Climate Risk Profile: Stony Chute, NSW
Stony Chute faces increasing risks from flooding and heatwaves due to climate change. Bushfire risk is also a concern. Residents should prepare for more extreme weather events.
Overall Risk Score
Confidence: Medium
Hazard Breakdown
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Stony Chute
Flood
Stony Chute is located near waterways and has some low-lying areas, making it susceptible to flooding. Increased rainfall intensity could exacerbate flood risk.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Proximity to waterways
Bushfire
The area around Stony Chute has some bushland, posing a moderate bushfire risk. Drier conditions and higher temperatures could increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.
Key drivers:
- ·Drier conditions
- ·Higher temperatures
Heat
Stony Chute is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. Higher average temperatures can pose health risks, especially for vulnerable populations.
Key drivers:
- ·Rising average temperatures
- ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
Coastal
Stony Chute is not located near the coast, so coastal risks are minimal.
Wind
Moderate wind risk — East Coast Lows and gust fronts
Storm
Moderate storm risk — severe thunderstorms and hail
Social
Moderate social stability — mixed urban density
Energy
Moderate energy costs — climate-driven cooling demand
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Stony Chute
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Stony Chute is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. Higher average temperatures can pose health risks, especially for vulnerable populations.
Primary Drivers
- ·Rising average temperatures
- ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
Projections (RCP8.5)
2030
7.5
2050
8.0
flood Risk
Stony Chute is located near waterways and has some low-lying areas, making it susceptible to flooding. Increased rainfall intensity could exacerbate flood risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Proximity to waterways
- ·Low-lying areas
Projections (RCP8.5)
2030
7.0
2050
7.5
coastal Risk
Stony Chute is not located near the coast, so coastal risks are minimal.
Projections (RCP8.5)
2030
1.0
2050
1.0
bushfire Risk
The area around Stony Chute has some bushland, posing a moderate bushfire risk. Drier conditions and higher temperatures could increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.
Primary Drivers
- ·Drier conditions
- ·Higher temperatures
- ·Proximity to bushland
Projections (RCP8.5)
2030
4.7
2050
5.2
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase due to flood and bushfire risks.
Price Impact
Properties in flood-prone areas may experience price reductions.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
- 2.Assess bushfire risk and implement mitigation measures.
- 3.Ensure adequate insurance coverage.
- 4.Consider energy efficiency upgrades for heat mitigation.
Local Climate Evidence
Flood Evidence
- Nearest Waterway
- Wilsons River
- Elevation Range
- Varies, some low-lying areas
- Flood Zone
- Potentially affected areas near Wilsons River
Local flood studies are available from the Lismore City Council.
View council flood mapBushfire Evidence
- Distance to Bushland
- Adjacent to some bushland areas
- Planning Overlay
- Check NSW RFS website for current bushfire prone areas
- Bushfire Prone Area
- Yes
Residents should maintain a defensible space around their homes.
Heat Evidence
- Avg January Max Temp
- 31°C
- Heat Stress Days/Year
- 3 days
Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense in the region.
Coastal Evidence
- Distance to Coast
- 70 km
- Sea Level Rise Exposure
- Not applicable
- Erosion Risk
- Not applicable
Historical Climate Events
Severe flooding in the Northern Rivers region, including Stony Chute, caused widespread damage and displacement.
SourceClimate Outlook to 2050
Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5
| Hazard | Today | 2030 | 2050 |
|---|---|---|---|
| flood | 65 | 7.0(+0.5) | 7.5(+1.0) |
| bushfire | 42 | 4.5(+0.3) | 4.7(+0.5) |
| heat | 70 | 7.7(+0.7) | 8.2(+1.2) |
| coastal | 10 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
By 2030, Stony Chute is projected to experience a notable increase in flood and heatwave risks. Bushfire risk will also slightly increase. Coastal risks remain minimal.
CSIRO Climate ProjectionsAdaptation Recommendations
Improve Flood Defenses
Near-termConstruct levees or improve drainage systems to mitigate flood risk.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreBushfire Preparedness
Near-termImplement bushfire mitigation measures, such as clearing vegetation and creating firebreaks.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreHeat Action Plan
ImmediateDevelop a community heat action plan to protect vulnerable residents during heatwaves.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreUpgrade Building Standards
Long-termIncorporate climate resilience measures into building codes, such as flood-resistant materials and energy-efficient designs.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreAbout Stony Chute's Climate Risk Profile
Stony Chute, NSW, is a rural locality that is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary concerns for this area are increased flooding due to more intense rainfall events, and more frequent and severe heatwaves.
The risk of flooding is elevated due to the proximity of waterways and some low-lying areas within the suburb. Climate projections suggest that rainfall intensity will increase, leading to a higher likelihood of flood events. Residents should be aware of local flood warnings and have a plan in place.
Heatwaves are also a significant concern, with average temperatures expected to rise. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions. It is important to stay hydrated and seek cooler environments during periods of extreme heat.
While coastal risks are minimal due to the suburb's inland location, bushfire risk is a moderate concern due to surrounding bushland. Residents should maintain their properties to reduce fire hazards and stay informed about bushfire warnings.
Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · NSW RFS · Lismore City Council
Local Government Resources
Lismore City Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks for Stony Chute?
The main risks are increased flooding, more frequent and intense heatwaves, and bushfire risk.
How can I prepare my home for flooding?
Consider raising your home, installing flood barriers, and ensuring proper drainage.
What should I do during a heatwave?
Stay hydrated, seek cooler environments, and check on vulnerable neighbors.
How can I protect my property from bushfires?
Maintain a defensible space around your home, clear vegetation, and have a bushfire survival plan.
Where can I find more information about local climate change initiatives?
Visit the Lismore City Council website for information on local climate strategies and initiatives.
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