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Climate Risk Profile: The Channon, NSW

The Channon, New South Wales· 2480
Medium Risk
Updated May 2026

The Channon is a rural village in New South Wales that faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding and bushfires. Rising temperatures and changing rainfall patterns are expected to exacerbate these risks in the future. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.

Overall Risk Score

55/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.0
Bushfire
7.0
Heat
4.0
Coastal
1.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for The Channon

increasing

Flood

60/100

The Channon faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its location near waterways and low-lying areas. Increased rainfall intensity could exacerbate this risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Proximity to waterways
increasing

Bushfire

70/100

The Channon has a high bushfire risk due to its proximity to bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Key drivers:

  • ·Proximity to bushland
  • ·Drier conditions
increasing

Heat

40/100

The Channon experiences moderate heat risk. Average temperatures are expected to rise, leading to more frequent and intense heatwaves.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
stable

Coastal

10/100

The Channon has a low coastal risk as it is not located near the coast. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not significant concerns for this suburb.

Key drivers:

  • ·Distance from the coast
stable

Wind

28/100

Moderate wind risk — East Coast Lows and gust fronts

stable

Storm

39/100

Moderate storm risk — severe thunderstorms and hail

stable

Social

21/100

Moderate social stability — mixed urban density

increasing

Energy

35/100

Moderate energy costs — climate-driven cooling demand

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for The Channon

Should I Buy

Property buying guide with climate risk assessment

Flood Risk

Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections

Bushfire Risk

BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history

Climate Safety

Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050

Storm Risk

Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis

Heat Risk

Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs

Insurance Costs

Premium estimates and insurance availability

Investment Score

Climate-adjusted property investment analysis

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

40/100

The Channon experiences moderate heat risk. Average temperatures are expected to rise, leading to more frequent and intense heatwaves.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.5

2050

5.0

Data source

flood Risk

60/100

The Channon faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its location near waterways and low-lying areas. Increased rainfall intensity could exacerbate this risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Proximity to waterways
  • ·Low-lying areas

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.0

Data source

coastal Risk

10/100

The Channon has a low coastal risk as it is not located near the coast. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not significant concerns for this suburb.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Distance from the coast

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

1.0

2050

1.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

70/100

The Channon has a high bushfire risk due to its proximity to bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Proximity to bushland
  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Higher temperatures

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.5

2050

8.0

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums are likely to increase due to the elevated flood and bushfire risks.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire-prone area designations.
  • 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to flooding and bushfires.
  • 3.Obtain insurance quotes and understand policy coverage.
  • 4.Consider the potential impact of climate change on property value.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Leycester Creek
Elevation Range
100-150m
Flood Zone
Likely

The Channon has experienced several flooding events in the past, with Leycester Creek being the primary source of inundation.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Adjacent
Planning Overlay
RFS Bush Fire Prone Land
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

The Channon is designated as a bushfire-prone area due to the extensive bushland surrounding the village.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
30.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
2 days

The Channon experiences hot summers, with average maximum temperatures in January exceeding 30 degrees Celsius.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
45 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Low
Erosion Risk
Low

Historical Climate Events

2022
floodMajor

Severe flooding impacted The Channon, causing significant damage to homes and infrastructure.

Source
2019
bushfireModerate

Bushfires threatened The Channon, requiring residents to evacuate.

Source
2017
floodModerate

Flooding caused road closures and property damage in The Channon.

Source
2013
heatwaveModerate

A prolonged heatwave affected The Channon, with temperatures exceeding 40 degrees Celsius for several days.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood606.5(+0.5)7.0(+1.0)
bushfire707.5(+0.5)8.0(+1.0)
heat404.5(+0.5)5.0(+1.0)
coastal101.01.0

By 2030, The Channon is projected to experience a moderate increase in overall climate risk, with higher risks from flooding, bushfires and heatwaves. Adaptation measures will be crucial to mitigate these impacts.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Flood Resilience

Near-term

Implement measures to reduce the impact of flooding, such as raising homes, improving drainage, and constructing flood levees.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Enhance Bushfire Preparedness

Immediate

Clear vegetation around homes, develop bushfire survival plans, and participate in community fireguard programs.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Promote Water Conservation

Near-term

Implement water-saving measures in homes and businesses to reduce water demand during periods of drought.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Develop a Heatwave Response Plan

Near-term

Establish cooling centers, provide assistance to vulnerable residents, and promote awareness of heatwave safety tips.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About The Channon's Climate Risk Profile

The Channon, nestled in the Northern Rivers region of New South Wales, is a picturesque village known for its natural beauty and close-knit community. However, like many rural areas, it is vulnerable to the impacts of climate change.

The primary climate risks for The Channon are flooding and bushfires. The village is located near waterways, making it susceptible to flooding during periods of heavy rainfall. The surrounding bushland also poses a significant bushfire risk, particularly during dry and windy conditions.

Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of extreme weather events in the region. Rising temperatures, changing rainfall patterns, and prolonged periods of drought will likely exacerbate the existing risks of flooding and bushfires. Residents should be aware of these risks and take steps to prepare for potential impacts.

Adapting to climate change will require a combination of individual actions and community-level initiatives. This includes measures such as improving building resilience to flooding and bushfires, implementing effective early warning systems, and promoting sustainable land management practices. By working together, the community can build a more resilient and sustainable future for The Channon.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · NSW RFS · Lismore City Council

Local Government Resources

Lismore City Council

Climate StrategyFlood MapsEmergency Services

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks for The Channon?

The main climate change risks for The Channon are flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. These risks are expected to increase in the future due to rising temperatures and changing rainfall patterns.

How can I prepare my home for flooding?

You can prepare your home for flooding by raising it above the flood level, improving drainage around the property, and installing flood barriers.

What should I do during a bushfire?

During a bushfire, you should follow your bushfire survival plan, evacuate if necessary, and stay informed about the latest fire updates.

How can I reduce my water consumption?

You can reduce your water consumption by fixing leaks, installing water-efficient appliances, and using water wisely in your garden.

Where can I find more information about climate change in The Channon?

You can find more information about climate change in The Channon on the Lismore City Council website, the NSW Government website, and the CSIRO website.

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