Bushfire Risk in North Manly, NSW: 2026 Assessment
Bushfire Risk Score
4.0/10North Manly has a moderate bushfire risk due to the presence of nearby bushland. Hotter, drier conditions are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.
Key Facts
- Bushfire Risk
- North Manly has a moderate bushfire risk due to the presence of nearby bushland. Hotter, drier conditions are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.
- Trend
- increasing
- Suburb
- North Manly, NSW
- Overall Risk
- Medium
- Postcode
- 2100
- Highest high-risk exposure
- 19.9% of land (bushfire)
Bushfire Risk Analysis
North Manly, New South Wales, has a north manly has a moderate bushfire risk due to the presence of nearby bushland. hotter, drier conditions are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires. bushfire risk profile. Key factors include distance to classified bushland, vegetation type, slope, and historical bushfire activity in the region. The New South Wales fire authority maps bushfire-prone areas and assigns BAL (Bushfire Attack Level) ratings.
Properties bordering the national park are at increased risk.
CSIRO research indicates climate change is extending fire seasons and increasing the number of severe fire weather days across southern and eastern Australia. For North Manly, this may mean shifts in bushfire risk levels over the coming decades, making property-level BAL assessment increasingly important.
Use ClimateNest for a complete address-level bushfire risk report for North Manly including BAL zone assessment, evacuation route mapping, and property-specific risk mitigation recommendations.
North Manly sits within ClimateNest's suburb-level hazard model for bushfire risk. 19.9% of the suburb's land area is mapped in high-risk bushfire zones and 73.8% in moderate-risk zones, based on the national hazard overlay. Exposure at this scale varies street by street, which is why an address-level check matters before you buy or insure a specific property in North Manly.
North Manly (postcode 2100) is tracked in ClimateNest's suburb hazard model, which maps the share of the suburb's land exposed to each hazard at high and moderate levels. The suburb's highest high-risk exposures are bushfire (19.9% of land in high-risk zones), surface flood (6.7% of land in high-risk zones), extreme wind (5.1% of land in high-risk zones). Exposure is not uniform across North Manly — individual properties can sit well above or below these averages, so an address-level check is recommended before buying, selling or insuring.
Local Hazard Evidence
Historical Events
Bushfires in nearby areas caused smoke haze and increased fire risk in North Manly.
Adaptation & Mitigation Actions
Improve flood defenses
Near-termConstruct flood barriers and improve drainage infrastructure to protect properties from flooding.
Est. cost: High
Develop a heatwave plan
ImmediateImplement a heatwave plan to protect vulnerable populations during extreme heat events.
Est. cost: Low
Manage bushfire risk
Near-termImplement bushfire management strategies to reduce the risk of bushfires in the area.
Est. cost: Medium
Protect coastal areas
Long-termImplement coastal management strategies to protect coastal areas from erosion and inundation.
Est. cost: High
Council & Emergency Services
Explore North Manly Risk Reports
View other climate risk assessments for North Manly:
Frequently Asked Questions
Is North Manly in a bushfire prone area?
Parts of North Manly may be designated as bushfire prone land. Based on available data, North Manly has a notable bushfire risk. Check your specific property for BAL ratings through ClimateNest or your local council.
What BAL rating applies to properties in North Manly?
BAL ratings in North Manly depend on the property's distance from classified vegetation, vegetation type, and slope. A site-specific assessment under AS 3959 is required to determine the exact BAL rating for any property within the suburb.
Does bushfire risk affect insurance in North Manly?
Yes, properties in bushfire-prone parts of North Manly may face higher building insurance premiums. Insurers assess bushfire risk based on BAL rating, fire history, and proximity to bushland. Some insurers may restrict cover in very high-risk locations.
What bushfire mitigation measures help protect homes in North Manly?
Effective bushfire mitigation includes maintaining cleared asset protection zones, using ember-proof mesh on vents, installing metal gutter guards, using non-combustible building materials, and maintaining defendable space. Consult the New South Wales fire authority for property-specific guidance.
What share of North Manly is exposed to high bushfire risk?
ClimateNest's hazard overlay maps 19.9% of North Manly in high-risk zones for bushfire, with a further 73.8% in moderate-risk zones. Suburb-level exposure is not uniform — individual properties can differ from these averages, so an address-level check is recommended.
Is North Manly Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for North Manly, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
What A$69 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections