Climate Risk in Kurraba Point, NSW

Kurraba Point, New South Wales· North Sydney· 2089

Medium Risk

Updated May 2026

Kurraba Point faces moderate climate risks, primarily related to flooding and coastal hazards. Sea level rise and increased rainfall intensity are key drivers of these risks, which are projected to increase in the future. Residents should take steps to prepare for these challenges.

Overall Risk Score

52/100

Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood

6.5

Bushfire

2.8

Heat

5.5

Coastal

6.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Kurraba Point

increasing

Flood

65/100

Kurraba Point faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to Sydney Harbour and low-lying areas. Sea level rise and increased rainfall intensity could exacerbate this risk.

Key drivers:

·Sea level rise
·Increased rainfall intensity

stable

Bushfire

28/100

The risk of bushfire in Kurraba Point is relatively low due to its urban environment and limited vegetation. However, ember attacks from distant fires remain a potential concern.

Key drivers:

·Ember attack
·Dry vegetation in surrounding areas

increasing

Heat

55/100

Kurraba Point is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves in the future. This could pose a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.

Key drivers:

·Climate change
·Urban heat island effect

increasing

Coastal

60/100

Kurraba Point is vulnerable to coastal erosion and inundation due to sea level rise. This could damage property and infrastructure along the waterfront.

Key drivers:

·Sea level rise
·Storm surge

stable

Wind

28/100

Moderate wind risk — East Coast Lows and gust fronts

stable

Storm

39/100

Moderate storm risk — severe thunderstorms and hail

stable

Social

21/100

Moderate social stability — mixed urban density

increasing

Energy

35/100

Moderate energy costs — climate-driven cooling demand

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Kurraba Point

Should I Buy

Property buying guide with climate risk assessment

Flood Risk

Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections

Bushfire Risk

BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history

Climate Safety

Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050

Storm Risk

Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis

Heat Risk

Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs

Insurance Costs

Premium estimates and insurance availability

Investment Score

Climate-adjusted property investment analysis

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

55/100

Primary Drivers

·Climate change
·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.0

2050

6.8

Data source

flood Risk

65/100

Kurraba Point faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to Sydney Harbour and low-lying areas. Sea level rise and increased rainfall intensity could exacerbate this risk.

Primary Drivers

·Sea level rise
·Increased rainfall intensity
·Storm surge

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.0

2050

7.8

Data source

coastal Risk

60/100

Kurraba Point is vulnerable to coastal erosion and inundation due to sea level rise. This could damage property and infrastructure along the waterfront.

Primary Drivers

·Sea level rise
·Storm surge
·Erosion

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.5

Data source

bushfire Risk

28/100

The risk of bushfire in Kurraba Point is relatively low due to its urban environment and limited vegetation. However, ember attacks from distant fires remain a potential concern.

Primary Drivers

·Ember attack
·Dry vegetation in surrounding areas

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

3.0

2050

3.2

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums are likely to increase due to climate risks.

Price Impact

Property values may be negatively impacted by climate risks, especially for waterfront properties.

Buyer Checklist

1.Check flood maps and coastal erosion risk assessments.
2.Assess the property's vulnerability to sea level rise.
3.Inquire about insurance costs and coverage.
4.Consider the potential impact of climate change on property values.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway: Sydney Harbour
Elevation Range: 0-30 meters
Flood Zone: Coastal and riverine

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland: 2 km to nearest bushland
Planning Overlay: Not within a designated bushfire prone area
Bushfire Prone Area: No

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp: 27°C
Heat Stress Days/Year: 3 days

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast: 0.1 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure: High exposure to sea level rise
Erosion Risk: Moderate erosion risk

Historical Climate Events

2020

stormModerate

Severe storm caused flash flooding and property damage in Kurraba Point.

Source

2015

heatwaveModerate

Prolonged heatwave led to increased hospital admissions and strain on infrastructure.

Source

2007

floodMinor

Heavy rainfall caused localized flooding in low-lying areas of Kurraba Point.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

Hazard	Today	2030	2050
flood	65	7.0(+0.5)	7.5(+1.0)
bushfire	28	3.0(+0.2)	3.2(+0.4)
heat	55	5.9(+0.4)	6.3(+0.8)
coastal	60	6.6(+0.6)	7.3(+1.3)

By 2030, Kurraba Point is projected to experience a moderate increase in overall climate risk, with the most significant impacts from coastal hazards and flooding.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve drainage infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade drainage systems to reduce the risk of flooding during heavy rainfall events.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Strengthen coastal defenses

Long-term

Construct seawalls and other coastal defenses to protect waterfront properties from sea level rise and erosion.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Implement heatwave preparedness plans

Immediate

Develop and implement heatwave preparedness plans to protect vulnerable populations during extreme heat events.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Raise awareness of climate risks

Near-term

Educate residents and businesses about the risks of climate change and how to prepare for them.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Kurraba Point's Climate Risk Profile

Kurraba Point, a harbourside suburb in Sydney, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary risks include flooding, coastal erosion, and heatwaves. Sea level rise poses a significant threat to waterfront properties and infrastructure, while increased rainfall intensity could lead to more frequent and severe flooding events.

The risk of bushfire is relatively low due to the suburb's urban environment. However, ember attacks from distant fires remain a potential concern, especially during dry periods. Heatwaves are also expected to become more frequent and intense, posing a risk to vulnerable populations.

Climate change projections indicate that these risks will continue to increase in the future. Sea levels are expected to rise, rainfall patterns will become more erratic, and heatwaves will become more common. It is essential for residents and businesses to take steps to adapt to these changes.

This includes measures such as improving drainage, strengthening coastal defenses, and implementing heatwave preparedness plans. By taking proactive steps, Kurraba Point can reduce its vulnerability to the impacts of climate change and ensure a sustainable future.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · NSW SES · NSW RFS · North Sydney Council

Local Government Resources

North Sydney Council

Climate Strategy Flood Maps Emergency Services

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Kurraba Point?

The main climate change risks in Kurraba Point are flooding, coastal erosion, and heatwaves. Sea level rise and increased rainfall intensity are key drivers of these risks.

How will sea level rise affect Kurraba Point?

Sea level rise could inundate waterfront properties, damage infrastructure, and increase the risk of coastal erosion.

What can I do to prepare for heatwaves in Kurraba Point?

Stay hydrated, stay cool, and check on vulnerable neighbors. Follow the advice of health authorities during heatwave events.

Is my property at risk of flooding in Kurraba Point?

Check the council's flood maps to assess your property's flood risk. Properties in low-lying areas near the harbour are most vulnerable.

Where can I find more information about climate change in Kurraba Point?

You can find more information on the North Sydney Council website, the NSW Department of Planning and Environment website, and the CSIRO website.

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2022 insured disaster losses*

$300B+

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30-120%

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*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

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