Climate Risk Profile: The Glen, NSW

The Glen, New South Wales
Medium Risk
Updated May 2026

The Glen faces moderate risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves, which are projected to increase with climate change. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events and take steps to mitigate their impact.

Overall Risk Score

58/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.5
Bushfire
4.2
Heat
7.1
Coastal
1.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for The Glen

increasing

Flood

65/100

The Glen faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and nearby waterways. Properties in low-lying areas are particularly vulnerable.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
increasing

Bushfire

42/100

Bushfire risk in The Glen is moderate due to the presence of surrounding bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures increase the likelihood of bushfires.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
increasing

Heat

71/100

The Glen is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.

Key drivers:

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urban heat island effect
stable

Coastal

10/100

Coastal risk is negligible in The Glen due to its distance from the coast.

Key drivers:

  • ·Distance from coast
stable

Wind

28/100

Moderate wind risk — East Coast Lows and gust fronts

stable

Storm

39/100

Moderate storm risk — severe thunderstorms and hail

stable

Social

21/100

Moderate social stability — mixed urban density

increasing

Energy

35/100

Moderate energy costs — climate-driven cooling demand

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for The Glen

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

71/100

The Glen is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.6

2050

8.1

Data source

flood Risk

65/100

The Glen faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and nearby waterways. Properties in low-lying areas are particularly vulnerable.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
  • ·Climate change

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.0

2050

7.5

Data source

coastal Risk

10/100

Coastal risk is negligible in The Glen due to its distance from the coast.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Distance from coast

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

1.0

2050

1.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

42/100

Bushfire risk in The Glen is moderate due to the presence of surrounding bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures increase the likelihood of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Fuel load

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.7

2050

5.2

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to climate-related risks.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience price reductions.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone area overlays.
  • 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Obtain a building inspection report.
  • 4.Review insurance options and costs.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Local creeks and drainage systems
Elevation Range
Varies across the suburb
Flood Zone
Potentially affected areas near waterways

Check with the local council for specific flood risk information for your property.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Adjacent to bushland reserves
Planning Overlay
Check NSW RFS website for bushfire prone area overlay
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

Prepare a bushfire survival plan and maintain your property to reduce fuel loads.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
31.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
3 days

Stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments during heatwaves, and check on vulnerable neighbors.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
50 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Not applicable
Erosion Risk
Not applicable

Historical Climate Events

2011
floodModerate

Significant flooding occurred in the region, impacting some properties in The Glen.

Source
2013
bushfireMinor

A bushfire near The Glen caused some concern, but no properties were directly affected.

Source
2017
heatwaveModerate

A prolonged heatwave affected The Glen, with temperatures exceeding 40 degrees Celsius for several days.

Source
2020
stormModerate

A severe storm caused flash flooding and property damage in parts of The Glen.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood656.8(+0.3)7.1(+0.6)
bushfire424.4(+0.2)4.7(+0.5)
heat717.9(+0.8)8.6(+1.5)
coastal101.01.0

By 2030, The Glen is projected to experience a moderate increase in overall climate risk, primarily driven by more frequent and intense heatwaves and increased flood risk.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Drainage Infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce flood risk.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Implement Bushfire Management Plan

Near-term

Develop and implement a comprehensive bushfire management plan, including vegetation management and community education.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Establish Heatwave Early Warning System

Immediate

Implement a heatwave early warning system to alert residents of impending heatwaves and provide guidance on how to stay safe.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Promote Water Conservation

Long-term

Encourage water conservation measures to reduce water stress during droughts and heatwaves.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About The Glen's Climate Risk Profile

The Glen, NSW, is exposed to a range of climate-related risks, including flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks, leading to more frequent and intense extreme weather events.

Flooding is a significant concern, particularly in low-lying areas near waterways. Increased rainfall intensity and urban development contribute to the risk. Bushfire risk is also present due to the surrounding bushland, with drier conditions and higher temperatures increasing the likelihood of fires.

Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense, posing a threat to vulnerable populations. The urban heat island effect can further amplify temperatures in built-up areas.

While coastal risks are minimal due to the suburb's inland location, the other hazards require proactive adaptation measures to protect residents and property. These measures include improving drainage infrastructure, managing vegetation, and implementing heatwave early warning systems.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · NSW SES · NSW RFS

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks in The Glen?

The main climate risks in The Glen are flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. These risks are projected to increase with climate change.

How can I prepare for flooding in The Glen?

Check flood maps, elevate your property if possible, and have an emergency plan in place.

What should I do during a heatwave in The Glen?

Stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and check on vulnerable neighbors.

Is my property in The Glen at risk of bushfire?

Check the NSW RFS website for bushfire prone area overlays and prepare a bushfire survival plan.

Where can I find more information about climate change in The Glen?

Consult the local council's climate strategy and the CSIRO climate change projections.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in The Glen, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

Check The Glen's specific flood risk and see how it compares to nearby suburbs. Enter your address for an instant risk assessment.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$69 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections