Climate Risk Profile: Mogood, NSW
Mogood, NSW, faces increasing risks from bushfires, floods, and heatwaves due to climate change. The suburb's proximity to bushland and the Clyde River contribute to these vulnerabilities. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.
Overall Risk Score
Confidence: Medium
Hazard Breakdown
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Mogood
Flood
Mogood faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from the Clyde River and local creeks. Intense rainfall events can lead to riverine and flash flooding.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise impacting river flow
Bushfire
The area surrounding Mogood is highly susceptible to bushfires due to the presence of dense eucalyptus forests and dry conditions during summer. Climate change is expected to exacerbate bushfire risk.
Key drivers:
- ·Higher temperatures
- ·Prolonged droughts
Heat
Mogood is projected to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, including the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions.
Key drivers:
- ·Rising average temperatures
- ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
Coastal
Mogood is located inland and has a low direct risk from coastal hazards such as sea level rise and coastal erosion. However, the Clyde River is tidally influenced and may experience increased inundation.
Key drivers:
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Increased storm surge
Wind
Moderate wind risk — East Coast Lows and gust fronts
Storm
Moderate storm risk — severe thunderstorms and hail
Social
Moderate social stability — mixed urban density
Energy
Moderate energy costs — climate-driven cooling demand
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Mogood
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Mogood is projected to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, including the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions.
Primary Drivers
- ·Rising average temperatures
- ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
- ·Urban heat island effect
Projections (RCP8.5)
2030
6.5
2050
7.3
flood Risk
Mogood faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from the Clyde River and local creeks. Intense rainfall events can lead to riverine and flash flooding.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise impacting river flow
- ·Urban development increasing runoff
Projections (RCP8.5)
2030
7.0
2050
7.8
coastal Risk
Mogood is located inland and has a low direct risk from coastal hazards such as sea level rise and coastal erosion. However, the Clyde River is tidally influenced and may experience increased inundation.
Primary Drivers
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Increased storm surge
- ·Erosion of riverbanks
Projections (RCP8.5)
2030
3.5
2050
4.0
bushfire Risk
The area surrounding Mogood is highly susceptible to bushfires due to the presence of dense eucalyptus forests and dry conditions during summer. Climate change is expected to exacerbate bushfire risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Higher temperatures
- ·Prolonged droughts
- ·Increased fuel load
Projections (RCP8.5)
2030
8.5
2050
9.2
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums are likely to increase due to the rising risks of bushfires and floods.
Price Impact
Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value due to climate change impacts.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone area designations.
- 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to flooding and bushfires.
- 3.Obtain insurance quotes and understand policy coverage.
- 4.Develop a bushfire survival plan and flood evacuation plan.
- 5.Consider the long-term climate risks when making a purchase decision.
Local Climate Evidence
Flood Evidence
- Nearest Waterway
- Clyde River
- Elevation Range
- 5-50 meters
- Flood Zone
- Areas adjacent to the Clyde River are designated as flood zones.
Historical flood data indicates that Mogood has experienced several moderate to major flood events in the past. The council maintains flood maps and provides guidance on flood preparedness.
View council flood mapBushfire Evidence
- Distance to Bushland
- Adjacent to extensive bushland areas
- Planning Overlay
- Mogood is located within a designated bushfire prone area.
- Bushfire Prone Area
- Yes
The NSW Rural Fire Service provides information on bushfire risks and preparedness. Residents are encouraged to develop bushfire survival plans and maintain their properties to reduce fuel loads.
Heat Evidence
- Avg January Max Temp
- 30.5°C
- Heat Stress Days/Year
- 3 days
Bureau of Meteorology data indicates that Mogood experiences several days above 35°C each summer. Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense, posing a risk to vulnerable populations.
Coastal Evidence
- Distance to Coast
- 15 km
- Sea Level Rise Exposure
- Low direct exposure, but potential for increased tidal influence on the Clyde River.
- Erosion Risk
- Low
Historical Climate Events
The 2019-2020 Black Summer bushfires had a devastating impact on the region, with significant property damage and loss of life.
SourceA major flood event caused significant damage to infrastructure and properties along the Clyde River.
SourceA bushfire threatened properties in Mogood, requiring extensive firefighting efforts.
SourceA prolonged heatwave resulted in heat stress and health concerns for vulnerable residents.
SourceClimate Outlook to 2050
Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP4.5
| Hazard | Today | 2030 | 2050 | 2030 | 2050 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| flood | 65 | 6.8(+0.3) | 7.1(+0.6) | 7.0(+0.5) | 7.5(+1.0) |
| bushfire | 80 | 8.6(+0.6) | 9.0(+1.0) | 8.9(+0.9) | 9.5(+1.5) |
| heat | 60 | 6.4(+0.4) | 6.8(+0.8) | 6.6(+0.6) | 7.2(+1.2) |
| coastal | 30 | 3.1(+0.1) | 3.2(+0.2) | 3.2(+0.2) | 3.3(+0.3) |
Under a moderate emissions scenario, Mogood is projected to experience a slight increase in overall climate risk, with bushfire risk increasing more significantly than other hazards.
CSIRO Climate ProjectionsAdaptation Recommendations
Develop a Bushfire Survival Plan
ImmediateCreate a comprehensive plan that includes evacuation routes, emergency contacts, and a list of essential items to take with you.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreMaintain Your Property to Reduce Fuel Loads
ImmediateRegularly clear dry leaves, branches, and other flammable materials from around your home.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreImprove Home Insulation and Energy Efficiency
Near-termUpgrade insulation, install energy-efficient windows, and use shading to reduce heat gain during summer.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreInstall a Rainwater Tank
Long-termCollect rainwater for non-potable uses such as gardening and toilet flushing to reduce reliance on mains water during droughts.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreSupport Local Initiatives for Climate Resilience
Long-termParticipate in community programs and advocate for policies that promote climate adaptation and mitigation.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Mogood's Climate Risk Profile
Mogood is a rural locality in the Eurobodalla Shire, New South Wales. The region is characterized by undulating terrain, native forests, and the Clyde River. Climate change is expected to significantly impact Mogood, primarily through increased bushfire risk, more intense rainfall events leading to flooding, and more frequent heatwaves.
The primary concern for Mogood is the escalating bushfire risk. The surrounding forests provide ample fuel, and hotter, drier conditions are projected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires. Residents should maintain their properties to reduce fuel loads and have well-defined evacuation plans.
Flooding is another significant risk, particularly for properties near the Clyde River and local creeks. Intense rainfall events can cause riverine and flash flooding, potentially isolating communities and damaging infrastructure. Improved drainage and flood mitigation measures are essential.
Heatwaves are also projected to become more frequent and severe, posing a health risk to vulnerable populations. Ensuring access to cooling centers and promoting heat-safe practices are crucial adaptation strategies.
While coastal risks are relatively low due to Mogood's inland location, the Clyde River is tidally influenced, and sea level rise could exacerbate flooding in low-lying areas. Monitoring river levels and implementing appropriate coastal management strategies are important.
Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · NSW Rural Fire Service · Eurobodalla Shire Council
Local Government Resources
Eurobodalla Shire Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks for Mogood?
The main climate change risks for Mogood are increased bushfire risk, more intense rainfall events leading to flooding, and more frequent heatwaves. Sea level rise could also exacerbate flooding in low-lying areas along the Clyde River.
How can I prepare my property for bushfires?
You can prepare your property for bushfires by clearing dry leaves, branches, and other flammable materials from around your home. You should also have a well-defined bushfire survival plan and ensure that your home is adequately insured.
What should I do during a heatwave?
During a heatwave, it is important to stay hydrated, avoid strenuous activity, and seek shelter in a cool place. Check on vulnerable neighbors and family members, and be aware of the signs of heat stress.
Where can I find information on flood risks in Mogood?
You can find information on flood risks in Mogood on the Eurobodalla Shire Council website, which provides flood maps and guidance on flood preparedness. The Bureau of Meteorology also provides rainfall and river level data.
What is the council doing to address climate change?
The Eurobodalla Shire Council is developing and implementing strategies to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and adapt to the impacts of climate change. These strategies include promoting energy efficiency, investing in renewable energy, and improving flood management.
Will climate change affect my insurance premiums in Mogood?
Yes, it is likely that insurance premiums will increase due to the rising risks of bushfires and floods. It is important to obtain insurance quotes and understand policy coverage.
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