ClimateNest
ClimateNest

Climate Risk in Raby, NSW

Raby, New South Wales· Campbelltown· 2566
Medium Risk
Updated May 2026

Raby is a suburb in New South Wales that faces moderate risks from flooding and heatwaves. Bushfire risk is also present. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks in the future.

Overall Risk Score

52/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.5
Bushfire
4.0
Heat
6.0
Coastal
1.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Raby

increasing

Flood

65/100

Raby faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and nearby waterways. The risk is expected to increase due to climate change.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
stable

Bushfire

40/100

Raby has a moderate bushfire risk due to its proximity to bushland areas. Hot, dry conditions during summer increase the likelihood of bushfires.

Key drivers:

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures
increasing

Heat

60/100

Raby experiences a high number of hot days during summer, posing a risk to vulnerable populations. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of heatwaves.

Key drivers:

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urban heat island effect
stable

Coastal

10/100

Raby is located inland and does not face a direct risk from coastal hazards.

stable

Wind

28/100

Moderate wind risk — East Coast Lows and gust fronts

stable

Storm

39/100

Moderate storm risk — severe thunderstorms and hail

stable

Social

21/100

Moderate social stability — mixed urban density

increasing

Energy

35/100

Moderate energy costs — climate-driven cooling demand

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Raby

Should I Buy

Property buying guide with climate risk assessment

Flood Risk

Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections

Bushfire Risk

BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history

Climate Safety

Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050

Storm Risk

Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis

Heat Risk

Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs

Insurance Costs

Premium estimates and insurance availability

Investment Score

Climate-adjusted property investment analysis

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

60/100

Raby experiences a high number of hot days during summer, posing a risk to vulnerable populations. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of heatwaves.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.0

Data source

flood Risk

65/100

Raby faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and nearby waterways. The risk is expected to increase due to climate change.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
  • ·Climate change

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.0

2050

7.5

Data source

coastal Risk

10/100

Raby is located inland and does not face a direct risk from coastal hazards.

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

1.0

2050

1.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

40/100

Raby has a moderate bushfire risk due to its proximity to bushland areas. Hot, dry conditions during summer increase the likelihood of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures
  • ·Wind

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.2

2050

4.5

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to the rising risk of flooding and heatwaves.

Price Impact

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
  • 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to bushfires.
  • 3.Consider the property's energy efficiency and ability to withstand heatwaves.
  • 4.Review insurance options and premiums.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Bunbury Curran Creek
Elevation Range
60-80m
Flood Zone
Low to Moderate

Parts of Raby are located near floodplains, increasing the risk of inundation during heavy rainfall events.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Adjacent
Planning Overlay
Raby is partially covered by bushfire prone land.
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

The western and southern edges of Raby border bushland, increasing the risk of ember attacks during bushfires.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
30.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
5 days

Raby experiences several days above 35°C during summer, increasing the risk of heat stress for vulnerable populations.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
45 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Not applicable
Erosion Risk
Not applicable

Historical Climate Events

2011
floodModerate

Heavy rainfall caused flooding in parts of Raby, affecting homes and businesses.

Source
2013
bushfireMinor

A bushfire near Raby caused smoke haze and required residents to be prepared to evacuate.

Source
2017
heatwaveModerate

A prolonged heatwave in January resulted in increased hospital admissions and strain on infrastructure.

Source
2020
floodModerate

Significant rainfall events led to localized flooding, impacting roads and some residential areas.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood657.0(+0.5)7.5(+1.0)
bushfire404.2(+0.2)4.5(+0.5)
heat606.8(+0.8)7.5(+1.5)
coastal101.01.0

By 2030, Raby is projected to experience a notable increase in heatwave intensity and frequency, along with a heightened risk of flooding due to more intense rainfall events. Bushfire risk will also slightly increase. Coastal risks remain negligible.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve stormwater drainage

Near-term

Upgrade stormwater infrastructure to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce the risk of flooding.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Implement a heatwave management plan

Immediate

Develop a plan to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, including cooling centers and community outreach programs.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Bushfire hazard reduction

Near-term

Conduct regular hazard reduction burns and maintain firebreaks to reduce the risk of bushfires.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Community awareness programs

Long-term

Educate residents about climate change risks and adaptation measures.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Raby's Climate Risk Profile

Raby, located in the southwestern suburbs of Sydney, is exposed to several climate-related risks. The primary concerns are flooding from heavy rainfall and heatwaves during the summer months. The suburb's proximity to waterways increases its vulnerability to flooding, while urban development contributes to the urban heat island effect, exacerbating heatwave impacts.

Bushfire risk is also a consideration for Raby, given its proximity to bushland areas. While not as significant as flooding or heatwaves, the potential for bushfires during dry periods remains a concern. Coastal risks are minimal due to Raby's inland location.

Climate change projections indicate that Raby will experience more frequent and intense heatwaves, as well as increased rainfall intensity, leading to a higher risk of flooding. These changes pose challenges for the community and require proactive adaptation measures.

Residents and property owners in Raby should be aware of these risks and take steps to prepare for potential climate-related events. This includes having an emergency plan, maintaining insurance coverage, and implementing measures to reduce the impact of heatwaves and flooding. Local authorities are working to address these challenges through infrastructure improvements and community awareness programs.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · NSW SES · NSW RFS · Campbelltown City Council

Local Government Resources

Campbelltown City Council

Climate StrategyFlood MapsEmergency Services

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Raby?

The main climate change risks in Raby are increased flooding due to more intense rainfall, more frequent and severe heatwaves, and a moderate risk of bushfires.

How will climate change affect property values in Raby?

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value, while properties that are well-adapted to heatwaves may become more desirable.

What is the council doing to address climate change in Raby?

Campbelltown City Council is implementing various measures to address climate change, including upgrading stormwater infrastructure, developing a heatwave management plan, and conducting community awareness programs.

How can I prepare my home for a heatwave in Raby?

You can prepare your home for a heatwave by installing insulation, using fans and air conditioning, and staying hydrated.

Where can I find information about flood risks in Raby?

You can find information about flood risks in Raby on the Campbelltown City Council website and the NSW State Emergency Service website.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Raby, use our analysis tool.

Analyse a Property in Raby →

Check Your flood Risk Now

Check Raby's specific flood risk and see how it compares to nearby suburbs. Enter your address for an instant risk assessment.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data
Get Your flood Risk Report — A$69

What A$69 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections