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Climate Risk Profile: Mount Adrah, NSW

Mount Adrah, New South Wales
Medium Risk
Updated May 2026

Mount Adrah faces moderate risks from bushfires, flooding, and heatwaves. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks, leading to more frequent and intense events. Residents should prepare for potential impacts and take steps to mitigate their exposure.

Overall Risk Score

52/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
4.5
Bushfire
6.0
Heat
5.0
Coastal
1.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Mount Adrah

increasing

Flood

45/100

Mount Adrah faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential riverine flooding. Local creeks and waterways can swell rapidly, impacting low-lying areas and infrastructure.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Changes in land use
increasing

Bushfire

60/100

The bushfire risk in Mount Adrah is relatively high due to the surrounding bushland and dry conditions, especially during the summer months. Grassfires and bushfires pose a threat to properties and infrastructure.

Key drivers:

  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Increased fuel load
increasing

Heat

50/100

Mount Adrah experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwave events. This can impact vulnerable populations and increase energy demand.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect
stable

Coastal

10/100

As an inland suburb, Mount Adrah has a very low direct risk from coastal hazards such as sea level rise and coastal erosion.

Key drivers:

  • ·Distance from the coast
stable

Wind

28/100

Moderate wind risk — East Coast Lows and gust fronts

stable

Storm

39/100

Moderate storm risk — severe thunderstorms and hail

stable

Social

21/100

Moderate social stability — mixed urban density

increasing

Energy

35/100

Moderate energy costs — climate-driven cooling demand

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Mount Adrah

Should I Buy

Property buying guide with climate risk assessment

Flood Risk

Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections

Bushfire Risk

BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history

Climate Safety

Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050

Storm Risk

Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis

Heat Risk

Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs

Insurance Costs

Premium estimates and insurance availability

Investment Score

Climate-adjusted property investment analysis

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

50/100

Mount Adrah experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwave events. This can impact vulnerable populations and increase energy demand.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

5.5

2050

6.0

Data source

flood Risk

45/100

Mount Adrah faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential riverine flooding. Local creeks and waterways can swell rapidly, impacting low-lying areas and infrastructure.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Changes in land use
  • ·Aging infrastructure

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

5.0

2050

5.5

Data source

coastal Risk

10/100

As an inland suburb, Mount Adrah has a very low direct risk from coastal hazards such as sea level rise and coastal erosion.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Distance from the coast

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

1.0

2050

1.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

60/100

The bushfire risk in Mount Adrah is relatively high due to the surrounding bushland and dry conditions, especially during the summer months. Grassfires and bushfires pose a threat to properties and infrastructure.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Increased fuel load
  • ·Higher temperatures

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.0

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to the elevated risk of bushfires and flooding.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone area designations.
  • 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Review insurance options and potential premium increases.
  • 4.Consider the long-term impacts of climate change on property value.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Adrah Creek
Elevation Range
250-350m
Flood Zone
Areas near Adrah Creek are prone to flooding.

Historical flood data indicates that the area has experienced several moderate flood events in the past.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Adjacent to significant bushland areas.
Planning Overlay
Refer to NSW RFS for bushfire prone area mapping.
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

The area has a history of bushfires, with several major events recorded in the past few decades.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
32.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
3 days

The number of days exceeding 35°C is projected to increase in the coming decades.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
350 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Not applicable.
Erosion Risk
Not applicable.

Historical Climate Events

2019
bushfireModerate

A bushfire near Mount Adrah caused property damage and required evacuations.

Source
2016
floodModerate

Heavy rainfall caused flooding in low-lying areas of Mount Adrah, impacting several homes and businesses.

Source
2013
heatwaveModerate

A prolonged heatwave resulted in increased hospital admissions and strain on energy resources.

Source
2007
floodMinor

Minor flooding occurred along Adrah Creek after a period of heavy rain.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood454.8(+0.3)5.0(+0.5)
bushfire606.4(+0.4)6.8(+0.8)
heat505.6(+0.6)6.2(+1.2)
coastal101.01.0

By 2030, Mount Adrah is projected to experience an increase in the frequency and intensity of heatwaves and bushfires, with a moderate increase in flood risk. Adaptation measures will be crucial to mitigate these impacts.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Develop a community bushfire preparedness plan

Immediate

Create a plan that outlines evacuation routes, emergency contacts, and property protection measures.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Improve drainage infrastructure to mitigate flood risk

Near-term

Upgrade drainage systems and implement flood control measures to reduce the impact of heavy rainfall events.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Implement a heat action plan to protect vulnerable populations

Immediate

Establish cooling centers, provide public awareness campaigns, and ensure access to healthcare during heatwaves.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Promote water conservation measures to address drought risk

Long-term

Encourage residents and businesses to reduce water consumption and implement water-efficient technologies.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Mount Adrah's Climate Risk Profile

Mount Adrah, located in New South Wales, is susceptible to a range of climate-related hazards. The primary concerns are bushfires, flooding, and heatwaves, which can impact the community and local infrastructure.

Bushfire risk is elevated due to the surrounding bushland, particularly during dry periods. Increased temperatures and reduced rainfall are expected to worsen these conditions, leading to a higher frequency and intensity of bushfires. Residents should maintain their properties and be prepared to evacuate if necessary.

Flooding is another significant concern, with heavy rainfall events causing local waterways to swell and inundate low-lying areas. Climate change is projected to increase rainfall intensity, further exacerbating flood risk. Improved drainage and flood mitigation measures are essential to protect properties and infrastructure.

Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense, posing a risk to vulnerable populations such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions. Rising average temperatures will increase the demand for cooling and strain energy resources. Implementing heat action plans and providing cooling centers can help mitigate the impacts of heatwaves.

While Mount Adrah is not directly exposed to coastal hazards, the broader impacts of climate change, such as disruptions to supply chains and increased migration, could indirectly affect the community. Adapting to these changes will require a coordinated effort from residents, businesses, and local government.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · NSW RFS · NSW SES · NSW Department of Planning and Environment

Local Government Resources

UNKNOWN

Climate StrategyFlood MapsEmergency Services

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks facing Mount Adrah?

Mount Adrah is primarily at risk from bushfires, flooding, and heatwaves. These risks are expected to increase with climate change.

How can I prepare my property for a bushfire?

Clear vegetation around your home, maintain gutters, and have a bushfire survival plan in place. Refer to the NSW RFS for detailed guidance.

What should I do during a heatwave?

Stay indoors, drink plenty of water, and avoid strenuous activity. Check on vulnerable neighbors and friends.

Where can I find information about local flood risks?

Consult the local council's flood maps and the NSW SES website for information on flood-prone areas and emergency procedures.

How is the local council addressing climate change?

The council is developing a climate strategy to reduce emissions and adapt to the impacts of climate change. More information can be found on the council's website.

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