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Climate Risk Assessment for Tabbimoble, NSW

Tabbimoble, New South Wales
Medium Risk
Updated May 2026

Tabbimoble faces increasing climate risks, particularly from flooding and heatwaves. Bushfire risk is moderate and coastal risks are indirect. Residents should prepare for more extreme weather events.

Overall Risk Score

55/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.0
Bushfire
4.0
Heat
7.0
Coastal
5.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Tabbimoble

increasing

Flood

60/100

Tabbimoble faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its low-lying areas and proximity to waterways. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
increasing

Bushfire

40/100

The risk of bushfires in Tabbimoble is moderate, given the surrounding vegetation. Drier conditions and higher temperatures are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
increasing

Heat

70/100

Tabbimoble is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. Higher average temperatures can pose health risks, especially for vulnerable populations.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
  • ·Urban heat island effect
increasing

Coastal

50/100

Located inland, Tabbimoble has a relatively low direct coastal risk. However, sea level rise and storm surges could indirectly impact the region through riverine flooding.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surge
stable

Wind

28/100

Moderate wind risk — East Coast Lows and gust fronts

stable

Storm

39/100

Moderate storm risk — severe thunderstorms and hail

stable

Social

21/100

Moderate social stability — mixed urban density

increasing

Energy

35/100

Moderate energy costs — climate-driven cooling demand

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Tabbimoble

Should I Buy

Property buying guide with climate risk assessment

Flood Risk

Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections

Bushfire Risk

BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history

Climate Safety

Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050

Storm Risk

Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis

Heat Risk

Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs

Insurance Costs

Premium estimates and insurance availability

Investment Score

Climate-adjusted property investment analysis

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

70/100

Tabbimoble is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. Higher average temperatures can pose health risks, especially for vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.5

2050

8.0

Data source

flood Risk

60/100

Tabbimoble faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its low-lying areas and proximity to waterways. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Inadequate drainage infrastructure

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.0

Data source

coastal Risk

50/100

Located inland, Tabbimoble has a relatively low direct coastal risk. However, sea level rise and storm surges could indirectly impact the region through riverine flooding.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surge
  • ·Erosion

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

5.5

2050

6.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

40/100

The risk of bushfires in Tabbimoble is moderate, given the surrounding vegetation. Drier conditions and higher temperatures are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Fuel load

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.5

2050

5.0

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to increased flood and bushfire risk.

Price Impact

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone areas.
  • 2.Assess property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Consider potential increases in insurance premiums.
  • 4.Review council's climate adaptation plans.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Clarence River
Elevation Range
5-10 meters
Flood Zone
Low-lying areas near the Clarence River are susceptible to flooding.

Historical flood data indicates that Tabbimoble has experienced several flooding events in the past.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Adjacent to forested areas.
Planning Overlay
Check NSW RFS website for current bushfire prone areas.
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

The area's vegetation type contributes to the bushfire risk.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
32°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
3 days

Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense in the region.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
30 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Indirectly exposed through riverine flooding.
Erosion Risk
Low

Historical Climate Events

2013
floodModerate

Significant flooding along the Clarence River affected Tabbimoble.

Source
2019
bushfireModerate

Bushfires in the region caused smoke haze and increased fire danger.

Source
2017
heatwaveModerate

Prolonged heatwave conditions affected the region.

Source
2022
floodMajor

Major flooding event impacted Tabbimoble and surrounding areas, causing significant damage.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood606.5(+0.5)7.0(+1.0)
bushfire404.3(+0.3)4.6(+0.6)
heat707.7(+0.7)8.2(+1.2)
coastal505.2(+0.2)5.4(+0.4)

By 2030, Tabbimoble is projected to experience a notable increase in heatwave frequency and intensity, along with a heightened risk of flooding due to more intense rainfall events. Bushfire risk will also increase.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Drainage Infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade drainage systems to handle increased rainfall and reduce flood risk.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Implement Bushfire Management Strategies

Near-term

Reduce fuel loads and improve firebreaks to protect properties from bushfires.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Develop a Heatwave Management Plan

Immediate

Establish cooling centers and provide public education on heatwave safety.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Raise Awareness of Climate Risks

Long-term

Educate residents about the impacts of climate change and how to prepare for extreme weather events.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Strengthen Building Codes

Long-term

Update building codes to ensure new constructions are resilient to flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

About Tabbimoble's Climate Risk Profile

Tabbimoble, located in New South Wales, is expected to experience a range of climate change impacts. The primary concerns are increased flooding due to more intense rainfall and rising sea levels, as well as more frequent and severe heatwaves.

The risk of bushfires is also a factor, with drier conditions potentially leading to more frequent and intense fires. While Tabbimoble is not directly on the coast, it could be indirectly affected by coastal hazards through riverine flooding.

These changes pose challenges for the community, including potential damage to property, health risks from heatwaves, and disruptions to infrastructure. Adapting to these changes will require a combination of individual actions, community initiatives, and government policies.

Understanding the specific risks and taking proactive steps can help Tabbimoble become more resilient to the impacts of climate change. This includes measures such as improving drainage infrastructure, implementing bushfire safety measures, and preparing for heatwaves.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · NSW RFS · NSW Government

Local Government Resources

UNKNOWN

Flood MapsEmergency Services

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks for Tabbimoble?

The main risks are increased flooding, more frequent and intense heatwaves, and a moderate risk of bushfires.

How will climate change affect property values in Tabbimoble?

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value. Increased insurance premiums are also possible.

What can I do to prepare for heatwaves in Tabbimoble?

Stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and check on vulnerable neighbors.

Where can I find information about bushfire risks in Tabbimoble?

Check the NSW Rural Fire Service website for current bushfire prone areas and fire danger ratings.

What is the council doing to address climate change in Tabbimoble?

The council is working on improving drainage infrastructure and developing a heatwave management plan. Check the council website for more details.

How can I prepare my home for potential flooding?

Consider raising your home, installing flood barriers, and ensuring proper drainage around your property.

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