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Climate Risk Profile: Marom Creek, NSW

Marom Creek, New South Wales
Medium Risk
Updated Apr 2026

Marom Creek faces moderate risks from flooding and heatwaves, with bushfire risk also present. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks in the future. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.

Overall Risk Score

52/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.5
Bushfire
4.0
Heat
5.0
Coastal
1.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Marom Creek

increasing

Flood

65/100

Marom Creek faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to riverine and flash flooding.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
stable

Bushfire

40/100

The area around Marom Creek has a moderate bushfire risk due to the presence of surrounding bushland. Dry conditions and strong winds can exacerbate the risk during bushfire season.

Key drivers:

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures
increasing

Heat

50/100

Marom Creek experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwave events projected in the future.

Key drivers:

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urban heat island effect
stable

Coastal

10/100

Marom Creek is not directly located on the coast, resulting in a low coastal risk. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not significant concerns for this suburb.

Key drivers:

  • ·Distance from coast
stable

Wind

28/100

Moderate wind risk — East Coast Lows and gust fronts

stable

Storm

39/100

Moderate storm risk — severe thunderstorms and hail

stable

Social

21/100

Moderate social stability — mixed urban density

increasing

Energy

35/100

Moderate energy costs — climate-driven cooling demand

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Marom Creek

Should I Buy

Property buying guide with climate risk assessment

Flood Risk

Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections

Bushfire Risk

BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history

Climate Safety

Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050

Storm Risk

Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis

Heat Risk

Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs

Insurance Costs

Premium estimates and insurance availability

Investment Score

Climate-adjusted property investment analysis

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

50/100

Marom Creek experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwave events projected in the future.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

5.5

2050

6.0

Data source

flood Risk

65/100

Marom Creek faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to riverine and flash flooding.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
  • ·Climate change

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.0

2050

7.5

Data source

coastal Risk

10/100

Marom Creek is not directly located on the coast, resulting in a low coastal risk. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not significant concerns for this suburb.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Distance from coast

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

1.0

2050

1.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

40/100

The area around Marom Creek has a moderate bushfire risk due to the presence of surrounding bushland. Dry conditions and strong winds can exacerbate the risk during bushfire season.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures
  • ·Strong winds

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.2

2050

4.5

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to flood and bushfire risks.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience price stagnation or decline.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone area designations.
  • 2.Assess property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Obtain comprehensive insurance coverage.
  • 4.Develop an emergency plan.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Marom Creek
Elevation Range
10-30 meters
Flood Zone
Low-lying areas near the creek

Historical flood data indicates that properties near the creek are most vulnerable.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Adjacent to bushland reserves
Planning Overlay
RFS Bush Fire Prone Land Map
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

Properties on the urban fringe are at higher risk.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
30.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
3 days

Elderly residents are particularly vulnerable during heatwaves.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
15 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Minimal direct exposure
Erosion Risk
Negligible

Historical Climate Events

2017
floodModerate

Major flooding event impacted the region, causing damage to property and infrastructure.

Source
2019
bushfireModerate

Bushfires in the surrounding region caused smoky conditions and heightened fire danger.

Source
2020
heatwaveModerate

Prolonged heatwave event with temperatures exceeding 35°C for several days.

Source
2022
floodMajor

Significant flooding event caused widespread damage and displacement of residents.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood657.0(+0.5)7.5(+1.0)
bushfire404.2(+0.2)4.5(+0.5)
heat505.8(+0.8)6.5(+1.5)
coastal101.01.0

By 2030, Marom Creek is projected to experience an increase in the frequency and intensity of extreme weather events, particularly flooding and heatwaves.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Flood Defenses

Near-term

Invest in infrastructure to mitigate flood risks, such as levees, drainage improvements, and flood-proofing of buildings.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Enhance Bushfire Preparedness

Near-term

Implement bushfire management strategies, including controlled burns, vegetation clearing, and community education programs.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Develop Heatwave Response Plan

Immediate

Establish a heatwave response plan to protect vulnerable populations, including cooling centers, public awareness campaigns, and early warning systems.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Promote Water Conservation

Long-term

Encourage water conservation measures to reduce water stress during droughts and heatwaves, such as rainwater harvesting and water-efficient appliances.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Marom Creek's Climate Risk Profile

Marom Creek, located in New South Wales, is subject to a range of climate-related risks that are projected to intensify in the coming decades. The primary concerns for this suburb are flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves.

Flooding is a significant risk due to the suburb's proximity to waterways. Intense rainfall events can lead to both riverine and flash flooding, impacting properties and infrastructure. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of these rainfall events, further elevating the flood risk.

Bushfires pose another threat to Marom Creek, particularly during the dry summer months. The presence of surrounding bushland increases the risk of fire spreading to residential areas. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can create dangerous fire conditions, making it essential for residents to be prepared.

Heatwaves are also becoming more frequent and intense in Marom Creek. Rising average temperatures and prolonged periods of extreme heat can have significant impacts on human health, particularly for vulnerable populations. It is crucial for residents to take precautions to stay cool and hydrated during heatwave events.

While coastal risks are relatively low due to the suburb's inland location, the impacts of climate change will still be felt through increased extreme weather events. Residents should stay informed about local weather conditions and heed any warnings issued by emergency services.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · NSW RFS · Ballina Shire Council

Local Government Resources

Ballina Shire Council

Climate StrategyFlood MapsEmergency Services

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks facing Marom Creek?

The main climate risks include flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. These risks are expected to increase in the future due to climate change.

How can I prepare my property for flooding?

You can flood-proof your property by raising electrical outlets, installing a sump pump, and sealing foundation cracks. Check the Ballina Shire Council website for more information.

What should I do during a heatwave?

During a heatwave, stay indoors in air-conditioned environments, drink plenty of water, and avoid strenuous activities. Check on elderly neighbors and family members.

How can I protect my home from bushfires?

Clear vegetation around your home, install fire-resistant roofing, and have a bushfire survival plan in place. Refer to the NSW Rural Fire Service for detailed guidance.

Where can I find information about local emergency services?

You can find information about local emergency services on the NSW Emergency Services website.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Marom Creek, use our analysis tool.

Analyse a Property in Marom Creek →

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