Climate Risk in Ramsgate, NSW

Ramsgate, New South Wales· Bayside· 2217
Medium Risk
Updated May 2026

Ramsgate is a suburb in New South Wales that faces moderate climate risks. The primary concerns are flooding, heatwaves, and coastal hazards. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.

Overall Risk Score

58/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.5
Bushfire
3.0
Heat
7.0
Coastal
6.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Ramsgate

increasing

Flood

65/100

Ramsgate faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the coast and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to stormwater inundation.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
stable

Bushfire

30/100

Bushfire risk in Ramsgate is relatively low due to its urban environment and distance from large bushland areas. However, ember attacks from distant fires remain a potential threat.

Key drivers:

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·Strong winds
increasing

Heat

70/100

Ramsgate experiences a high risk of heatwaves, particularly during summer. Urban heat island effect exacerbates the impact of high temperatures.

Key drivers:

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urbanisation
increasing

Coastal

60/100

Ramsgate is exposed to coastal hazards such as sea level rise and storm surges. Erosion and inundation pose a threat to coastal infrastructure and properties.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm intensity
stable

Wind

28/100

Moderate wind risk — East Coast Lows and gust fronts

stable

Storm

39/100

Moderate storm risk — severe thunderstorms and hail

stable

Social

21/100

Moderate social stability — mixed urban density

increasing

Energy

35/100

Moderate energy costs — climate-driven cooling demand

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Ramsgate

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

70/100

Ramsgate experiences a high risk of heatwaves, particularly during summer. Urban heat island effect exacerbates the impact of high temperatures.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urbanisation
  • ·Reduced green space

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.5

2050

8.0

Data source

flood Risk

65/100

Ramsgate faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the coast and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to stormwater inundation.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.0

2050

7.5

Data source

coastal Risk

60/100

Ramsgate is exposed to coastal hazards such as sea level rise and storm surges. Erosion and inundation pose a threat to coastal infrastructure and properties.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm intensity
  • ·Coastal development

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

30/100

Bushfire risk in Ramsgate is relatively low due to its urban environment and distance from large bushland areas. However, ember attacks from distant fires remain a potential threat.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·Strong winds
  • ·Arson

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

3.2

2050

3.5

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums are likely to increase due to climate risks.

Price Impact

Property values may be negatively impacted by increased flood and coastal risks.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and insurance costs.
  • 2.Assess property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Consider potential impacts of sea level rise.
  • 4.Inquire about council's climate adaptation plans.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Botany Bay
Elevation Range
0-10 meters
Flood Zone
Coastal floodplain

Several streets in Ramsgate are prone to flash flooding during heavy rain events.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
2 km to nearest bushland
Planning Overlay
Not significantly affected by bushfire overlay
Bushfire Prone Area
No

The risk is primarily from ember attacks rather than direct flame.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
29°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
5 days

Elderly residents are particularly vulnerable during heatwaves.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
0.5 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Moderate exposure to sea level rise
Erosion Risk
Some areas at risk of coastal erosion

Historical Climate Events

2022
floodModerate

Heavy rainfall caused flash flooding in low-lying areas of Ramsgate, resulting in property damage and road closures.

Source
2020
heatwaveModerate

A prolonged heatwave in January led to increased hospital admissions and strain on the electricity grid.

Source
2016
stormModerate

A severe storm caused damage to coastal infrastructure and power outages in Ramsgate.

Source
2007
floodMinor

Localized flooding occurred after a period of intense rainfall, affecting several homes and businesses.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood657.0(+0.5)7.5(+1.0)
bushfire303.2(+0.2)3.5(+0.5)
heat707.8(+0.8)8.5(+1.5)
coastal606.5(+0.5)7.0(+1.0)

By 2030, Ramsgate is projected to experience a moderate increase in overall climate risk, with heatwaves and coastal flooding posing the greatest challenges.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Upgrade stormwater drainage infrastructure

Near-term

Invest in upgrading the stormwater drainage system to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce the risk of flash flooding.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Implement a heatwave management plan

Immediate

Develop and implement a heatwave management plan to protect vulnerable residents during extreme heat events.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Protect and restore coastal ecosystems

Long-term

Protect and restore coastal ecosystems such as mangroves and saltmarshes to provide natural buffers against sea level rise and storm surges.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Raise awareness about climate risks

Near-term

Conduct community awareness campaigns to educate residents about climate risks and adaptation measures.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Promote water-sensitive urban design

Long-term

Encourage the use of water-sensitive urban design principles in new developments to reduce stormwater runoff and improve water quality.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

About Ramsgate's Climate Risk Profile

Ramsgate, located in the Bayside Council area of New South Wales, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The suburb's proximity to the coast makes it susceptible to sea level rise and storm surges, which can lead to coastal erosion and inundation of low-lying areas.

Heatwaves are another significant concern for Ramsgate residents. As temperatures rise, the urban heat island effect intensifies, leading to higher energy consumption for cooling and increased health risks for vulnerable populations. The suburb's aging infrastructure may struggle to cope with the increased demand during extreme heat events.

Flooding is also a risk, particularly during periods of heavy rainfall. The existing stormwater drainage system may be inadequate to handle the increased runoff, leading to localized flooding and property damage. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks, with more frequent and intense rainfall events.

While bushfire risk is relatively low compared to other parts of NSW, Ramsgate is not entirely immune. Ember attacks from distant fires can still pose a threat, and residents should take precautions to protect their homes and families. Overall, Ramsgate needs to implement adaptation strategies to mitigate the impacts of climate change and ensure the safety and well-being of its residents.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · NSW SES · NSW RFS · NSW Department of Planning and Environment

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Ramsgate?

The main climate change risks in Ramsgate are flooding, heatwaves, and coastal hazards such as sea level rise and storm surges.

How will climate change affect property values in Ramsgate?

Climate change may negatively impact property values in Ramsgate due to increased flood and coastal risks. Properties in low-lying areas are particularly vulnerable.

What is the council doing to address climate change in Ramsgate?

Bayside Council is developing and implementing climate adaptation plans to reduce the risks associated with climate change, such as upgrading stormwater drainage infrastructure and promoting water-sensitive urban design.

How can I prepare my home for heatwaves in Ramsgate?

You can prepare your home for heatwaves by installing insulation, using energy-efficient appliances, and creating shade with trees and awnings. It's also important to stay hydrated and check on vulnerable neighbors during extreme heat events.

Where can I find information about flood risks in Ramsgate?

You can find information about flood risks in Ramsgate on the Bayside Council website, including flood maps and information about flood preparedness.

Is Ramsgate considered a bushfire prone area?

While not directly adjacent to large bushland areas, Ramsgate can be affected by ember attacks from distant bushfires. Residents should stay informed during bushfire season.

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What A$69 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections