Bushfire Risk in Manchester Square, NSW: 2026 Assessment

Manchester Square, New South Wales
The suburb has a moderate risk of bushfires due to nearby bushland.Updated 30 May 2026

Bushfire Risk Score

4.2/10

The suburb has a moderate risk of bushfires due to nearby bushland.

Key Facts

Bushfire Risk
The suburb has a moderate risk of bushfires due to nearby bushland.
Trend
stable
Suburb
Manchester Square, NSW
Overall Risk
Medium
Postcode
2577
Highest high-risk exposure
22.4% of land (bushfire)

Bushfire Risk Analysis

Manchester Square, New South Wales, has a the suburb has a moderate risk of bushfires due to nearby bushland. bushfire risk profile. Key factors include distance to classified bushland, vegetation type, slope, and historical bushfire activity in the region. The New South Wales fire authority maps bushfire-prone areas and assigns BAL (Bushfire Attack Level) ratings.

Properties adjacent to or near bushland are at higher risk.

CSIRO research indicates climate change is extending fire seasons and increasing the number of severe fire weather days across southern and eastern Australia. For Manchester Square, this may mean shifts in bushfire risk levels over the coming decades, making property-level BAL assessment increasingly important.

Use ClimateNest for a complete address-level bushfire risk report for Manchester Square including BAL zone assessment, evacuation route mapping, and property-specific risk mitigation recommendations.

Manchester Square sits within ClimateNest's suburb-level hazard model for bushfire risk. 22.4% of the suburb's land area is mapped in high-risk bushfire zones and 52% in moderate-risk zones, based on the national hazard overlay. Exposure at this scale varies street by street, which is why an address-level check matters before you buy or insure a specific property in Manchester Square.

Manchester Square (postcode 2577) is tracked in ClimateNest's suburb hazard model, which maps the share of the suburb's land exposed to each hazard at high and moderate levels. The suburb's highest high-risk exposures are bushfire (22.4% of land in high-risk zones), riverine flood (6.3% of land in high-risk zones), surface flood (5.4% of land in high-risk zones). Exposure is not uniform across Manchester Square — individual properties can sit well above or below these averages, so an address-level check is recommended before buying, selling or insuring.

Local Hazard Evidence

Distance to BushlandWithin 5km
BAL Overlay / ZoneCheck NSW RFS website
Bushfire Prone AreaYes

Historical Events

2013
Moderate

Bushfires in the Blue Mountains region impacted air quality in Manchester Square.

Adaptation & Mitigation Actions

Improve Drainage Infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade local drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce flood risk.

Est. cost: High

Develop a Heat Action Plan

Immediate

Implement a community heat action plan to protect vulnerable residents during heatwaves.

Est. cost: Medium

Bushfire Risk Mitigation

Near-term

Implement vegetation management and property maintenance programs to reduce bushfire risk.

Est. cost: Medium

Community Awareness Programs

Long-term

Conduct community workshops and awareness campaigns on climate risks and adaptation measures.

Est. cost: Low

Promote Water Conservation

Long-term

Encourage water conservation practices to mitigate the impacts of drought and water scarcity.

Est. cost: Low

Council & Emergency Services

Example Council
Emergency Services

Data last updated: 30 May 2026

Explore Manchester Square Risk Reports

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Manchester Square in a bushfire prone area?

Parts of Manchester Square may be designated as bushfire prone land. Based on available data, Manchester Square has a notable bushfire risk. Check your specific property for BAL ratings through ClimateNest or your local council.

What BAL rating applies to properties in Manchester Square?

BAL ratings in Manchester Square depend on the property's distance from classified vegetation, vegetation type, and slope. A site-specific assessment under AS 3959 is required to determine the exact BAL rating for any property within the suburb.

Does bushfire risk affect insurance in Manchester Square?

Yes, properties in bushfire-prone parts of Manchester Square may face higher building insurance premiums. Insurers assess bushfire risk based on BAL rating, fire history, and proximity to bushland. Some insurers may restrict cover in very high-risk locations.

What bushfire mitigation measures help protect homes in Manchester Square?

Effective bushfire mitigation includes maintaining cleared asset protection zones, using ember-proof mesh on vents, installing metal gutter guards, using non-combustible building materials, and maintaining defendable space. Consult the New South Wales fire authority for property-specific guidance.

What share of Manchester Square is exposed to high bushfire risk?

ClimateNest's hazard overlay maps 22.4% of Manchester Square in high-risk zones for bushfire, with a further 52% in moderate-risk zones. Suburb-level exposure is not uniform — individual properties can differ from these averages, so an address-level check is recommended.

Is Manchester Square Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Manchester Square, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$69 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections