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Climate Risk Profile: Queens Pinch, NSW

Queens Pinch, New South Wales
High Risk
Updated May 2026

Queens Pinch faces significant climate risks, particularly from bushfires, flooding, and heatwaves. These risks are projected to increase in the future due to climate change. Residents should take steps to prepare for these hazards.

Overall Risk Score

72/100
High

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.5
Bushfire
8.0
Heat
7.0
Coastal
2.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Queens Pinch

increasing

Flood

65/100

Queens Pinch faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to riverine and flash flooding.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
increasing

Bushfire

80/100

The area surrounding Queens Pinch is susceptible to bushfires, particularly during dry and windy conditions. The presence of nearby bushland increases the risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Drier climate
  • ·Increased fuel load
increasing

Heat

70/100

Queens Pinch is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves in the future. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations and infrastructure.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect
stable

Coastal

20/100

Queens Pinch is not directly exposed to coastal hazards, but may experience indirect impacts from sea level rise and coastal storms.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Coastal erosion
stable

Wind

40/100

Moderate wind risk — East Coast Lows and gust fronts

stable

Storm

55/100

Moderate storm risk — severe thunderstorms and hail

stable

Social

30/100

Moderate social stability — mixed urban density

increasing

Energy

50/100

Moderate energy costs — climate-driven cooling demand

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Queens Pinch

Should I Buy

Property buying guide with climate risk assessment

Flood Risk

Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections

Bushfire Risk

BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history

Climate Safety

Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050

Storm Risk

Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis

Heat Risk

Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs

Insurance Costs

Premium estimates and insurance availability

Investment Score

Climate-adjusted property investment analysis

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

70/100

Queens Pinch is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves in the future. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations and infrastructure.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.5

2050

8.0

Data source

flood Risk

65/100

Queens Pinch faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to riverine and flash flooding.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
  • ·Climate change

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.0

2050

7.5

Data source

coastal Risk

20/100

Queens Pinch is not directly exposed to coastal hazards, but may experience indirect impacts from sea level rise and coastal storms.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Coastal erosion

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

2.0

2050

2.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

80/100

The area surrounding Queens Pinch is susceptible to bushfires, particularly during dry and windy conditions. The presence of nearby bushland increases the risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Drier climate
  • ·Increased fuel load
  • ·Extreme weather events

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

8.5

2050

9.0

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Premiums are likely to increase due to the elevated risk of bushfires and floods.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone area designations.
  • 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Obtain adequate insurance coverage.
  • 4.Develop an emergency plan.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Hawkesbury River
Elevation Range
50-100m
Flood Zone
Low to Moderate

Historical flood data indicates that properties near the Hawkesbury River are most vulnerable.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Adjacent
Planning Overlay
RFS Bush Fire Prone Land
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

The area is designated as bushfire prone, requiring specific building standards for new constructions.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
32.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
5 days

The number of days exceeding 35°C is projected to increase in the coming decades.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
50 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Low
Erosion Risk
Low

Historical Climate Events

2019
bushfireMajor

The 2019 bushfires caused significant damage to properties and infrastructure in the region.

Source
2022
floodModerate

Heavy rainfall led to widespread flooding along the Hawkesbury River.

Source
2017
heatwaveModerate

A prolonged heatwave resulted in increased hospital admissions and strain on the electricity grid.

Source
2013
bushfireMinor

A small bushfire near Queens Pinch was quickly contained by fire crews.

Source
2011
floodMinor

Minor flooding occurred along the Hawkesbury River after heavy rainfall.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood656.8(+0.3)7.0(+0.5)
bushfire808.4(+0.4)8.8(+0.8)
heat707.6(+0.6)8.0(+1.0)
coastal202.02.0

By 2030, Queens Pinch is projected to experience a moderate increase in overall climate risk, with notable increases in bushfire and heatwave intensity.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Bushfire Preparedness

Immediate

Clear vegetation around properties, develop a bushfire survival plan, and install fire-resistant building materials.

Est. cost: Low to Medium

Learn more

Enhance Flood Resilience

Near-term

Elevate homes above flood levels, install flood barriers, and develop a flood emergency plan.

Est. cost: Medium to High

Learn more

Reduce Heat Exposure

Near-term

Install air conditioning, improve insulation, and plant trees to provide shade.

Est. cost: Low to Medium

Learn more

Strengthen Emergency Response

Long-term

Improve community early warning systems and enhance emergency services capacity.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Promote Water Conservation

Long-term

Implement water-saving measures to reduce water stress during droughts and heatwaves.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Queens Pinch's Climate Risk Profile

Queens Pinch is located in a region that is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary risks include bushfires, flooding, and heatwaves. Changes in rainfall patterns and rising temperatures are exacerbating these hazards.

Bushfire risk is elevated due to the presence of surrounding bushland. Drier conditions and increased fuel loads contribute to the potential for more frequent and intense fires. Residents should maintain their properties and be prepared to evacuate if necessary.

Flooding is a concern due to the proximity of waterways. Intense rainfall events can cause rivers to overflow and lead to flash flooding. It is important to stay informed about weather forecasts and flood warnings.

Heatwaves are becoming more common and severe. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions. It is important to stay hydrated and seek shelter in cool places during heatwaves.

Addressing these climate risks requires a combination of individual preparedness and community-level action. This includes measures such as improving building resilience, enhancing emergency response capabilities, and reducing greenhouse gas emissions.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · NSW RFS · NSW SES · NSW Department of Planning and Environment

Local Government Resources

UNKNOWN

Flood MapsEmergency Services

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks in Queens Pinch?

The main climate risks in Queens Pinch are bushfires, flooding, and heatwaves. These risks are projected to increase in the future due to climate change.

How can I prepare my property for bushfires?

You can prepare your property for bushfires by clearing vegetation around your home, developing a bushfire survival plan, and installing fire-resistant building materials.

What should I do during a flood?

During a flood, you should stay informed about weather forecasts and flood warnings, move to higher ground if necessary, and avoid driving through floodwaters.

How can I stay safe during a heatwave?

During a heatwave, you should stay hydrated, seek shelter in cool places, and avoid strenuous activity.

Where can I find more information about climate change in Queens Pinch?

You can find more information about climate change in Queens Pinch from the local council, state government agencies, and scientific organizations such as CSIRO and the Bureau of Meteorology.

Is Queens Pinch a good place to invest in property considering climate change?

While Queens Pinch offers many benefits, potential investors should carefully consider the increasing climate risks, particularly bushfire and flood, and factor in potential insurance costs and adaptation measures.

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What A$69 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections