Climate Risk in Paupong, New South Wales

Paupong, New South Wales

Medium Risk

Updated May 2026

Paupong, NSW, faces increasing risks from bushfires and heatwaves. Flooding also poses a moderate threat. Residents should prepare for more extreme weather events in the future.

Overall Risk Score

55/100

Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood

4.0

Bushfire

6.0

Heat

6.0

Coastal

1.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Paupong

increasing

Flood

40/100

Paupong faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential riverine flooding. Local topography can exacerbate the impact of these events.

Key drivers:

·Increased rainfall intensity
·Changes in land use

increasing

Bushfire

60/100

Paupong has a high bushfire risk due to its proximity to bushland and prevailing dry conditions during the fire season. The risk is expected to increase with climate change.

Key drivers:

·Drier conditions
·Increased fuel load

increasing

Heat

60/100

Paupong is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves, posing a risk to vulnerable populations and infrastructure.

Key drivers:

·Rising average temperatures
·Increased frequency of heatwaves

stable

Coastal

10/100

Paupong is not directly exposed to coastal risks.

stable

Wind

28/100

Moderate wind risk — East Coast Lows and gust fronts

stable

Storm

39/100

Moderate storm risk — severe thunderstorms and hail

stable

Social

21/100

Moderate social stability — mixed urban density

increasing

Energy

35/100

Moderate energy costs — climate-driven cooling demand

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Paupong

Should I Buy

Property buying guide with climate risk assessment

Flood Risk

Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections

Bushfire Risk

BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history

Climate Safety

Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050

Storm Risk

Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis

Heat Risk

Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs

Insurance Costs

Premium estimates and insurance availability

Investment Score

Climate-adjusted property investment analysis

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

60/100

Paupong is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves, posing a risk to vulnerable populations and infrastructure.

Primary Drivers

·Rising average temperatures
·Increased frequency of heatwaves

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.0

Data source

flood Risk

40/100

Paupong faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential riverine flooding. Local topography can exacerbate the impact of these events.

Primary Drivers

·Increased rainfall intensity
·Changes in land use
·Aging infrastructure

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.5

2050

5.0

Data source

coastal Risk

10/100

Paupong is not directly exposed to coastal risks.

Projections (N/A)

2030

1.0

2050

1.0

bushfire Risk

60/100

Paupong has a high bushfire risk due to its proximity to bushland and prevailing dry conditions during the fire season. The risk is expected to increase with climate change.

Primary Drivers

·Drier conditions
·Increased fuel load
·Higher temperatures

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.0

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Premiums may increase due to climate risks

Price Impact

Potential for decreased property values in high-risk areas

Buyer Checklist

1.Check flood maps
2.Assess bushfire risk
3.Consider heatwave resilience
4.Review insurance options

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway: Local creeks and streams
Elevation Range: Varies across the suburb
Flood Zone: Potentially affected areas near waterways

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland: Adjacent to bushland areas
Planning Overlay: Refer to NSW RFS bushfire prone land maps
Bushfire Prone Area: Yes

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp: 30°C
Heat Stress Days/Year: 3 days

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast: 150 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure: Not applicable
Erosion Risk: Not applicable

Historical Climate Events

2019

bushfireMajor

Significant bushfires impacted the region, causing property damage and evacuations.

Source

2017

floodModerate

Heavy rainfall led to localized flooding in low-lying areas.

Source

2013

bushfireModerate

Bushfire near Paupong required fire crews to protect properties.

Source

2020

heatwaveModerate

Prolonged heatwave conditions affected the region, with temperatures exceeding 40 degrees Celsius for several days.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

Hazard	Today	2030	2050
flood	40	4.2(+0.2)	4.4(+0.4)
bushfire	60	6.3(+0.3)	6.6(+0.6)
heat	60	6.5(+0.5)	7.0(+1.0)
coastal	10	1.0	1.0

By 2030, Paupong is projected to experience a moderate increase in overall climate risk, with notable increases in bushfire and heatwave risks.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Prepare a Bushfire Survival Plan

Immediate

Develop and practice a bushfire survival plan with your family, including evacuation routes and emergency contacts.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Improve Home Cooling

Near-term

Install air conditioning or fans to improve home cooling and reduce the risk of heat stress during heatwaves.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Maintain Property

Immediate

Regularly clear gutters, remove flammable vegetation, and maintain your property to reduce bushfire risk.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Support Community Resilience Programs

Long-term

Participate in community-based programs that promote climate resilience and disaster preparedness.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Improve Flood Resilience

Near-term

Raise electrical outlets and appliances above potential flood levels. Consider installing flood barriers if your property is prone to flooding.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

About Paupong's Climate Risk Profile

Paupong, located in New South Wales, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary concerns for this area are bushfires, heatwaves, and flooding. Changes in weather patterns and rising temperatures are expected to exacerbate these risks in the coming decades.

Bushfire risk is particularly high due to the surrounding bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures create an environment conducive to more frequent and intense fires. Residents should maintain their properties and be prepared to evacuate if necessary.

Heatwaves are also becoming more common and severe, posing a threat to public health, especially for the elderly and those with pre-existing conditions. It is important to stay hydrated and seek shelter during periods of extreme heat.

Flooding can occur due to heavy rainfall events, potentially impacting low-lying areas. While Paupong is not directly on the coast, changes in rainfall patterns can still lead to localized flooding. Residents should be aware of flood warnings and take appropriate precautions.

Addressing these climate risks requires a combination of individual preparedness and community-level action. This includes implementing fire safety measures, developing heatwave response plans, and improving flood management infrastructure.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · NSW RFS · NSW SES

Local Government Resources

UNKNOWN

Flood Maps Emergency Services

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks for Paupong?

The main climate change risks for Paupong are bushfires, heatwaves, and flooding. These risks are expected to increase in the coming decades due to rising temperatures and changes in rainfall patterns.

How can I prepare my home for a bushfire?

To prepare your home for a bushfire, clear gutters, remove flammable vegetation, and create a defendable space around your property. Develop and practice a bushfire survival plan with your family.

What should I do during a heatwave?

During a heatwave, stay hydrated, seek shelter in air-conditioned buildings, and avoid strenuous activities. Check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.

Where can I find information about local flood risks?

Information about local flood risks can be found on the NSW State Emergency Service (SES) website and through your local council. Check flood maps and be aware of flood warnings.

How will climate change affect property values in Paupong?

Climate change may lead to decreased property values in high-risk areas due to increased insurance premiums and potential damage from extreme weather events. It's important to assess climate risks when buying or selling property.

What is the council doing to address climate change?

The local council is responsible for developing and implementing climate adaptation strategies. Contact the council to learn more about their specific plans and initiatives.