📮 Kyle Bay postcode: 2221

Bushfire Risk in Kyle Bay, NSW: 2026 Assessment

Kyle Bay, New South Wales· Georges River· 2221
While not immediately adjacent to dense bushland, Kyle Bay faces a moderate bushfire risk due to potential ember attacks from nearby bushfire-prone areas.Updated 18 May 2026

Bushfire Risk Score

3.0/10

While not immediately adjacent to dense bushland, Kyle Bay faces a moderate bushfire risk due to potential ember attacks from nearby bushfire-prone areas.

Key Facts

Bushfire Risk
While not immediately adjacent to dense bushland, Kyle Bay faces a moderate bushfire risk due to potential ember attacks from nearby bushfire-prone areas.
Trend
stable
Suburb
Kyle Bay, NSW
Overall Risk
Medium
Postcode
2221
Highest high-risk exposure
12.6% of land (bushfire)

Bushfire Risk Analysis

Kyle Bay, New South Wales, has a while not immediately adjacent to dense bushland, kyle bay faces a moderate bushfire risk due to potential ember attacks from nearby bushfire-prone areas. bushfire risk profile. Key factors include distance to classified bushland, vegetation type, slope, and historical bushfire activity in the region. The New South Wales fire authority maps bushfire-prone areas and assigns BAL (Bushfire Attack Level) ratings.

Ember attack is a potential risk during bushfire events.

CSIRO research indicates climate change is extending fire seasons and increasing the number of severe fire weather days across southern and eastern Australia. For Kyle Bay, this may mean shifts in bushfire risk levels over the coming decades, making property-level BAL assessment increasingly important.

Use ClimateNest for a complete address-level bushfire risk report for Kyle Bay including BAL zone assessment, evacuation route mapping, and property-specific risk mitigation recommendations.

Kyle Bay sits within ClimateNest's suburb-level hazard model for bushfire risk. 12.6% of the suburb's land area is mapped in high-risk bushfire zones and 70.9% in moderate-risk zones, based on the national hazard overlay. Exposure at this scale varies street by street, which is why an address-level check matters before you buy or insure a specific property in Kyle Bay.

Kyle Bay (postcode 2221) is tracked in ClimateNest's suburb hazard model, which maps the share of the suburb's land exposed to each hazard at high and moderate levels. The suburb's highest high-risk exposures are bushfire (12.6% of land in high-risk zones), surface flood (7% of land in high-risk zones), riverine flood (5% of land in high-risk zones). Exposure is not uniform across Kyle Bay — individual properties can sit well above or below these averages, so an address-level check is recommended before buying, selling or insuring.

Local Hazard Evidence

Distance to Bushland2-5 km to Oatley Park and surrounding reserves
BAL Overlay / ZoneSome areas may be subject to bushfire prone land overlays.
Bushfire Prone AreaYes

Adaptation & Mitigation Actions

Improve Flood Defenses

Near-term

Invest in infrastructure to mitigate flood risks, such as improved drainage systems and levees.

Est. cost: High

Develop a Heatwave Management Plan

Immediate

Implement a plan to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, including cooling centers and community outreach programs.

Est. cost: Medium

Protect Coastal Areas

Long-term

Implement measures to protect coastal areas from erosion and inundation, such as seawalls and beach nourishment.

Est. cost: High

Promote Water Conservation

Near-term

Encourage residents to conserve water to reduce the strain on water resources during droughts.

Est. cost: Low

Council & Emergency Services

Georges River Council
Emergency Services

Data last updated: 18 May 2026

Explore Kyle Bay Risk Reports

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Kyle Bay in a bushfire prone area?

Parts of Kyle Bay may be designated as bushfire prone land. Based on available data, Kyle Bay has a notable bushfire risk. Check your specific property for BAL ratings through ClimateNest or your local council.

What BAL rating applies to properties in Kyle Bay?

BAL ratings in Kyle Bay depend on the property's distance from classified vegetation, vegetation type, and slope. A site-specific assessment under AS 3959 is required to determine the exact BAL rating for any property within the suburb.

Does bushfire risk affect insurance in Kyle Bay?

Yes, properties in bushfire-prone parts of Kyle Bay may face higher building insurance premiums. Insurers assess bushfire risk based on BAL rating, fire history, and proximity to bushland. Some insurers may restrict cover in very high-risk locations.

What bushfire mitigation measures help protect homes in Kyle Bay?

Effective bushfire mitigation includes maintaining cleared asset protection zones, using ember-proof mesh on vents, installing metal gutter guards, using non-combustible building materials, and maintaining defendable space. Consult the New South Wales fire authority for property-specific guidance.

What share of Kyle Bay is exposed to high bushfire risk?

ClimateNest's hazard overlay maps 12.6% of Kyle Bay in high-risk zones for bushfire, with a further 70.9% in moderate-risk zones. Suburb-level exposure is not uniform — individual properties can differ from these averages, so an address-level check is recommended.

Is Kyle Bay Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Kyle Bay, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$69 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections