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Climate Risk in Jennings, New South Wales

Jennings, New South Wales· 2365
Medium Risk
Updated May 2026

Jennings, NSW, faces increasing risks from flooding and bushfires due to climate change. The area will likely experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. Residents should prepare for these challenges.

Overall Risk Score

58/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.5
Bushfire
7.0
Heat
4.5
Coastal
1.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Jennings

increasing

Flood

65/100

Jennings faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Riverine flooding
increasing

Bushfire

70/100

Jennings has a high bushfire risk due to surrounding bushland. Hotter, drier conditions are projected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier vegetation
increasing

Heat

45/100

Jennings experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves projected. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·More frequent heatwaves
stable

Coastal

10/100

Jennings is not directly exposed to coastal risks.

stable

Wind

28/100

Moderate wind risk — East Coast Lows and gust fronts

stable

Storm

39/100

Moderate storm risk — severe thunderstorms and hail

stable

Social

21/100

Moderate social stability — mixed urban density

increasing

Energy

35/100

Moderate energy costs — climate-driven cooling demand

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Jennings

Should I Buy

Property buying guide with climate risk assessment

Flood Risk

Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections

Bushfire Risk

BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history

Climate Safety

Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050

Storm Risk

Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis

Heat Risk

Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs

Insurance Costs

Premium estimates and insurance availability

Investment Score

Climate-adjusted property investment analysis

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

45/100

Jennings experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves projected. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·More frequent heatwaves
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

5.0

2050

5.5

Data source

flood Risk

65/100

Jennings faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Riverine flooding
  • ·Inadequate drainage

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.0

2050

7.5

Data source

coastal Risk

10/100

Jennings is not directly exposed to coastal risks.

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

1.0

2050

1.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

70/100

Jennings has a high bushfire risk due to surrounding bushland. Hotter, drier conditions are projected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier vegetation
  • ·Strong winds

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.5

2050

8.0

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums are likely to increase due to the elevated flood and bushfire risks.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value as climate risks become more apparent.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone area designations.
  • 2.Assess property's vulnerability to flooding and bushfires.
  • 3.Obtain insurance quotes and understand coverage limitations.
  • 4.Inquire about local council's climate adaptation plans.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Maryland River
Elevation Range
680-720m
Flood Zone
Areas near the Maryland River are susceptible to flooding.

Historical flood data indicates that Jennings has experienced several moderate flood events in the past. Improved drainage infrastructure is needed to mitigate future risks.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Adjacent to significant bushland areas.
Planning Overlay
Refer to the NSW Rural Fire Service website for bushfire prone area maps.
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

The area is classified as bushfire prone, requiring properties to adhere to specific building codes and vegetation management practices.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
30.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
3 days

The number of days exceeding 35°C is projected to increase, leading to more frequent heat stress events.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
150 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Not applicable.
Erosion Risk
Not applicable.

Historical Climate Events

2011
floodModerate

Significant rainfall caused the Maryland River to flood, impacting low-lying areas of Jennings.

Source
2019
bushfireModerate

Bushfires in the surrounding region caused smoke haze and elevated fire danger in Jennings.

Source
2013
heatwaveModerate

A prolonged heatwave resulted in record high temperatures in Jennings, placing stress on vulnerable residents.

Source
2020
droughtModerate

Prolonged drought conditions impacted local agriculture and water resources.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood657.0(+0.5)7.5(+1.0)
bushfire707.5(+0.5)8.0(+1.0)
heat455.0(+0.5)5.5(+1.0)
coastal101.01.0

By 2030, Jennings is projected to experience a moderate increase in overall climate risk, with notable increases in flood, bushfire, and heat risks. Adaptation measures are needed to mitigate these impacts.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Flood Defenses

Near-term

Upgrade drainage infrastructure and implement flood control measures to reduce flood risk.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Bushfire Preparedness

Immediate

Implement community education programs and support residents in preparing their properties for bushfires.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Heatwave Management Plan

Near-term

Develop and implement a heatwave management plan to protect vulnerable populations during extreme heat events.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Water Conservation Strategies

Long-term

Promote water conservation measures to address potential water shortages during prolonged droughts.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Jennings's Climate Risk Profile

Jennings, located in New South Wales, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary concerns are rising flood and bushfire risks, driven by changing weather patterns and environmental conditions.

Increased rainfall intensity is expected to exacerbate flooding, particularly in low-lying areas near waterways. The risk is compounded by potentially inadequate drainage infrastructure. Residents should stay informed about flood warnings and preparedness measures.

Bushfire risk is also a significant concern, with hotter and drier conditions increasing the likelihood of more frequent and intense fires. Properties near bushland are particularly vulnerable, and residents should maintain firebreaks and have evacuation plans in place.

Heatwaves are projected to become more frequent and severe, posing a health risk to vulnerable populations, including the elderly and those with chronic illnesses. Staying hydrated and seeking cool environments during heatwaves is crucial.

While Jennings is not directly exposed to coastal risks, the broader impacts of climate change, such as disruptions to supply chains and increased insurance costs, may still affect the community. Proactive adaptation measures are essential to mitigate these risks and build resilience.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · NSW Rural Fire Service · NSW State Emergency Service

Local Government Resources

UNKNOWN

Climate StrategyFlood MapsEmergency Services

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Jennings?

The main climate change risks in Jennings are increased flooding, bushfire risk, and more frequent heatwaves.

How can I prepare my property for bushfires?

Clear vegetation around your home, maintain firebreaks, and have a bushfire survival plan.

What should I do during a heatwave?

Stay hydrated, seek cool environments, and check on vulnerable neighbors.

Where can I find information about flood risks in Jennings?

Refer to the NSW Government's flood maps and emergency management resources.

How is the local council addressing climate change?

The local council is developing climate adaptation strategies to mitigate the impacts of climate change. Contact the council for more information.

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$300B+
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30-120%
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*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

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