected to increase slightly.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Flood Defenses

Near-term

Invest in infrastructure to mitigate flood risks, such as improved drainage systems and flood barriers.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Enhance Bushfire Preparedness

Near-term

Implement bushfire mitigation measures, including clearing vegetation around properties and developing evacuation plans.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Promote Heatwave Awareness

Immediate

Educate residents about the risks of heatwaves and provide resources for staying cool during hot weather.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Conserve Water Resources

Long-term

Implement water conservation measures to address drought risks and ensure sustainable water supplies.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Support Community Resilience

Long-term

Foster community networks and support systems to help residents cope with climate-related challenges.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Jeir's Climate Risk Profile

Jeir, located in New South Wales, is subject to a range of climate-related risks. The primary concerns are flooding due to increased rainfall intensity and heatwaves resulting from rising average temperatures. Bushfire risk is also a factor, given the surrounding bushland.

Flooding is a significant concern, particularly in low-lying areas near waterways. Climate change models predict more intense rainfall events, which could lead to more frequent and severe flooding. Residents should be aware of flood risks and take appropriate precautions.

Heatwaves are another growing threat. Higher average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves can pose health risks, especially for the elderly and those with pre-existing conditions. It's important to stay informed about heatwave warnings and take steps to stay cool during hot weather.

While Jeir is not directly exposed to coastal risks, the broader impacts of climate change, such as disruptions to supply chains and increased demand for resources, could still affect the community. Preparing for these broader impacts is essential for long-term resilience.

Addressing these climate risks requires a combination of individual actions, community initiatives, and government policies. By working together, the community can enhance its resilience and adapt to the changing climate.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · NSW RFS · Yass Valley Council

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks facing Jeir?

The main climate risks include flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. These risks are expected to increase in the future due to climate change.

How can I prepare my property for flooding?

You can prepare your property by elevating structures, installing flood barriers, and ensuring proper drainage. Check the Yass Valley Council website for flood maps and advice.

What should I do during a heatwave?

During a heatwave, stay indoors in air-conditioned environments, drink plenty of water, and avoid strenuous activities. Check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.

How can I reduce my bushfire risk?

Reduce your bushfire risk by clearing vegetation around your property, maintaining your gutters, and having a bushfire survival plan. Refer to the NSW RFS website for more information.

Where can I find more information about climate change projections for Jeir?

You can find more information about climate change projections on the CSIRO website and the NSW Government's climate change website.

What is the council doing to address climate change?

The Yass Valley Council is developing and implementing climate strategies to reduce emissions and enhance community resilience. Check the council's website for updates.

Get your property's risk report

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What A$69 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

Climate Risk in Jeir Nsw, NSW: 2026 Assessment | ClimateNest