📮 Kogarah Bay postcode: 2217

Bushfire Risk in Kogarah Bay, NSW: 2026 Assessment

Kogarah Bay, New South Wales· Georges River· 2217
The risk of bushfire in Kogarah Bay is relatively low due to its urban environment and limited vegetation. However, nearby bushland areas can pose a threat during extreme weather conditions.Updated 18 May 2026

Bushfire Risk Score

3.2/10

The risk of bushfire in Kogarah Bay is relatively low due to its urban environment and limited vegetation. However, nearby bushland areas can pose a threat during extreme weather conditions.

Key Facts

Bushfire Risk
The risk of bushfire in Kogarah Bay is relatively low due to its urban environment and limited vegetation. However, nearby bushland areas can pose a threat during extreme weather conditions.
Trend
stable
Suburb
Kogarah Bay, NSW
Overall Risk
Medium
Postcode
2217
Highest high-risk exposure
13.3% of land (bushfire)

Bushfire Risk Analysis

Kogarah Bay, New South Wales, has a the risk of bushfire in kogarah bay is relatively low due to its urban environment and limited vegetation. however, nearby bushland areas can pose a threat during extreme weather conditions. bushfire risk profile. Key factors include distance to classified bushland, vegetation type, slope, and historical bushfire activity in the region. The New South Wales fire authority maps bushfire-prone areas and assigns BAL (Bushfire Attack Level) ratings.

Check with local council for specific bushfire prone areas.

CSIRO research indicates climate change is extending fire seasons and increasing the number of severe fire weather days across southern and eastern Australia. For Kogarah Bay, this may mean shifts in bushfire risk levels over the coming decades, making property-level BAL assessment increasingly important.

Use ClimateNest for a complete address-level bushfire risk report for Kogarah Bay including BAL zone assessment, evacuation route mapping, and property-specific risk mitigation recommendations.

Kogarah Bay sits within ClimateNest's suburb-level hazard model for bushfire risk. 13.3% of the suburb's land area is mapped in high-risk bushfire zones and 74.8% in moderate-risk zones, based on the national hazard overlay. Exposure at this scale varies street by street, which is why an address-level check matters before you buy or insure a specific property in Kogarah Bay.

Kogarah Bay (postcode 2217) is tracked in ClimateNest's suburb hazard model, which maps the share of the suburb's land exposed to each hazard at high and moderate levels. The suburb's highest high-risk exposures are bushfire (13.3% of land in high-risk zones), riverine flood (8.3% of land in high-risk zones), surface flood (5.1% of land in high-risk zones). Exposure is not uniform across Kogarah Bay — individual properties can sit well above or below these averages, so an address-level check is recommended before buying, selling or insuring.

Local Hazard Evidence

Distance to Bushland1-2 km to Oatley Park
BAL Overlay / ZoneSome areas may be subject to bushfire overlays.
Bushfire Prone AreaYes

Adaptation & Mitigation Actions

Improve Drainage Infrastructure

Immediate

Upgrade stormwater drainage systems to increase capacity and reduce the risk of flooding during heavy rainfall events.

Est. cost: High

Protect Coastal Areas

Near-term

Implement coastal protection measures, such as seawalls and beach nourishment, to reduce the impact of sea level rise and coastal erosion.

Est. cost: Very High

Promote Energy Efficiency

Long-term

Encourage energy efficiency measures in homes and businesses to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and mitigate the urban heat island effect.

Est. cost: Medium

Develop Heat Action Plan

Immediate

Create a heat action plan to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, including providing cooling centers and public awareness campaigns.

Est. cost: Low

Raise Community Awareness

Near-term

Educate residents about climate risks and adaptation measures through workshops, online resources, and community events.

Est. cost: Low

Council & Emergency Services

Georges River Council
Emergency Services

Data last updated: 18 May 2026

Explore Kogarah Bay Risk Reports

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Kogarah Bay in a bushfire prone area?

Parts of Kogarah Bay may be designated as bushfire prone land. Based on available data, Kogarah Bay has a notable bushfire risk. Check your specific property for BAL ratings through ClimateNest or your local council.

What BAL rating applies to properties in Kogarah Bay?

BAL ratings in Kogarah Bay depend on the property's distance from classified vegetation, vegetation type, and slope. A site-specific assessment under AS 3959 is required to determine the exact BAL rating for any property within the suburb.

Does bushfire risk affect insurance in Kogarah Bay?

Yes, properties in bushfire-prone parts of Kogarah Bay may face higher building insurance premiums. Insurers assess bushfire risk based on BAL rating, fire history, and proximity to bushland. Some insurers may restrict cover in very high-risk locations.

What bushfire mitigation measures help protect homes in Kogarah Bay?

Effective bushfire mitigation includes maintaining cleared asset protection zones, using ember-proof mesh on vents, installing metal gutter guards, using non-combustible building materials, and maintaining defendable space. Consult the New South Wales fire authority for property-specific guidance.

What share of Kogarah Bay is exposed to high bushfire risk?

ClimateNest's hazard overlay maps 13.3% of Kogarah Bay in high-risk zones for bushfire, with a further 74.8% in moderate-risk zones. Suburb-level exposure is not uniform — individual properties can differ from these averages, so an address-level check is recommended.

Is Kogarah Bay Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Kogarah Bay, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$69 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections