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Climate Risk Assessment: Rosemeath, NSW

Rosemeath, New South Wales
Medium Risk
Updated May 2026

Rosemeath faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding and heatwaves. Bushfire risk is also a consideration. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.

Overall Risk Score

58/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.5
Bushfire
4.2
Heat
7.1
Coastal
1.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Rosemeath

increasing

Flood

65/100

Rosemeath faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to riverine and flash flooding.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
stable

Bushfire

42/100

The risk of bushfires in Rosemeath is moderate, influenced by surrounding vegetation and dry conditions during the fire season. Changes in temperature and rainfall patterns can exacerbate this risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures
increasing

Heat

71/100

Rosemeath is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a significant risk to vulnerable populations, especially during summer months.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect
stable

Coastal

10/100

Coastal risks are minimal in Rosemeath due to its inland location. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not significant concerns for this suburb.

Key drivers:

  • ·Distance from the coast
stable

Wind

28/100

Moderate wind risk — East Coast Lows and gust fronts

stable

Storm

39/100

Moderate storm risk — severe thunderstorms and hail

stable

Social

21/100

Moderate social stability — mixed urban density

increasing

Energy

35/100

Moderate energy costs — climate-driven cooling demand

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Rosemeath

Should I Buy

Property buying guide with climate risk assessment

Flood Risk

Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections

Bushfire Risk

BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history

Climate Safety

Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050

Storm Risk

Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis

Heat Risk

Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs

Insurance Costs

Premium estimates and insurance availability

Investment Score

Climate-adjusted property investment analysis

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

71/100

Rosemeath is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a significant risk to vulnerable populations, especially during summer months.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect
  • ·Climate change

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.6

2050

8.2

Data source

flood Risk

65/100

Rosemeath faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to riverine and flash flooding.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
  • ·Climate change

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.0

2050

7.5

Data source

coastal Risk

10/100

Coastal risks are minimal in Rosemeath due to its inland location. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not significant concerns for this suburb.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Distance from the coast

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

1.0

2050

1.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

42/100

The risk of bushfires in Rosemeath is moderate, influenced by surrounding vegetation and dry conditions during the fire season. Changes in temperature and rainfall patterns can exacerbate this risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures
  • ·Windy conditions

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.5

2050

4.8

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to flood and heatwave risks.

Price Impact

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience price reductions.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and insurance costs
  • 2.Assess property's heat resistance
  • 3.Review bushfire risk management plan

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Local creeks and streams
Elevation Range
Varies, some low-lying areas
Flood Zone
Potentially affected areas near waterways

Local council has identified areas at risk of flash flooding.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Within 5km of bushland
Planning Overlay
Check NSW RFS website for current bushfire prone areas
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

Residents should maintain firebreaks and have a bushfire survival plan.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
31.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
3 days

Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense in the region.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
50 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Not applicable
Erosion Risk
Not applicable

Historical Climate Events

2011
floodModerate

Major flooding event impacted the region, causing property damage and disruptions.

Source
2013
heatwaveModerate

Prolonged heatwave conditions led to increased hospital admissions.

Source
2019
bushfireMinor

Bushfires in surrounding areas caused smoke haze and air quality concerns.

Source
2022
floodMajor

Significant flooding event impacted the region, causing widespread property damage and disruptions to infrastructure.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood657.0(+0.5)7.5(+1.0)
bushfire424.5(+0.3)4.8(+0.6)
heat717.9(+0.8)8.6(+1.5)
coastal101.01.0

By 2030, Rosemeath is projected to experience a notable increase in flood and heatwave risks. Bushfire risk will also slightly increase. Coastal risks remain low.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve stormwater drainage

Immediate

Upgrade stormwater infrastructure to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce flood risk.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Establish cooling centers

Near-term

Provide public cooling centers to protect vulnerable residents during heatwaves.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Implement bushfire management plan

Near-term

Develop and implement a comprehensive bushfire management plan for the suburb.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Promote water conservation

Long-term

Encourage water conservation measures to mitigate the impacts of drought and water scarcity.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Home Cooling Upgrades

Near-term

Provide incentives for residents to upgrade their homes with energy-efficient cooling systems and insulation to reduce heat stress during heatwaves.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

About Rosemeath's Climate Risk Profile

Rosemeath, NSW, is exposed to several climate-related risks that are projected to intensify in the coming decades. The primary concerns are flooding, driven by increased rainfall intensity and urban development, and heatwaves, exacerbated by rising global temperatures and the urban heat island effect.

Flooding is a significant threat due to the suburb's proximity to waterways. Intense rainfall events can lead to both riverine and flash flooding, impacting properties and infrastructure. The risk is expected to increase with climate change, necessitating improved stormwater management and flood mitigation measures.

Heatwaves pose a considerable risk to the health and well-being of residents, particularly the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions. The frequency and intensity of heatwaves are projected to rise, requiring adaptation strategies such as increased access to cooling centers and improved building design.

Bushfire risk is moderate, influenced by surrounding vegetation and dry conditions. While not as severe as flooding or heatwaves, it remains a concern that requires ongoing vigilance and preparedness. Coastal risks are minimal due to the suburb's inland location.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · NSW SES · NSW RFS

Local Government Resources

UNKNOWN

Climate StrategyFlood MapsEmergency Services

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks in Rosemeath?

The main climate risks in Rosemeath are flooding, heatwaves, and bushfires. Flooding is driven by increased rainfall intensity, while heatwaves are exacerbated by rising temperatures. Bushfire risk is influenced by surrounding vegetation.

How is the local council addressing climate change?

The local council is developing and implementing a climate strategy to reduce emissions and adapt to the impacts of climate change. This includes measures to improve stormwater management, promote energy efficiency, and enhance community resilience.

What can residents do to prepare for flooding?

Residents can prepare for flooding by checking flood maps, purchasing flood insurance, and developing a flood emergency plan. It is also important to keep gutters and drains clear and to raise valuable items off the floor.

How can I stay safe during a heatwave?

During a heatwave, it is important to stay hydrated, avoid strenuous activity, and seek out cool places. Check on vulnerable neighbors and relatives, and be aware of the signs of heat stress.

What should I do if a bushfire threatens my property?

If a bushfire threatens your property, follow your bushfire survival plan. This may involve evacuating to a safer location or defending your property if it is safe to do so. Stay informed by monitoring emergency broadcasts and following the advice of emergency services.

Are there any government grants available for climate resilience measures?

Yes, there are various government grants available for climate resilience measures, such as installing solar panels, upgrading insulation, and implementing water conservation measures. Check the websites of relevant government agencies for more information.

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