Climate Risk in Phoenix Park, NSW

Phoenix Park, New South Wales
Medium Risk
Updated May 2026

Phoenix Park, NSW, faces moderate climate risks, primarily from heatwaves and bushfires. Flooding is also a concern. Residents should prepare for increasing temperatures and potential extreme weather events.

Overall Risk Score

55/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
4.0
Bushfire
6.0
Heat
7.0
Coastal
1.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Phoenix Park

increasing

Flood

40/100

Flooding may pose a risk to Phoenix Park, particularly during periods of heavy rainfall. Low-lying areas are more vulnerable.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
stable

Bushfire

60/100

Phoenix Park faces a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding vegetation. Hot, dry conditions exacerbate the threat.

Key drivers:

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures
increasing

Heat

70/100

Rising temperatures are a concern in Phoenix Park, with potential for more frequent and intense heatwaves.

Key drivers:

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urban heat island effect
stable

Coastal

10/100

Coastal risks are minimal in Phoenix Park due to its inland location.

Key drivers:

  • ·Distance from coast
stable

Wind

28/100

Moderate wind risk — East Coast Lows and gust fronts

stable

Storm

39/100

Moderate storm risk — severe thunderstorms and hail

stable

Social

21/100

Moderate social stability — mixed urban density

increasing

Energy

35/100

Moderate energy costs — climate-driven cooling demand

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Phoenix Park

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

70/100

Rising temperatures are a concern in Phoenix Park, with potential for more frequent and intense heatwaves.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.5

2050

8.0

Data source

flood Risk

40/100

Flooding may pose a risk to Phoenix Park, particularly during periods of heavy rainfall. Low-lying areas are more vulnerable.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
  • ·Climate change

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.5

2050

5.0

Data source

coastal Risk

10/100

Coastal risks are minimal in Phoenix Park due to its inland location.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Distance from coast

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

1.0

2050

1.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

60/100

Phoenix Park faces a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding vegetation. Hot, dry conditions exacerbate the threat.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures
  • ·Wind patterns

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.0

2050

6.5

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Premiums may increase due to climate risks.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience price reductions.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps
  • 2.Assess bushfire risk
  • 3.Evaluate home insulation
  • 4.Consider future climate projections

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Local creeks
Elevation Range
Varies across the suburb
Flood Zone
Potentially affected areas near creeks

Check local council flood maps for specific property risks.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Adjacent to bushland areas
Planning Overlay
RFS bushfire prone land map
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

Properties near bushland are at higher risk.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
32°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
3 days

Urban areas experience higher temperatures due to the urban heat island effect.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
50 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Not directly exposed
Erosion Risk
Not applicable

Historical Climate Events

2020
floodModerate

Heavy rainfall caused localized flooding in low-lying areas of the region.

Source
2019
bushfireModerate

Bushfires impacted areas near Phoenix Park, leading to evacuations and property damage.

Source
2017
heatwaveModerate

A prolonged heatwave resulted in increased hospital admissions and strain on infrastructure.

Source
2015
stormMinor

A severe storm caused power outages and minor property damage in the area.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood404.3(+0.3)4.5(+0.5)
bushfire606.2(+0.2)6.4(+0.4)
heat708.0(+1.0)9.0(+2.0)
coastal101.01.0

By 2030, Phoenix Park is projected to experience a notable increase in heatwave intensity and frequency. Bushfire risk will also slightly increase, while flood risk remains relatively stable. Coastal risks remain low.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Home Insulation

Near-term

Enhance insulation to reduce heat absorption during summer and retain warmth during winter, lowering energy consumption and improving comfort.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Develop Bushfire Action Plan

Immediate

Create a comprehensive bushfire action plan, including evacuation routes, emergency contacts, and property protection measures.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Install Water Tanks

Long-term

Install rainwater tanks to collect and store water for non-potable uses, reducing reliance on mains water supply during droughts and conserving water resources.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Plant Native Trees

Near-term

Plant native trees and vegetation to provide shade, reduce the urban heat island effect, and enhance biodiversity.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Phoenix Park's Climate Risk Profile

Phoenix Park is a suburb in New South Wales that is exposed to several climate-related risks. The primary concerns are increasing temperatures and the potential for more frequent and intense heatwaves. Bushfire risk is also a significant factor due to the surrounding vegetation.

Flooding can occur during periods of heavy rainfall, particularly in low-lying areas. While coastal risks are minimal due to its inland location, the suburb is not entirely immune to the effects of climate change.

Climate projections indicate that these risks will likely increase in the coming decades. Residents should take proactive measures to adapt to these changes, such as improving home insulation, creating bushfire action plans, and staying informed about weather warnings.

Local authorities are working to address these challenges through climate adaptation strategies and emergency management plans. However, individual preparedness is crucial for mitigating the impacts of climate change in Phoenix Park.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · NSW RFS · NSW SES

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Phoenix Park?

The main risks include increasing heatwaves, bushfire risk, and potential flooding during heavy rainfall events.

How will climate change affect property values in Phoenix Park?

Properties in high-risk areas may experience price reductions, while those with climate-resilient features may retain or increase their value.

What can I do to prepare my home for heatwaves?

Improve insulation, install air conditioning or fans, and ensure adequate ventilation to reduce heat stress.

How can I protect my property from bushfires?

Clear vegetation around your home, create a bushfire action plan, and ensure you have adequate insurance coverage.

Where can I find information about local flood risks?

Consult local council flood maps and emergency services websites for detailed information about flood-prone areas.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Phoenix Park, use our analysis tool.

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What A$69 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections