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Climate Risk in Kendall, NSW

Kendall, New South Wales· Port Macquarie-Hastings· 2439
Medium Risk
Updated May 2026

Kendall is a suburb in New South Wales that faces moderate climate risks, particularly from flooding and heatwaves. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of these events. Residents should take steps to prepare for these risks.

Overall Risk Score

55/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.0
Bushfire
4.0
Heat
6.0
Coastal
2.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Kendall

increasing

Flood

60/100

Kendall faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
increasing

Bushfire

40/100

The area around Kendall has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding vegetation. Hotter, drier conditions are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
increasing

Heat

60/100

Kendall is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
  • ·Urban heat island effect
increasing

Coastal

20/100

Kendall is not directly on the coast, so the coastal risk is low. However, sea level rise and storm surges could indirectly affect the area.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surge
stable

Wind

28/100

Moderate wind risk — East Coast Lows and gust fronts

stable

Storm

39/100

Moderate storm risk — severe thunderstorms and hail

stable

Social

21/100

Moderate social stability — mixed urban density

increasing

Energy

35/100

Moderate energy costs — climate-driven cooling demand

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Kendall

Should I Buy

Property buying guide with climate risk assessment

Flood Risk

Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections

Bushfire Risk

BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history

Climate Safety

Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050

Storm Risk

Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis

Heat Risk

Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs

Insurance Costs

Premium estimates and insurance availability

Investment Score

Climate-adjusted property investment analysis

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

60/100

Kendall is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.0

Data source

flood Risk

60/100

Kendall faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Inadequate drainage infrastructure

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.0

Data source

coastal Risk

20/100

Kendall is not directly on the coast, so the coastal risk is low. However, sea level rise and storm surges could indirectly affect the area.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surge

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

2.5

2050

3.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

40/100

The area around Kendall has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding vegetation. Hotter, drier conditions are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Fuel load

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.5

2050

5.0

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to increased flood and bushfire risk.

Price Impact

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone area designations.
  • 2.Assess property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Consider potential impacts of climate change on insurance premiums.
  • 4.Review council's climate adaptation plans.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Stewarts River
Elevation Range
5-15m
Flood Zone
Partially within flood zone

Some properties are located in areas susceptible to flash flooding.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Adjacent to bushland
Planning Overlay
https://www.rfs.nsw.gov.au/map
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

Properties on the outskirts of Kendall are at higher risk.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
30.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
3 days

Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense in the region.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
15 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Low
Erosion Risk
Low

Historical Climate Events

2013
floodModerate

Significant flooding occurred in the Hastings River catchment, impacting Kendall.

Source
2019
bushfireModerate

Bushfires impacted areas surrounding Kendall, causing smoke haze and potential property damage.

Source
2020
floodMinor

Minor flooding occurred in low-lying areas of Kendall due to heavy rainfall.

Source
2017
stormModerate

Severe storms caused damage to property and infrastructure in the region.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood606.5(+0.5)7.0(+1.0)
bushfire404.3(+0.3)4.6(+0.6)
heat606.7(+0.7)7.5(+1.5)
coastal202.2(+0.2)2.4(+0.4)

By 2030, Kendall is projected to experience a moderate increase in overall climate risk, with notable increases in flood and heatwave risks. Bushfire risk is also expected to increase slightly. Coastal risks remain relatively low.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Drainage Infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade drainage systems to better manage increased rainfall and reduce flood risk.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Bushfire Mitigation Measures

Near-term

Implement bushfire mitigation measures, such as clearing vegetation around properties and creating firebreaks.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Heatwave Preparedness Plan

Immediate

Develop and implement a heatwave preparedness plan to protect vulnerable populations during extreme heat events.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Community Awareness Programs

Long-term

Conduct community awareness programs to educate residents about climate risks and adaptation measures.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Strengthen Building Codes

Long-term

Update building codes to ensure new construction is resilient to climate change impacts, such as flooding and bushfires.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

About Kendall's Climate Risk Profile

Kendall, NSW, is a charming town located inland from the coast. However, like many areas, it is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change.

Flooding is a significant concern for Kendall due to its proximity to waterways. Increased rainfall intensity, driven by climate change, is expected to exacerbate flood risks. This could lead to property damage, disruption to infrastructure, and potential displacement of residents.

Bushfire risk is also present, with surrounding vegetation posing a threat during hot, dry conditions. Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires, potentially impacting the safety and well-being of the community.

Heatwaves are another growing concern, with Kendall expected to experience more frequent and intense heat events. This poses a particular risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions. It is important to take steps to stay cool and hydrated during heatwaves.

While coastal risks are lower compared to other hazards, sea level rise and storm surges could still indirectly affect Kendall. Changes in weather patterns and coastal erosion could have implications for the region's economy and environment.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · NSW RFS · Port Macquarie-Hastings Council

Local Government Resources

Port Macquarie-Hastings Council

Climate StrategyFlood MapsEmergency Services

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks for Kendall?

The main climate change risks for Kendall are flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. These risks are expected to increase in the future due to climate change.

How can I prepare for flooding in Kendall?

You can prepare for flooding by checking flood maps, elevating your home if possible, and having an emergency plan in place.

What should I do during a heatwave in Kendall?

During a heatwave, stay cool and hydrated, avoid strenuous activity, and check on vulnerable neighbors.

Where can I find more information about climate change in Kendall?

You can find more information about climate change in Kendall on the Port Macquarie-Hastings Council website and the NSW Government's climate change website.

Is my property in a bushfire prone area?

You can check if your property is in a bushfire prone area by consulting the NSW Rural Fire Service website or contacting your local council.

Will climate change affect my insurance premiums in Kendall?

It is possible that climate change will affect your insurance premiums in Kendall, particularly if your property is in a flood-prone or bushfire-prone area. Contact your insurance provider for more information.

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This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Kendall, use our analysis tool.

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