Is Lilli Pilli, NSW Climate Safe? 2026 Assessment
Climate Safety Score
5.2/10Moderate climate risk — address-specific
Key Facts
- Climate Safety
- Medium
- Flood
- Lilli Pilli faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to stormwater runoff and riverine flooding.
- Bushfire
- Lilli Pilli has a moderate bushfire risk due to its proximity to bushland areas. Dry vegetation and strong winds can increase the likelihood of bushfires.
- Heat
- Lilli Pilli experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves projected. This can impact vulnerable populations and infrastructure.
- Storm
- Moderate storm risk — East Coast Lows bring severe weather including hail and damaging winds
- Postcode
- 2229
- Highest high-risk exposure
- 7.3% of land (bushfire)
Climate Safety Analysis
Lilli Pilli in New South Wales has an overall climate safety rating of Medium. This multi-hazard assessment combines flood, bushfire, heat, coastal, and storm risk data with climate projections to 2050 from CSIRO and the Bureau of Meteorology.
Key factors affecting Lilli Pilli's climate safety include flood, coastal. Each hazard is assessed independently and combined for an overall picture. Australia has warmed by approximately 1.5 °C since 1910, with flow-on effects to fire weather, extreme rainfall, and heatwave frequency.
Climate safety for property in Lilli Pilli is not uniform — it varies by address. Factors such as elevation, distance to waterways, proximity to bushland, and local drainage all influence actual risk at a specific property. Two nearby properties can have materially different risk profiles.
For a complete property-specific climate safety report for Lilli Pilli including address-level hazard mapping, insurance outlook, and adaptation recommendations, use the ClimateNest full analysis tool.
Lilli Pilli (postcode 2229) is tracked in ClimateNest's suburb hazard model, which maps the share of the suburb's land exposed to each hazard at high and moderate levels. The suburb's highest high-risk exposures are bushfire (7.3% of land in high-risk zones), riverine flood (6.5% of land in high-risk zones), surface flood (4.4% of land in high-risk zones). Exposure is not uniform across Lilli Pilli — individual properties can sit well above or below these averages, so an address-level check is recommended before buying, selling or insuring.
Local Hazard Evidence
Historical Events
Heavy rainfall caused localized flooding in low-lying areas of Lilli Pilli.
Bushfires in the Royal National Park threatened the suburb, requiring residents to be on alert.
A prolonged heatwave resulted in high temperatures and increased demand for electricity.
Severe storms caused damage to property and infrastructure in the suburb.
Adaptation & Mitigation Actions
Improve stormwater drainage
Near-termUpgrade stormwater drainage infrastructure to reduce the risk of flooding during heavy rainfall events.
Est. cost: Medium
Bushfire hazard reduction
ImmediateImplement regular bushfire hazard reduction programs to reduce the risk of bushfires spreading to residential areas.
Est. cost: Low
Install solar panels and battery storage
Long-termEncourage residents to install solar panels and battery storage to reduce reliance on the grid during heatwaves and power outages.
Est. cost: High
Coastal protection measures
Long-termImplement coastal protection measures, such as seawalls and beach nourishment, to protect waterfront properties from sea level rise and coastal erosion.
Est. cost: Very High
Community education programs
Near-termConduct community education programs to raise awareness of climate risks and adaptation measures.
Est. cost: Low
Council & Emergency Services
Explore Lilli Pilli Risk Reports
View other climate risk assessments for Lilli Pilli:
Frequently Asked Questions
Is Lilli Pilli safe from climate change?
No location in Australia is entirely immune to climate change impacts. Lilli Pilli has an overall Medium climate risk rating. Understanding the specific hazards at your property address — not just the suburb average — provides the most reliable risk picture.
Which climate hazard poses the biggest risk in Lilli Pilli?
The dominant hazard for Lilli Pilli depends on geography and local environment. Proximity to waterways elevates flood risk, while proximity to bushland increases bushfire risk. ClimateNest's multi-hazard analysis identifies the highest-risk hazards for any specific address.
How does Lilli Pilli compare to nearby suburbs for climate safety?
Nearby suburbs may have different climate risk profiles depending on elevation, vegetation cover, drainage patterns, and land use. ClimateNest allows comparison of climate safety scores across New South Wales suburbs.
Should I be concerned about buying property in Lilli Pilli?
Climate risk should be one factor in your decision, alongside price, location, and amenity. An informed buyer understands the specific risks at a property address and factors insurance costs and climate projections into their assessment of long-term value.
What climate projections should I know for Lilli Pilli?
Key projections for New South Wales from CSIRO include increased average temperatures, more frequent hot days, changes in rainfall seasonality, longer fire seasons, and potential increases in extreme rainfall intensity. These trends inform the long-term outlook for Lilli Pilli.
What share of Lilli Pilli is exposed to high bushfire risk?
ClimateNest's hazard overlay maps 7.3% of Lilli Pilli in high-risk zones for bushfire, with a further 62.8% in moderate-risk zones. Suburb-level exposure is not uniform — individual properties can differ from these averages, so an address-level check is recommended.
Is Lilli Pilli Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Lilli Pilli, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
What A$69 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections