Bushfire Risk in Johns River, NSW: 2026 Assessment

Johns River, New South Wales· UNKNOWN
The area around Johns River has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding vegetation. Drier conditions and higher temperatures are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.Updated 8 May 2026

Bushfire Risk Score

4.2/10

The area around Johns River has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding vegetation. Drier conditions and higher temperatures are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Key Facts

Bushfire Risk
The area around Johns River has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding vegetation. Drier conditions and higher temperatures are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.
Trend
increasing
Suburb
Johns River, NSW
Overall Risk
Medium
Postcode
2443
Highest high-risk exposure
18.2% of land (bushfire)

Bushfire Risk Analysis

Johns River, New South Wales, has a the area around johns river has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding vegetation. drier conditions and higher temperatures are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires. bushfire risk profile. Key factors include distance to classified bushland, vegetation type, slope, and historical bushfire activity in the region. The New South Wales fire authority maps bushfire-prone areas and assigns BAL (Bushfire Attack Level) ratings.

The area is designated as bushfire prone due to the surrounding vegetation.

CSIRO research indicates climate change is extending fire seasons and increasing the number of severe fire weather days across southern and eastern Australia. For Johns River, this may mean shifts in bushfire risk levels over the coming decades, making property-level BAL assessment increasingly important.

Use ClimateNest for a complete address-level bushfire risk report for Johns River including BAL zone assessment, evacuation route mapping, and property-specific risk mitigation recommendations.

Johns River sits within ClimateNest's suburb-level hazard model for bushfire risk. 18.2% of the suburb's land area is mapped in high-risk bushfire zones and 61.3% in moderate-risk zones, based on the national hazard overlay. Exposure at this scale varies street by street, which is why an address-level check matters before you buy or insure a specific property in Johns River.

Johns River (postcode 2443) is tracked in ClimateNest's suburb hazard model, which maps the share of the suburb's land exposed to each hazard at high and moderate levels. The suburb's highest high-risk exposures are bushfire (18.2% of land in high-risk zones), surface flood (5.3% of land in high-risk zones), extreme wind (4% of land in high-risk zones). Exposure is not uniform across Johns River — individual properties can sit well above or below these averages, so an address-level check is recommended before buying, selling or insuring.

Local Hazard Evidence

Distance to BushlandAdjacent
BAL Overlay / Zonehttps://www.rfs.nsw.gov.au/map
Bushfire Prone AreaYes

Historical Events

2019
Moderate

Bushfires in the region caused significant smoke haze and increased fire risk in Johns River.

Adaptation & Mitigation Actions

Improve Flood Defenses

Near-term

Invest in infrastructure to mitigate flood risk, such as levees and improved drainage systems.

Est. cost: High

Develop Heat Action Plan

Immediate

Implement a heat action plan to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, including cooling centers and public awareness campaigns.

Est. cost: Medium

Enhance Bushfire Preparedness

Near-term

Implement bushfire mitigation measures, such as vegetation management and community education programs.

Est. cost: Medium

Monitor Coastal Risks

Long-term

Continuously monitor coastal risks and develop adaptation strategies to address potential impacts from sea level rise.

Est. cost: Low

Upgrade building codes

Near-term

Update building codes to ensure new constructions are resilient to climate change impacts.

Est. cost: Medium

Council & Emergency Services

MidCoast Council
Emergency Services

Data last updated: 8 May 2026

Explore Johns River Risk Reports

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Johns River in a bushfire prone area?

Parts of Johns River may be designated as bushfire prone land. Based on available data, Johns River has a notable bushfire risk. Check your specific property for BAL ratings through ClimateNest or your local council.

What BAL rating applies to properties in Johns River?

BAL ratings in Johns River depend on the property's distance from classified vegetation, vegetation type, and slope. A site-specific assessment under AS 3959 is required to determine the exact BAL rating for any property within the suburb.

Does bushfire risk affect insurance in Johns River?

Yes, properties in bushfire-prone parts of Johns River may face higher building insurance premiums. Insurers assess bushfire risk based on BAL rating, fire history, and proximity to bushland. Some insurers may restrict cover in very high-risk locations.

What bushfire mitigation measures help protect homes in Johns River?

Effective bushfire mitigation includes maintaining cleared asset protection zones, using ember-proof mesh on vents, installing metal gutter guards, using non-combustible building materials, and maintaining defendable space. Consult the New South Wales fire authority for property-specific guidance.

What share of Johns River is exposed to high bushfire risk?

ClimateNest's hazard overlay maps 18.2% of Johns River in high-risk zones for bushfire, with a further 61.3% in moderate-risk zones. Suburb-level exposure is not uniform — individual properties can differ from these averages, so an address-level check is recommended.

Is Johns River Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Johns River, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$69 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections