Heat Risk in Jolly Nose, NSW: 2026 Assessment
Heat Risk Score
7.1/10Jolly Nose is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a significant risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.
Key Facts
- Heat Risk
- Jolly Nose is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a significant risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.
- Trend
- increasing
- Suburb
- Jolly Nose, NSW
- Overall Risk
- Medium
- Postcode
- 2445
- Highest high-risk exposure
- 9.5% of land (bushfire)
Heat Risk Analysis
Jolly Nose in New South Wales faces elevated extreme heat risk. The Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) reports that Australia's average temperature has increased by approximately 1.5 °C since 1910, with the frequency of extreme heat days rising across most regions.
The urban heat island (UHI) effect can make built-up areas of Jolly Nose warmer than surrounding rural areas, particularly on summer nights. Dark roof materials, limited tree canopy cover, and heat-absorbing surfaces contribute to localised heat stress that varies by property.
The average maximum temperature in January is increasing, leading to more frequent heat stress events.
Get an address-level heat risk assessment from ClimateNest for Jolly Nose including cooling cost estimates, heatwave vulnerability scoring, and adaptation recommendations tailored to your property.
Jolly Nose (postcode 2445) is tracked in ClimateNest's suburb hazard model, which maps the share of the suburb's land exposed to each hazard at high and moderate levels. The suburb's highest high-risk exposures are bushfire (9.5% of land in high-risk zones), surface flood (5.7% of land in high-risk zones), riverine flood (4.1% of land in high-risk zones). Exposure is not uniform across Jolly Nose — individual properties can sit well above or below these averages, so an address-level check is recommended before buying, selling or insuring.
Local Hazard Evidence
Historical Events
A prolonged heatwave resulted in heat stress and health concerns for vulnerable residents.
Adaptation & Mitigation Actions
Upgrade Drainage Infrastructure
Near-termImprove drainage systems to reduce the risk of flooding during heavy rainfall events.
Est. cost: Medium
Implement Bushfire Management Strategies
Near-termReduce fuel loads and create firebreaks to protect properties from bushfires.
Est. cost: Medium
Develop a Heatwave Response Plan
ImmediateEstablish cooling centers and provide support for vulnerable residents during heatwaves.
Est. cost: Low
Protect Coastal Ecosystems
Long-termRestore and protect coastal vegetation to buffer against sea level rise and erosion.
Est. cost: Medium
Raise Community Awareness
Near-termEducate residents about climate change risks and adaptation measures.
Est. cost: Low
Council & Emergency Services
Explore Jolly Nose Risk Reports
View other climate risk assessments for Jolly Nose:
Frequently Asked Questions
How hot does Jolly Nose get in summer?
Jolly Nose in New South Wales experiences summer temperatures consistent with the regional climate. BOM publishes historical temperature data for weather stations near Jolly Nose. Get a property-specific heat exposure assessment with projected cooling costs from ClimateNest.
Is extreme heat increasing in Jolly Nose?
Australia-wide, extreme heat events have become more frequent since the mid-20th century, and this trend is consistent with CSIRO climate projections for New South Wales. Continued warming is likely through 2050 under all emissions scenarios.
How does heat affect energy costs for Jolly Nose properties?
Higher temperatures increase cooling demand, which raises electricity costs. ClimateNest provides energy cost projections based on your property's specific exposure to extreme heat days in Jolly Nose and the performance of your building envelope.
What heat mitigation measures work best in Jolly Nose?
Effective heat mitigation includes light-coloured roofing (cool roofs), ceiling and wall insulation, double-glazed windows, external shading, cross-ventilation design, and increasing tree canopy around the property. These measures reduce indoor temperatures and cooling costs.
What share of Jolly Nose is exposed to high bushfire risk?
ClimateNest's hazard overlay maps 9.5% of Jolly Nose in high-risk zones for bushfire, with a further 80.2% in moderate-risk zones. Suburb-level exposure is not uniform — individual properties can differ from these averages, so an address-level check is recommended.
Is Jolly Nose Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Jolly Nose, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
What A$69 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections