Climate Risk Profile: Queens Park, NSW

Queens Park, New South Wales· Waverley
Medium Risk
Updated May 2026

Queens Park faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding, heatwaves, and potential coastal impacts. Rising temperatures and increased rainfall intensity are key concerns. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.

Overall Risk Score

52/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.5
Bushfire
3.0
Heat
6.0
Coastal
5.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Queens Park

increasing

Flood

65/100

Queens Park has a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Localized heavy rainfall events can cause flash flooding.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
stable

Bushfire

30/100

Queens Park has a relatively low risk of bushfire due to its urban location and limited vegetation. However, ember attacks from distant fires are still possible.

Key drivers:

  • ·Proximity to Centennial Park
  • ·Dry vegetation
increasing

Heat

60/100

Queens Park experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwave events projected. Vulnerable populations are at higher risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect
increasing

Coastal

50/100

Queens Park faces a moderate coastal risk due to potential sea level rise and storm surge impacts on nearby coastal areas. While the park itself is inland, infrastructure and access routes could be affected.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm intensity
stable

Wind

28/100

Moderate wind risk — East Coast Lows and gust fronts

stable

Storm

39/100

Moderate storm risk — severe thunderstorms and hail

stable

Social

21/100

Moderate social stability — mixed urban density

increasing

Energy

35/100

Moderate energy costs — climate-driven cooling demand

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Queens Park

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

60/100

Queens Park experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwave events projected. Vulnerable populations are at higher risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect
  • ·Reduced green space

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.0

Data source

flood Risk

65/100

Queens Park has a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Localized heavy rainfall events can cause flash flooding.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
  • ·Aging drainage infrastructure

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.0

2050

7.5

Data source

coastal Risk

50/100

Queens Park faces a moderate coastal risk due to potential sea level rise and storm surge impacts on nearby coastal areas. While the park itself is inland, infrastructure and access routes could be affected.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm intensity
  • ·Coastal erosion

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

5.5

2050

6.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

30/100

Queens Park has a relatively low risk of bushfire due to its urban location and limited vegetation. However, ember attacks from distant fires are still possible.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Proximity to Centennial Park
  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·Wind patterns

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

3.2

2050

3.5

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to flood and storm risks.

Price Impact

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a slight price decrease.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and insurance costs.
  • 2.Assess property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Consider potential impacts of sea level rise on nearby infrastructure.
  • 4.Inquire about council's climate adaptation plans.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Bronte Gully
Elevation Range
50-70m
Flood Zone
Low to Moderate

Historical flood events have impacted properties near Bronte Gully. Council flood maps provide detailed information on flood risk areas.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Adjacent to Centennial Park
Planning Overlay
Not significantly affected
Bushfire Prone Area
No

While adjacent to Centennial Park, Queens Park is not designated as a high-risk bushfire zone due to urban development.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
27.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
3.2 days

Average January maximum temperatures are increasing, with more frequent heat stress events recorded annually. Data sourced from BOM.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
1.5 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Low to Moderate
Erosion Risk
Low

Historical Climate Events

2022
floodModerate

Heavy rainfall caused localized flooding in low-lying areas of Queens Park, impacting some residential properties. Source: Local news reports.

Source
2020
heatwaveModerate

A prolonged heatwave in January 2020 resulted in increased hospital admissions for heat-related illnesses in the Waverley area. Source: BOM.

Source
2016
stormMinor

A severe storm caused minor damage to trees and power lines in Queens Park. Source: Local council records.

Source
2007
stormModerate

East Coast Low brought heavy rain and strong winds, causing some flash flooding and property damage in the area. Source: BOM

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood657.0(+0.5)7.5(+1.0)
bushfire303.2(+0.2)3.5(+0.5)
heat606.8(+0.8)7.2(+1.2)
coastal505.3(+0.3)5.6(+0.6)

By 2030, Queens Park is projected to experience a moderate increase in overall climate risk, with heatwaves and flooding posing the greatest challenges. Sea level rise will also begin to impact coastal infrastructure.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Upgrade Drainage Infrastructure

Near-term

Invest in upgrading drainage infrastructure to mitigate the risk of flash flooding during heavy rainfall events.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Implement Heatwave Management Plan

Immediate

Develop and implement a heatwave management plan to protect vulnerable populations during extreme heat events.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Increase Green Space

Near-term

Increase green space and tree canopy cover to reduce the urban heat island effect and provide shade.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Coastal Adaptation Planning

Long-term

Develop a coastal adaptation plan to address the potential impacts of sea level rise and storm surges on nearby coastal areas.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Community Awareness Programs

Immediate

Implement community awareness programs to educate residents about climate risks and preparedness measures.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Queens Park's Climate Risk Profile

Queens Park, located in Sydney's eastern suburbs, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The suburb's proximity to waterways and its urban environment contribute to its flood and heat risks. Sea level rise also poses a threat to nearby coastal areas, potentially affecting access and infrastructure.

Flooding is a significant concern, with localized heavy rainfall events capable of causing flash flooding. Aging drainage infrastructure and increased urbanization exacerbate this risk. Residents should be aware of flood warnings and take necessary precautions.

Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense, posing a health risk to vulnerable populations, particularly the elderly and those with pre-existing conditions. The urban heat island effect further amplifies temperatures in built-up areas. Increasing green space and implementing cooling strategies can help mitigate this risk.

While Queens Park is not directly on the coast, sea level rise and storm surges could impact nearby coastal areas, affecting access routes and infrastructure. Coastal erosion is also a concern. Planning for coastal adaptation is essential to protect the suburb's connectivity and amenities.

Addressing these climate risks requires a multi-faceted approach, including upgrading drainage infrastructure, increasing green space, implementing heatwave management plans, and planning for coastal adaptation. Community awareness and preparedness are also crucial to building resilience.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · NSW SES · NSW RFS · Waverley Council

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks facing Queens Park?

Queens Park faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding, heatwaves, and potential coastal impacts. Rising temperatures and increased rainfall intensity are key concerns.

How is Waverley Council addressing climate change?

Waverley Council has implemented a number of initiatives to address climate change, including upgrading drainage infrastructure, increasing green space, and developing a coastal adaptation plan. More information can be found on the council's website.

What can residents do to prepare for heatwaves?

Residents can prepare for heatwaves by staying hydrated, seeking shade, and checking on vulnerable neighbors. Waverley Council also provides cooling centers during extreme heat events.

Where can I find information on flood risks in Queens Park?

Detailed information on flood risks in Queens Park can be found on the Waverley Council website, including flood maps and historical flood data.

How will sea level rise affect Queens Park?

While Queens Park is not directly on the coast, sea level rise could impact nearby coastal areas, affecting access routes and infrastructure. Waverley Council is developing a coastal adaptation plan to address these risks.

Is my property in Queens Park at risk of bushfire?

While Queens Park is adjacent to Centennial Park, it is not designated as a high-risk bushfire zone due to urban development. However, residents should still be aware of ember attack risks during bushfire season.

Get your property's risk report

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What A$69 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections