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Climate Risk in Leumeah, NSW

Leumeah, New South Wales· Campbelltown· 2560
Medium Risk
Updated May 2026

Leumeah faces increasing risks from heatwaves and flooding due to climate change. Bushfire risk is also a concern. Residents should prepare for more extreme weather events.

Overall Risk Score

55/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.0
Bushfire
4.0
Heat
7.0
Coastal
1.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Leumeah

increasing

Flood

60/100

Leumeah faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, potentially worsening flood events.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
increasing

Bushfire

40/100

Leumeah has a moderate bushfire risk due to nearby bushland. Hotter, drier conditions are projected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier vegetation
increasing

Heat

70/100

Leumeah is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a significant risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
stable

Coastal

10/100

Leumeah is not directly exposed to coastal hazards.

stable

Wind

28/100

Moderate wind risk — East Coast Lows and gust fronts

stable

Storm

39/100

Moderate storm risk — severe thunderstorms and hail

stable

Social

21/100

Moderate social stability — mixed urban density

increasing

Energy

35/100

Moderate energy costs — climate-driven cooling demand

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Leumeah

Should I Buy

Property buying guide with climate risk assessment

Flood Risk

Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections

Bushfire Risk

BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history

Climate Safety

Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050

Storm Risk

Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis

Heat Risk

Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs

Insurance Costs

Premium estimates and insurance availability

Investment Score

Climate-adjusted property investment analysis

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

70/100

Leumeah is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a significant risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.5

2050

8.0

Data source

flood Risk

60/100

Leumeah faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, potentially worsening flood events.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
  • ·Inadequate drainage infrastructure

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.0

Data source

coastal Risk

10/100

Leumeah is not directly exposed to coastal hazards.

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

1.0

2050

1.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

40/100

Leumeah has a moderate bushfire risk due to nearby bushland. Hotter, drier conditions are projected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier vegetation
  • ·Stronger winds

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.5

2050

5.0

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums are likely to increase due to increased flood and bushfire risk.

Price Impact

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and insurance costs.
  • 2.Assess bushfire risk and mitigation measures.
  • 3.Consider energy efficiency and cooling options.
  • 4.Review council climate adaptation plans.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Bunbury Curran Creek
Elevation Range
40-60m
Flood Zone
Low to Moderate

Parts of Leumeah are susceptible to flash flooding during heavy rainfall events. Improved drainage infrastructure is needed to mitigate this risk.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Adjacent to bushland reserves
Planning Overlay
RFS Bush Fire Prone Land Map
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

Properties bordering bushland are at higher risk. Residents should maintain firebreaks and have a bushfire survival plan.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
31.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
5 days

Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense. Vulnerable residents need access to cooling centers and support during extreme heat events.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
40 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Not directly exposed
Erosion Risk
Not applicable

Historical Climate Events

2016
floodModerate

Heavy rainfall caused flash flooding in parts of Leumeah, affecting several homes and businesses.

Source
2019
heatwaveModerate

Prolonged heatwave conditions put strain on local infrastructure and caused heat stress among vulnerable residents.

Source
2020
bushfireMinor

Bushfires in the surrounding region caused smoky conditions and increased fire risk in Leumeah.

Source
2022
floodModerate

Significant rainfall events led to localized flooding, impacting roads and some residential areas.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP4.5

HazardToday2030205020302050
flood606.5(+0.5)6.8(+0.8)6.7(+0.7)7.2(+1.2)
bushfire404.2(+0.2)4.4(+0.4)4.3(+0.3)4.6(+0.6)
heat707.7(+0.7)8.2(+1.2)7.9(+0.9)8.8(+1.8)
coastal101.01.01.01.0

Under a moderate emissions scenario, Leumeah is projected to experience a slight increase in overall climate risk, primarily driven by more frequent and intense heatwaves and increased flood risk.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Home Cooling and Energy Efficiency

Immediate

Install insulation, energy-efficient appliances, and cooling systems to reduce heat stress and lower energy bills.

Est. cost: Varies

Learn more

Implement Flood Mitigation Measures

Near-term

Install flood barriers, improve drainage around properties, and elevate electrical systems to reduce flood damage.

Est. cost: Varies

Learn more

Prepare a Bushfire Survival Plan

Immediate

Develop a plan for evacuating or sheltering in place during a bushfire, and maintain a well-stocked emergency kit.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Upgrade Drainage Infrastructure

Long-term

Invest in improved drainage systems to reduce the risk of flash flooding during heavy rainfall events.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Community Awareness Programs

Near-term

Implement community education programs to raise awareness about climate risks and adaptation strategies.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

About Leumeah's Climate Risk Profile

Leumeah, located in the Campbelltown region of New South Wales, is projected to experience significant impacts from climate change. The primary concerns are increased heatwave frequency and intensity, as well as a higher risk of flooding due to more intense rainfall events.

The suburb's proximity to bushland also contributes to a moderate bushfire risk, which is expected to worsen with hotter and drier conditions. While Leumeah is not directly exposed to coastal hazards, the broader regional impacts of sea-level rise and coastal erosion could indirectly affect the community.

Residents and property owners should take proactive measures to adapt to these changing conditions. This includes improving home energy efficiency to reduce heat stress, implementing flood mitigation strategies, and preparing for potential bushfire threats. Community-level planning and infrastructure upgrades are also essential to enhance resilience.

Understanding the specific risks and taking appropriate action will be crucial for ensuring the long-term sustainability and livability of Leumeah in a changing climate.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · SES NSW · RFS NSW · Campbelltown City Council

Local Government Resources

Campbelltown City Council

Climate StrategyFlood MapsEmergency Services

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks for Leumeah?

The main risks are increased heatwaves, flooding, and bushfire risk.

How will climate change affect property values in Leumeah?

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value. Increased insurance premiums are also likely.

What can I do to prepare for heatwaves in Leumeah?

Install insulation, energy-efficient appliances, and cooling systems. Stay hydrated and check on vulnerable neighbors.

How can I protect my property from flooding in Leumeah?

Install flood barriers, improve drainage, and elevate electrical systems.

What should I include in my bushfire survival plan in Leumeah?

Develop a plan for evacuating or sheltering in place, and maintain a well-stocked emergency kit.

Where can I find more information about climate change risks in Leumeah?

Consult the Campbelltown City Council website, the NSW State Emergency Service, and the NSW Rural Fire Service.

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