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Climate Risk in Junee Reefs, New South Wales

Junee Reefs, New South Wales
Medium Risk
Updated May 2026

Junee Reefs faces moderate risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves, which are projected to increase with climate change. The suburb's inland location means it is not exposed to coastal risks. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.

Overall Risk Score

52/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.5
Bushfire
4.0
Heat
6.0
Coastal
1.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Junee Reefs

increasing

Flood

65/100

Junee Reefs faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential overflow from local waterways. The risk is expected to increase with climate change.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Changes in river flow
increasing

Bushfire

40/100

The area around Junee Reefs has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding vegetation. Hot, dry conditions exacerbate this risk, and climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
increasing

Heat

60/100

Junee Reefs is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. Higher average temperatures can pose health risks, especially for vulnerable populations. Climate change is expected to worsen these conditions.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
stable

Coastal

10/100

Junee Reefs is not exposed to coastal risks such as sea level rise or coastal erosion due to its inland location.

stable

Wind

28/100

Moderate wind risk — East Coast Lows and gust fronts

stable

Storm

39/100

Moderate storm risk — severe thunderstorms and hail

stable

Social

21/100

Moderate social stability — mixed urban density

increasing

Energy

35/100

Moderate energy costs — climate-driven cooling demand

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Junee Reefs

Should I Buy

Property buying guide with climate risk assessment

Flood Risk

Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections

Bushfire Risk

BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history

Climate Safety

Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050

Storm Risk

Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis

Heat Risk

Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs

Insurance Costs

Premium estimates and insurance availability

Investment Score

Climate-adjusted property investment analysis

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

60/100

Junee Reefs is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. Higher average temperatures can pose health risks, especially for vulnerable populations. Climate change is expected to worsen these conditions.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.0

Data source

flood Risk

65/100

Junee Reefs faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential overflow from local waterways. The risk is expected to increase with climate change.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Changes in river flow
  • ·Urban development

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.0

2050

7.5

Data source

coastal Risk

10/100

Junee Reefs is not exposed to coastal risks such as sea level rise or coastal erosion due to its inland location.

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

1.0

2050

1.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

40/100

The area around Junee Reefs has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding vegetation. Hot, dry conditions exacerbate this risk, and climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Fuel load

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.5

2050

5.0

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Increased premiums possible due to flood and bushfire risk.

Price Impact

Potential for moderate price impact due to increased risk.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone areas.
  • 2.Assess property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Review insurance coverage for climate-related events.
  • 4.Consider energy efficiency upgrades.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Hanging Rock Creek
Elevation Range
250-270m
Flood Zone
Potentially affected by overland flow

Local topography can exacerbate flooding during heavy rainfall events.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Adjacent to forested areas
Planning Overlay
RFS Bush Fire Prone Land
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

Check RFS website for current fire danger ratings.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
32°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
5 days

Elderly and those with chronic illnesses are most at risk during heatwaves.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
400 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Not applicable
Erosion Risk
Not applicable

Historical Climate Events

2010
floodModerate

Heavy rainfall caused localized flooding in low-lying areas around Junee Reefs.

Source
2013
bushfireModerate

Bushfires in the region caused smoke haze and elevated fire danger ratings.

Source
2017
heatwaveModerate

Prolonged heatwave conditions led to increased demand on emergency services.

Source
2019
droughtMajor

Severe drought conditions impacted local agriculture and water resources.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood657.0(+0.5)7.5(+1.0)
bushfire404.3(+0.3)4.5(+0.5)
heat606.7(+0.7)7.2(+1.2)
coastal101.01.0

By 2030, Junee Reefs is projected to experience a notable increase in heatwave frequency and intensity, along with a moderate increase in flood and bushfire risk. Adaptation measures will be increasingly important.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Flood Defenses

Near-term

Upgrade drainage systems and implement flood barriers to protect properties from increased flood risk.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Bushfire Preparedness

Immediate

Clear vegetation around properties, develop a bushfire survival plan, and ensure access to water for firefighting.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Heatwave Action Plan

Near-term

Develop a community heatwave action plan, including cooling centers and outreach programs for vulnerable residents.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Water Conservation

Long-term

Implement water conservation measures to address potential drought conditions and ensure sustainable water resources.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Junee Reefs's Climate Risk Profile

Junee Reefs, located in New South Wales, is exposed to several climate-related risks. The primary concerns are flooding from increased rainfall intensity, bushfires due to hotter and drier conditions, and heatwaves that can impact public health.

Flooding is a significant concern, with potential for increased rainfall intensity leading to overflow from local waterways. Bushfire risk is also elevated due to the surrounding vegetation and increasingly dry conditions. The risk is projected to increase with climate change.

Heatwaves are expected to become more frequent and intense, posing health risks, particularly for vulnerable populations. The inland location of Junee Reefs means it is not exposed to coastal risks such as sea level rise or coastal erosion.

Residents and property owners should take proactive measures to mitigate these risks, including preparing for extreme weather events, maintaining properties to reduce bushfire hazards, and staying informed about local emergency plans. Adaptation strategies are crucial to ensure the community's resilience to climate change.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · NSW RFS · NSW SES

Local Government Resources

Junee Shire Council

Climate StrategyFlood MapsEmergency Services

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks for Junee Reefs?

The main risks are increased flooding, more frequent and intense heatwaves, and a higher risk of bushfires due to hotter and drier conditions.

How will climate change affect property values in Junee Reefs?

Increased climate risks may lead to moderate price impacts and potentially higher insurance premiums. Properties in high-risk areas may experience greater impacts.

What can I do to prepare my home for increased flood risk?

Consider installing flood barriers, improving drainage around your property, and ensuring your home is adequately insured for flood damage.

How can I protect my family during a heatwave?

Stay indoors in air-conditioned environments, drink plenty of water, and check on vulnerable family members and neighbors. Know the signs of heatstroke and seek medical attention if necessary.

What resources are available to help me prepare for bushfires?

The NSW Rural Fire Service (RFS) provides information and resources on bushfire preparedness, including how to create a bushfire survival plan and clear vegetation around your property.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Junee Reefs, use our analysis tool.

Analyse a Property in Junee Reefs →

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$7.2B
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$300B+
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30-120%
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*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

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