Climate Risk Profile: Red Range, NSW

Red Range, New South Wales

Medium Risk

Updated May 2026

Red Range, NSW, faces moderate climate risks, primarily from bushfires, heatwaves and flooding. Climate change is expected to increase the severity and frequency of these events, impacting residents and property values. Proactive adaptation measures are recommended to mitigate these risks.

Overall Risk Score

55/100

Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood

4.0

Bushfire

6.0

Heat

5.0

Coastal

1.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Red Range

increasing

Flood

40/100

Red Range faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and local creek overflows. The risk is expected to increase due to climate change.

Key drivers:

·Increased rainfall intensity
·Local topography

increasing

Bushfire

60/100

Red Range has a high bushfire risk due to its proximity to bushland and prevailing dry conditions. Climate change is projected to exacerbate this risk.

Key drivers:

·Dry vegetation
·High temperatures

increasing

Heat

50/100

Red Range experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves projected. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations.

Key drivers:

·Rising average temperatures
·Increased frequency of heatwaves

stable

Coastal

10/100

Red Range is not exposed to coastal risks such as sea level rise or coastal erosion due to its inland location.

stable

Wind

28/100

Moderate wind risk — East Coast Lows and gust fronts

stable

Storm

39/100

Moderate storm risk — severe thunderstorms and hail

stable

Social

21/100

Moderate social stability — mixed urban density

increasing

Energy

35/100

Moderate energy costs — climate-driven cooling demand

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Red Range

Should I Buy

Property buying guide with climate risk assessment

Flood Risk

Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections

Bushfire Risk

BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history

Climate Safety

Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050

Storm Risk

Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis

Heat Risk

Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs

Insurance Costs

Premium estimates and insurance availability

Investment Score

Climate-adjusted property investment analysis

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

50/100

Red Range experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves projected. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

·Rising average temperatures
·Increased frequency of heatwaves
·Urban heat island effect (minimal)

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

5.5

2050

6.0

Data source

flood Risk

40/100

Red Range faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and local creek overflows. The risk is expected to increase due to climate change.

Primary Drivers

·Increased rainfall intensity
·Local topography
·Inadequate drainage infrastructure

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.5

2050

5.0

Data source

coastal Risk

10/100

Red Range is not exposed to coastal risks such as sea level rise or coastal erosion due to its inland location.

Projections (N/A)

2030

1.0

2050

1.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

60/100

Red Range has a high bushfire risk due to its proximity to bushland and prevailing dry conditions. Climate change is projected to exacerbate this risk.

Primary Drivers

·Dry vegetation
·High temperatures
·Strong winds

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.0

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums are likely to increase due to the elevated risk of bushfires and floods.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value or slower price growth.

Buyer Checklist

1.Check bushfire and flood risk maps.
2.Assess the property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
3.Review insurance options and premiums.
4.Consider the long-term climate risks when making a purchase decision.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway: Local Creeks
Elevation Range: Variable
Flood Zone: Potentially affected areas near creeks

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland: Adjacent to bushland areas
Planning Overlay: RFS Bush Fire Prone Land Map
Bushfire Prone Area: Yes

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp: 32°C
Heat Stress Days/Year: 3 days

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast: 150 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure: Not applicable
Erosion Risk: Not applicable

Historical Climate Events

2019

bushfireMajor

Severe bushfires impacted the region, causing property damage and evacuations.

Source

2017

floodModerate

Heavy rainfall caused flash flooding in low-lying areas, disrupting traffic and damaging property.

Source

2013

heatwaveModerate

A prolonged heatwave resulted in increased hospital admissions and strain on infrastructure.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

Hazard	Today	2030	2050
flood	40	4.5(+0.5)	5.0(+1.0)
bushfire	60	6.5(+0.5)	7.0(+1.0)
heat	50	5.5(+0.5)	6.0(+1.0)
coastal	10	1.0	1.0

By 2030, Red Range is projected to experience a moderate increase in overall climate risk, with notable increases in flood, bushfire, and heatwave risks. Adaptation measures are needed to mitigate these impacts.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Bushfire Management

Immediate

Implement regular vegetation clearing, create firebreaks, and conduct community education programs to reduce bushfire risk.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Upgrade Drainage Infrastructure

Near-term

Improve drainage systems to reduce the risk of flash flooding during heavy rainfall events.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Develop Heatwave Preparedness Plan

Near-term

Establish cooling centers, provide public health advice, and support vulnerable residents during heatwaves.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Promote Water Conservation

Long-term

Encourage water-efficient practices to reduce water stress during droughts and heatwaves.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Red Range's Climate Risk Profile

Red Range, located in New South Wales, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary risks include bushfires, heatwaves, and flooding, all of which are projected to worsen in the coming decades.

Bushfire risk is particularly significant due to the suburb's proximity to extensive bushland. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds create an environment conducive to bushfires, threatening homes and lives. Climate change models predict longer fire seasons and more intense fires.

Heatwaves are also a growing concern, with average temperatures rising and the frequency of extreme heat events increasing. This poses a health risk, especially for elderly residents and those with pre-existing medical conditions. The urban heat island effect, while minimal, can exacerbate these conditions.

Flooding is another risk, with heavy rainfall events causing local creeks to overflow and inundate low-lying areas. Inadequate drainage infrastructure can worsen the impact of floods. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, leading to more frequent and severe flooding events.

Addressing these climate risks requires a multi-faceted approach, including improved bushfire management, heatwave preparedness plans, and upgrades to drainage infrastructure. Community awareness and individual preparedness are also crucial for building resilience to climate change impacts.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · RFS NSW · NSW Emergency Services

Local Government Resources

UNKNOWN

Climate Strategy Flood Maps Emergency Services

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Red Range?

The main climate change risks in Red Range are bushfires, heatwaves, and flooding. These risks are projected to increase in the coming decades due to rising temperatures and changing rainfall patterns.

How will climate change affect property values in Red Range?

Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value or slower price growth due to the increasing risks of bushfires, floods, and heatwaves. Buyers should consider these risks when making a purchase decision.

What can I do to protect my home from bushfires?

You can protect your home from bushfires by clearing vegetation around your property, installing fire-resistant building materials, and having a bushfire survival plan.

How can I prepare for a heatwave in Red Range?

You can prepare for a heatwave by staying hydrated, seeking air-conditioned environments, and checking on vulnerable neighbors and family members.

Where can I find information about flood risks in Red Range?

Information about flood risks in Red Range can be found on the NSW Government and local council websites. Contact your local council for specific flood maps and information.

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$7.2B

2022 insured disaster losses*

$300B+

climate risk to property by 2050*

30-120%

insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

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