Climate Risk in Jingellic, New South Wales
Jingellic faces moderate risks from flooding and bushfires, with increasing heat risk. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks in the future. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.
Overall Risk Score
Confidence: Medium
Hazard Breakdown
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Jingellic
Flood
Jingellic faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Murray River. Riverine flooding can inundate low-lying areas.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Changes in river flow patterns
Bushfire
The area surrounding Jingellic is bushfire-prone, with a history of bushfires impacting the region. Drier conditions and increased fuel loads contribute to the risk.
Key drivers:
- ·Drier summers
- ·Increased fuel load
Heat
Jingellic experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves projected.
Key drivers:
- ·Rising global temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect (minor)
Coastal
Jingellic is located inland and does not face any direct coastal risks.
Wind
Moderate wind risk — East Coast Lows and gust fronts
Storm
Moderate storm risk — severe thunderstorms and hail
Social
Moderate social stability — mixed urban density
Energy
Moderate energy costs — climate-driven cooling demand
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Jingellic
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Jingellic experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves projected.
Primary Drivers
- ·Rising global temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect (minor)
Projections (RCP8.5)
2030
4.5
2050
5.0
flood Risk
Jingellic faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Murray River. Riverine flooding can inundate low-lying areas.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Changes in river flow patterns
Projections (RCP8.5)
2030
6.5
2050
7.0
coastal Risk
Jingellic is located inland and does not face any direct coastal risks.
Projections (RCP8.5)
2030
1.0
2050
1.0
bushfire Risk
The area surrounding Jingellic is bushfire-prone, with a history of bushfires impacting the region. Drier conditions and increased fuel loads contribute to the risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Drier summers
- ·Increased fuel load
- ·More frequent heatwaves
Projections (RCP8.5)
2030
7.5
2050
8.0
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase due to the elevated risk of flooding and bushfires.
Price Impact
Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone area designations.
- 2.Assess property's vulnerability to flooding and bushfires.
- 3.Obtain insurance quotes and understand coverage.
- 4.Inquire about council's plans for climate change adaptation.
Local Climate Evidence
Flood Evidence
- Nearest Waterway
- Murray River
- Elevation Range
- 160-180m
- Flood Zone
- Areas adjacent to the Murray River are designated as flood zones.
Historical flood events have impacted properties near the river. The council maintains flood maps and provides guidance on flood preparedness.
View council flood mapBushfire Evidence
- Distance to Bushland
- Adjacent to heavily forested areas.
- Planning Overlay
- https://www.rfs.nsw.gov.au/plan-and-prepare/bush-fire-prone-land
- Bushfire Prone Area
- Yes
The Rural Fire Service (RFS) provides information on bushfire prone areas and guidance on preparing for bushfires.
Heat Evidence
- Avg January Max Temp
- 32.5°C
- Heat Stress Days/Year
- 3 days
The Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) provides historical temperature data and heatwave forecasts for the region.
Coastal Evidence
- Distance to Coast
- 450 km
- Sea Level Rise Exposure
- Not applicable
- Erosion Risk
- Not applicable
Historical Climate Events
The Murray River experienced moderate flooding, impacting low-lying areas in Jingellic.
SourceBushfires impacted the region surrounding Jingellic, causing property damage and evacuations.
SourceA prolonged heatwave affected Jingellic, with temperatures exceeding 40 degrees Celsius for several days.
SourceModerate flooding along the Murray River impacted some properties near Jingellic.
SourceClimate Outlook to 2050
Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5
| Hazard | Today | 2030 | 2050 |
|---|---|---|---|
| flood | 60 | 6.5(+0.5) | 7.0(+1.0) |
| bushfire | 70 | 7.5(+0.5) | 8.0(+1.0) |
| heat | 40 | 4.5(+0.5) | 5.0(+1.0) |
| coastal | 10 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
By 2030, Jingellic is projected to experience a moderate increase in overall climate risk, with higher flood, bushfire, and heat risks. Adaptation measures are needed to mitigate these impacts.
CSIRO Climate ProjectionsAdaptation Recommendations
Upgrade Flood Defenses
Near-termInvest in levees and other flood control measures to protect properties near the Murray River.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreImplement Bushfire Management
ImmediateConduct regular fuel reduction burns and maintain firebreaks to reduce bushfire risk.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreImprove Heatwave Preparedness
Near-termEstablish cooling centers and provide public education on heatwave safety.
Est. cost: Low
Learn morePromote Water Conservation
Long-termImplement water restrictions and encourage water-efficient landscaping to conserve water resources.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreCommunity Education Programs
ImmediateRun workshops and distribute information on how residents can prepare for and respond to climate-related disasters.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Jingellic's Climate Risk Profile
Jingellic, located in the Greater Hume Shire of New South Wales, is susceptible to a range of climate-related risks. The primary concerns are flooding from the Murray River and bushfires in the surrounding forested areas. Climate change projections indicate an increase in the frequency and intensity of these events, posing a growing threat to the community.
The risk of flooding is driven by increased rainfall intensity and changes in river flow patterns. Bushfire risk is exacerbated by drier summers, increased fuel loads, and more frequent heatwaves. While the suburb is not directly exposed to coastal risks, the overall impact of climate change on the region is significant.
Rising temperatures and more frequent heatwaves will also impact Jingellic, placing stress on vulnerable populations and infrastructure. It is crucial for residents and local authorities to implement adaptation measures to mitigate these risks and build resilience to climate change.
Understanding the specific vulnerabilities of Jingellic and taking proactive steps to address them is essential for ensuring the long-term sustainability and well-being of the community. This includes investing in flood mitigation infrastructure, implementing bushfire management strategies, and promoting energy efficiency to reduce greenhouse gas emissions.
Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · NSW RFS · Greater Hume Shire Council
Local Government Resources
Greater Hume Shire Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate risks facing Jingellic?
The main climate risks facing Jingellic are flooding from the Murray River, bushfires in the surrounding forested areas, and increasing heatwaves.
How is the local council addressing climate change?
The Greater Hume Shire Council is developing and implementing climate change adaptation strategies to mitigate the risks facing the community.
What can residents do to prepare for flooding?
Residents can prepare for flooding by checking flood maps, assessing their property's vulnerability, and developing a flood emergency plan.
How can I protect my home from bushfires?
You can protect your home from bushfires by maintaining a firebreak around your property, clearing gutters of debris, and having a bushfire survival plan.
Where can I find more information about climate change projections for Jingellic?
You can find more information about climate change projections for Jingellic on the CSIRO website and the NSW Government's climate change website.
What kind of financial assistance is available for climate resilience measures?
Contact the Greater Hume Shire Council to inquire about available grants and programs for implementing climate resilience measures on your property.
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