Is State Mine Gully, NSW Climate Safe? 2026 Assessment

State Mine Gully, New South Wales· UNKNOWN
Climate risk is high — address assessment recommendedUpdated 22 May 2026

Climate Safety Score

7.2/10

Climate risk is high — address assessment recommended

Key Facts

Climate Safety
High
Flood
State Mine Gully faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and potential for heavy rainfall. Local topography can exacerbate flood conditions.
Bushfire
The suburb is at high risk of bushfires due to surrounding bushland. Dry conditions and strong winds can increase the likelihood and intensity of bushfires.
Heat
State Mine Gully experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves projected. This can impact vulnerable populations.
Storm
Moderate storm risk — East Coast Lows bring severe weather including hail and damaging winds
Postcode
2790
Highest high-risk exposure
14.3% of land (bushfire)

Climate Safety Analysis

State Mine Gully in New South Wales has an overall climate safety rating of High. This multi-hazard assessment combines flood, bushfire, heat, coastal, and storm risk data with climate projections to 2050 from CSIRO and the Bureau of Meteorology.

Key factors affecting State Mine Gully's climate safety include heat, flood, bushfire. Each hazard is assessed independently and combined for an overall picture. Australia has warmed by approximately 1.5 °C since 1910, with flow-on effects to fire weather, extreme rainfall, and heatwave frequency.

Climate safety for property in State Mine Gully is not uniform — it varies by address. Factors such as elevation, distance to waterways, proximity to bushland, and local drainage all influence actual risk at a specific property. Two nearby properties can have materially different risk profiles.

For a complete property-specific climate safety report for State Mine Gully including address-level hazard mapping, insurance outlook, and adaptation recommendations, use the ClimateNest full analysis tool.

State Mine Gully (postcode 2790) is tracked in ClimateNest's suburb hazard model, which maps the share of the suburb's land exposed to each hazard at high and moderate levels. The suburb's highest high-risk exposures are bushfire (14.3% of land in high-risk zones), surface flood (5.4% of land in high-risk zones), extreme wind (4.2% of land in high-risk zones). Exposure is not uniform across State Mine Gully — individual properties can sit well above or below these averages, so an address-level check is recommended before buying, selling or insuring.

Local Hazard Evidence

Distance to BushlandAdjacent to bushland areas
BAL OverlayRFS Bush Fire Prone Land Map
Nearest WaterwayLocal creeks and drainage systems
Flood ZonePotentially affected areas near creeks
Avg January Max32 °C

Historical Events

2020
Moderate

Prolonged heatwave conditions impacted vulnerable residents and increased the risk of bushfires.

2019
Major

Severe bushfires affected the region, leading to widespread evacuations and significant property loss.

2013
Moderate

Bushfires impacted the region, causing property damage and evacuations.

2011
Moderate

Heavy rainfall caused flooding in low-lying areas, disrupting transport and damaging property.

Adaptation & Mitigation Actions

Develop a Bushfire Survival Plan

Immediate

Create a detailed plan for evacuating your property in the event of a bushfire, including designated meeting points and emergency supplies.

Est. cost: Low

Improve Home Insulation

Near-term

Proper insulation can help regulate indoor temperatures, reducing the need for air conditioning and lowering energy bills during heatwaves.

Est. cost: Medium

Install Rainwater Tanks

Long-term

Collect rainwater for non-potable uses, such as gardening and toilet flushing, to reduce demand on mains water supply during droughts.

Est. cost: Medium

Support Local Emergency Services

Immediate

Volunteer with local emergency services, such as the RFS and SES, to help prepare for and respond to extreme weather events.

Est. cost: Low

Upgrade Drainage Infrastructure

Near-term

Advocate for upgrades to local drainage infrastructure to improve flood management and reduce the risk of property damage.

Est. cost: High

Council & Emergency Services

Lithgow City Council
Emergency Services

Data last updated: 22 May 2026

Explore State Mine Gully Risk Reports

Frequently Asked Questions

Is State Mine Gully safe from climate change?

No location in Australia is entirely immune to climate change impacts. State Mine Gully has an overall High climate risk rating. Understanding the specific hazards at your property address — not just the suburb average — provides the most reliable risk picture.

Which climate hazard poses the biggest risk in State Mine Gully?

The dominant hazard for State Mine Gully depends on geography and local environment. Proximity to waterways elevates flood risk, while proximity to bushland increases bushfire risk. ClimateNest's multi-hazard analysis identifies the highest-risk hazards for any specific address.

How does State Mine Gully compare to nearby suburbs for climate safety?

Nearby suburbs may have different climate risk profiles depending on elevation, vegetation cover, drainage patterns, and land use. ClimateNest allows comparison of climate safety scores across New South Wales suburbs.

Should I be concerned about buying property in State Mine Gully?

Climate risk should be one factor in your decision, alongside price, location, and amenity. An informed buyer understands the specific risks at a property address and factors insurance costs and climate projections into their assessment of long-term value.

What climate projections should I know for State Mine Gully?

Key projections for New South Wales from CSIRO include increased average temperatures, more frequent hot days, changes in rainfall seasonality, longer fire seasons, and potential increases in extreme rainfall intensity. These trends inform the long-term outlook for State Mine Gully.

What share of State Mine Gully is exposed to high bushfire risk?

ClimateNest's hazard overlay maps 14.3% of State Mine Gully in high-risk zones for bushfire, with a further 59.5% in moderate-risk zones. Suburb-level exposure is not uniform — individual properties can differ from these averages, so an address-level check is recommended.

Is State Mine Gully Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for State Mine Gully, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$69 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections