Climate Risk in Round Mountain, New South Wales

Round Mountain, New South Wales
Medium Risk
Updated May 2026

Round Mountain faces moderate climate risks, primarily from bushfires and heatwaves. Flooding is also a concern. Residents should prepare for more extreme weather events in the future.

Overall Risk Score

55/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
4.0
Bushfire
6.0
Heat
6.5
Coastal
1.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Round Mountain

increasing

Flood

40/100

Flooding may occur in Round Mountain due to heavy rainfall and proximity to waterways. The risk is moderate, with potential for property damage and disruption to daily life.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Changes in land use
stable

Bushfire

60/100

Bushfire risk in Round Mountain is relatively high due to the surrounding bushland. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can exacerbate the risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures
increasing

Heat

65/100

Round Mountain is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This can pose a risk to vulnerable populations and increase energy demand.

Key drivers:

  • ·Global warming
  • ·Urban heat island effect
stable

Coastal

10/100

Coastal risk is very low in Round Mountain due to its distance from the coast. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not significant concerns.

Key drivers:

  • ·Distance from coast
stable

Wind

28/100

Moderate wind risk — East Coast Lows and gust fronts

stable

Storm

39/100

Moderate storm risk — severe thunderstorms and hail

stable

Social

21/100

Moderate social stability — mixed urban density

increasing

Energy

35/100

Moderate energy costs — climate-driven cooling demand

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Round Mountain

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

65/100

Round Mountain is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This can pose a risk to vulnerable populations and increase energy demand.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Global warming
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.0

2050

7.5

Data source

flood Risk

40/100

Flooding may occur in Round Mountain due to heavy rainfall and proximity to waterways. The risk is moderate, with potential for property damage and disruption to daily life.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Changes in land use
  • ·Aging infrastructure

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.5

2050

5.0

Data source

coastal Risk

10/100

Coastal risk is very low in Round Mountain due to its distance from the coast. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not significant concerns.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Distance from coast

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

1.0

2050

1.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

60/100

Bushfire risk in Round Mountain is relatively high due to the surrounding bushland. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can exacerbate the risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures
  • ·Wind patterns

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.0

2050

6.5

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to bushfire and flood risk.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience slower price growth.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone area designations.
  • 2.Assess property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Obtain adequate insurance coverage.
  • 4.Consider energy efficiency measures.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Unnamed Creek
Elevation Range
300-350m
Flood Zone
Low-lying areas near creek

Local anecdotal evidence suggests minor flooding occurs after prolonged heavy rainfall.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Adjacent
Planning Overlay
RFS Bush Fire Prone Land Map
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

The area is designated as bushfire prone, requiring specific building standards for new constructions.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
31.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
3 days

Elderly residents are particularly vulnerable during heatwaves.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
150 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
None
Erosion Risk
None

Historical Climate Events

2019
bushfireModerate

Bushfires impacted the region surrounding Round Mountain, leading to road closures and evacuations.

Source
2017
floodMinor

Heavy rainfall caused minor flooding in low-lying areas of Round Mountain.

Source
2013
heatwaveModerate

A prolonged heatwave resulted in increased hospital admissions and strain on the power grid.

Source
2020
bushfireModerate

Bushfires in the region caused smoky conditions and air quality concerns in Round Mountain.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood404.2(+0.2)4.4(+0.4)
bushfire606.3(+0.3)6.5(+0.5)
heat657.2(+0.7)8.0(+1.5)
coastal101.01.0

By 2030, Round Mountain is projected to experience a moderate increase in overall climate risk, with heatwaves and bushfires posing the greatest challenges.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Develop a community bushfire plan

Immediate

Create a plan that outlines evacuation routes, emergency contacts, and property protection measures.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Improve home energy efficiency

Near-term

Install insulation, energy-efficient appliances, and solar panels to reduce energy consumption and reliance on the grid during heatwaves.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Upgrade stormwater drainage

Near-term

Improve drainage infrastructure to reduce the risk of flooding during heavy rainfall events.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Establish a community cooling center

Immediate

Create a designated space where residents can seek refuge during extreme heat events.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Round Mountain's Climate Risk Profile

Round Mountain, NSW, is a rural locality that is exposed to a range of climate-related risks. The primary concerns are bushfires, heatwaves, and flooding. The surrounding bushland increases the risk of bushfires, particularly during hot and dry periods.

Heatwaves are also a significant threat, with the potential to cause heat stress and strain on infrastructure. As global temperatures rise, Round Mountain is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves.

Flooding can occur due to heavy rainfall and proximity to waterways. While the risk is moderate, it is important to be aware of potential flood zones and take necessary precautions.

Coastal risks are minimal due to the suburb's inland location. However, the broader region may be affected by coastal erosion and sea level rise, which could have indirect impacts on Round Mountain.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · NSW RFS · NSW SES

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks in Round Mountain?

The main climate risks in Round Mountain are bushfires, heatwaves, and flooding. The suburb is located in a bushfire-prone area and is susceptible to heatwaves during the summer months. Heavy rainfall can also cause flooding in low-lying areas.

How can I prepare my home for a bushfire?

You can prepare your home for a bushfire by clearing vegetation around your property, installing fire-resistant materials, and developing a bushfire survival plan.

What should I do during a heatwave?

During a heatwave, it is important to stay hydrated, avoid strenuous activity, and seek refuge in air-conditioned environments. Check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.

Where can I find information about flood risks in Round Mountain?

You can find information about flood risks in Round Mountain on the NSW Government website and the local council website. Flood maps are available online.

How is climate change expected to impact Round Mountain in the future?

Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of heatwaves, bushfires, and flooding in Round Mountain. It is important to take steps to adapt to these changes and reduce your carbon footprint.

Get your property's risk report

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What A$69 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections