Climate Risk Assessment for Redbournberry, NSW

Redbournberry, New South Wales
Medium Risk
Updated May 2026

Redbournberry faces increasing risks from flooding and heatwaves due to climate change. Bushfire risk is moderate and also expected to increase. Coastal risk remains low due to its inland location.

Overall Risk Score

58/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.5
Bushfire
4.2
Heat
7.1
Coastal
1.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Redbournberry

increasing

Flood

65/100

Redbournberry faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential riverine flooding. The risk is expected to increase with climate change.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
increasing

Bushfire

42/100

The suburb has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding vegetation. Drier conditions and higher temperatures are expected to exacerbate this risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures
increasing

Heat

71/100

Redbournberry is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a significant risk to vulnerable populations.

Key drivers:

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urban heat island effect
stable

Coastal

10/100

Coastal risk is low due to the suburb's inland location.

Key drivers:

  • ·Distance from coast
stable

Wind

28/100

Moderate wind risk — East Coast Lows and gust fronts

stable

Storm

39/100

Moderate storm risk — severe thunderstorms and hail

stable

Social

21/100

Moderate social stability — mixed urban density

increasing

Energy

35/100

Moderate energy costs — climate-driven cooling demand

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Redbournberry

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

71/100

Redbournberry is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a significant risk to vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.6

2050

8.1

Data source

flood Risk

65/100

Redbournberry faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential riverine flooding. The risk is expected to increase with climate change.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
  • ·Climate change

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.0

2050

7.5

Data source

coastal Risk

10/100

Coastal risk is low due to the suburb's inland location.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Distance from coast

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

1.0

2050

1.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

42/100

The suburb has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding vegetation. Drier conditions and higher temperatures are expected to exacerbate this risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures
  • ·Strong winds

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.7

2050

5.2

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to flood and bushfire risks.

Price Impact

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience price reductions.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone areas
  • 2.Assess property's vulnerability to heat
  • 3.Review insurance options
  • 4.Consider long-term climate risks

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Local creeks and drainage systems
Elevation Range
Varies across the suburb
Flood Zone
Areas near creeks are prone to flooding

Historical flood data indicates localized flooding during heavy rainfall events.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Adjacent to some areas
Planning Overlay
Check NSW RFS website for current bushfire prone areas
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

Areas bordering bushland are at higher risk.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
32.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
3 days

Urban areas experience higher temperatures due to the urban heat island effect.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
50 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Not applicable
Erosion Risk
Not applicable

Historical Climate Events

2011
floodModerate

Heavy rainfall caused localized flooding in low-lying areas of Redbournberry.

Source
2013
bushfireMinor

A small bushfire occurred near the outskirts of the suburb, but was quickly contained.

Source
2017
heatwaveModerate

A prolonged heatwave resulted in increased hospital admissions and strain on infrastructure.

Source
2020
floodMinor

Flash flooding occurred after a period of intense rainfall.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood656.8(+0.3)7.2(+0.7)
bushfire424.4(+0.2)4.7(+0.5)
heat717.9(+0.8)8.6(+1.5)
coastal101.01.0

By 2030, Redbournberry is projected to experience a notable increase in heatwave frequency and intensity, along with a moderate increase in flood risk. Bushfire risk will also slightly increase.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Drainage Infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade drainage systems to handle increased rainfall and reduce flood risk.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Implement Heatwave Early Warning System

Immediate

Develop a system to alert residents of impending heatwaves and provide guidance on staying safe.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Bushfire Preparedness Programs

Near-term

Educate residents on bushfire safety and provide resources for preparing their properties.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Increase Green Spaces

Long-term

Plant more trees and create parks to reduce the urban heat island effect and provide shade.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Promote Water Conservation

Long-term

Encourage residents to conserve water to reduce strain on resources during droughts and heatwaves.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Redbournberry's Climate Risk Profile

Redbournberry, NSW, is projected to experience significant impacts from climate change in the coming decades. The primary concerns are increased flooding, more frequent and intense heatwaves, and a heightened risk of bushfires. These changes pose challenges to the community's infrastructure, health, and overall well-being.

Flooding is expected to become more frequent and severe due to increased rainfall intensity. This could lead to damage to property, disruption of services, and potential displacement of residents. The local council is working to improve drainage infrastructure and implement flood management strategies, but further action is needed to mitigate the growing risk.

Heatwaves are also a major concern, particularly for vulnerable populations such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions. The urban heat island effect could exacerbate the problem, making it even hotter in built-up areas. Measures to increase green spaces and improve building design could help to reduce the impact of heatwaves.

Bushfire risk is also expected to increase due to drier conditions and higher temperatures. Residents need to be prepared for bushfires and take steps to protect their homes and families. This includes clearing vegetation around properties, having a bushfire survival plan, and staying informed about fire danger ratings.

While coastal risks are low due to the suburb's inland location, the community should still be aware of the broader impacts of climate change and support efforts to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. By working together, residents, businesses, and government can build a more resilient and sustainable future for Redbournberry.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · NSW RFS · NSW SES

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks for Redbournberry?

The main risks are increased flooding, more frequent and intense heatwaves, and a heightened risk of bushfires.

How will climate change affect property values in Redbournberry?

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience price reductions, while properties in less vulnerable areas may be less affected.

What is the council doing to address climate change?

The council is developing a climate strategy and implementing measures to improve drainage infrastructure and reduce the urban heat island effect.

How can I prepare my home for a bushfire?

Clear vegetation around your property, have a bushfire survival plan, and stay informed about fire danger ratings.

What should I do during a heatwave?

Stay indoors in air-conditioned buildings, drink plenty of water, and avoid strenuous activity.

Where can I find information about flood risks in my area?

Check the council's flood maps and the NSW State Emergency Service website.

Get your property's risk report

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What A$69 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections