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Climate Risk Profile: Robin Hill, NSW

Robin Hill, New South Wales· UNKNOWN
Medium Risk
Updated Apr 2026

Robin Hill faces moderate risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks, particularly increasing the frequency and intensity of bushfires and heatwaves. Residents should prepare for more extreme weather events.

Overall Risk Score

58/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.5
Bushfire
7.0
Heat
5.0
Coastal
1.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Robin Hill

increasing

Flood

65/100

Flooding is a moderate concern in Robin Hill, with potential for riverine and flash flooding. Climate change may increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
increasing

Bushfire

70/100

Robin Hill faces a high bushfire risk due to its proximity to bushland. Hotter, drier conditions are expected to increase bushfire frequency and intensity.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
increasing

Heat

50/100

Heatwaves are a growing concern in Robin Hill, with potential impacts on vulnerable populations. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of heatwaves.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect
stable

Coastal

10/100

Coastal risk is low in Robin Hill due to its inland location. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not significant threats.

Key drivers:

  • ·Distance from coast
stable

Wind

28/100

Moderate wind risk — East Coast Lows and gust fronts

stable

Storm

39/100

Moderate storm risk — severe thunderstorms and hail

stable

Social

21/100

Moderate social stability — mixed urban density

increasing

Energy

35/100

Moderate energy costs — climate-driven cooling demand

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Robin Hill

Should I Buy

Property buying guide with climate risk assessment

Flood Risk

Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections

Bushfire Risk

BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history

Climate Safety

Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050

Storm Risk

Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis

Heat Risk

Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs

Insurance Costs

Premium estimates and insurance availability

Investment Score

Climate-adjusted property investment analysis

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

50/100

Heatwaves are a growing concern in Robin Hill, with potential impacts on vulnerable populations. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of heatwaves.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect
  • ·Ageing population

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

5.5

2050

6.0

Data source

flood Risk

65/100

Flooding is a moderate concern in Robin Hill, with potential for riverine and flash flooding. Climate change may increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
  • ·Inadequate drainage infrastructure

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.0

2050

7.5

Data source

coastal Risk

10/100

Coastal risk is low in Robin Hill due to its inland location. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not significant threats.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Distance from coast

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

1.0

2050

1.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

70/100

Robin Hill faces a high bushfire risk due to its proximity to bushland. Hotter, drier conditions are expected to increase bushfire frequency and intensity.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Fuel load
  • ·Wind patterns

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.5

2050

8.0

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to flood and bushfire risks.

Price Impact

Property values may be negatively impacted by increasing climate risks.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone area maps.
  • 2.Assess property's vulnerability to flooding and bushfires.
  • 3.Consider the cost of insurance and potential for increased premiums.
  • 4.Evaluate the property's energy efficiency and ability to withstand heatwaves.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Local creeks and drainage channels
Elevation Range
Variable, ranging from 600m to 650m
Flood Zone
Potentially affected areas near creeks

Local drainage infrastructure may be inadequate to handle increased rainfall intensity.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Adjacent to bushland reserves
Planning Overlay
Check NSW RFS website for current bushfire prone area maps
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

Residents should maintain firebreaks and have a bushfire survival plan.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
30.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
3 days

Urban heat island effect may exacerbate heatwave conditions in some areas.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
150 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Not applicable
Erosion Risk
Not applicable

Historical Climate Events

2013
floodModerate

Heavy rainfall caused localized flooding in low-lying areas.

Source
2019
bushfireMajor

Bushfires in the region caused significant smoke haze and elevated fire danger.

Source
2017
heatwaveModerate

Prolonged heatwave conditions led to increased demand for electricity and strain on health services.

Source
2020
stormMinor

Severe thunderstorms caused localized damage and power outages.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood656.8(+0.3)7.0(+0.5)
bushfire707.7(+0.7)8.5(+1.5)
heat505.4(+0.4)5.8(+0.8)
coastal101.01.0

By 2030, Robin Hill is projected to experience a moderate increase in overall climate risk, driven primarily by more frequent and intense bushfires and heatwaves. Flooding risk is also expected to increase slightly.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve drainage infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce flood risk.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Implement bushfire management strategies

Immediate

Reduce fuel loads, create firebreaks, and improve community preparedness for bushfires.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Develop a heatwave early warning system

Near-term

Implement a system to alert residents of impending heatwaves and provide guidance on how to stay safe.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Promote water conservation

Long-term

Encourage residents to conserve water to reduce strain on water resources during droughts and heatwaves.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Support vulnerable populations

Immediate

Provide assistance to elderly, disabled, and low-income residents to help them cope with climate-related risks.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

About Robin Hill's Climate Risk Profile

Robin Hill is a suburb in New South Wales that faces several climate-related risks. The primary concerns are flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. Climate change is projected to increase the severity and frequency of these events, posing challenges for residents and infrastructure.

Flooding is a moderate risk, with potential for both riverine and flash flooding. Increased rainfall intensity due to climate change could overwhelm drainage systems and cause property damage. Bushfire risk is high, particularly during dry periods. The suburb's proximity to bushland increases its vulnerability to bushfires, which are expected to become more frequent and intense.

Heatwaves are also a growing concern, especially for vulnerable populations such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions. Higher temperatures and more frequent heatwaves can lead to heat stress and other health problems. Coastal risks are minimal due to the suburb's inland location.

Addressing these climate risks requires a combination of mitigation and adaptation strategies. Mitigation efforts focus on reducing greenhouse gas emissions to slow down climate change. Adaptation measures involve preparing for the impacts of climate change, such as improving drainage infrastructure, managing bushfire fuel loads, and implementing heatwave early warning systems.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · NSW RFS · NSW SES

Local Government Resources

UNKNOWN

Climate StrategyFlood MapsEmergency Services

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks in Robin Hill?

The main climate risks in Robin Hill are flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of these events.

How will climate change affect bushfire risk in Robin Hill?

Climate change is projected to increase bushfire risk in Robin Hill due to hotter, drier conditions and increased fuel loads. Residents should be prepared for more frequent and intense bushfires.

What can I do to prepare for heatwaves in Robin Hill?

During heatwaves, stay indoors in air-conditioned environments, drink plenty of water, and avoid strenuous activity. Check on elderly and vulnerable neighbors.

Is my property at risk of flooding in Robin Hill?

Properties in low-lying areas near creeks and drainage channels are at higher risk of flooding. Check local flood maps for more information.

Where can I find more information about climate change impacts in Robin Hill?

Consult the CSIRO climate change projections, the NSW RFS website for bushfire information, and the Bureau of Meteorology for weather and climate data.

What is the council doing to address climate change?

The council is developing a climate strategy to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and adapt to the impacts of climate change. Check the council website for more information.

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