Bushfire Risk in The Lagoon, NSW: 2026 Assessment
Bushfire Risk Score
4.0/10The Lagoon has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding vegetation. Hotter, drier conditions associated with climate change are projected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.
Key Facts
- Bushfire Risk
- The Lagoon has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding vegetation. Hotter, drier conditions associated with climate change are projected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.
- Trend
- increasing
- Suburb
- The Lagoon, NSW
- Overall Risk
- Medium
- Postcode
- 2795
- Highest high-risk exposure
- 18.6% of land (bushfire)
Bushfire Risk Analysis
The Lagoon, New South Wales, has a the lagoon has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding vegetation. hotter, drier conditions associated with climate change are projected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires. bushfire risk profile. Key factors include distance to classified bushland, vegetation type, slope, and historical bushfire activity in the region. The New South Wales fire authority maps bushfire-prone areas and assigns BAL (Bushfire Attack Level) ratings.
Maintain fire breaks and clear vegetation around properties.
CSIRO research indicates climate change is extending fire seasons and increasing the number of severe fire weather days across southern and eastern Australia. For The Lagoon, this may mean shifts in bushfire risk levels over the coming decades, making property-level BAL assessment increasingly important.
Use ClimateNest for a complete address-level bushfire risk report for The Lagoon including BAL zone assessment, evacuation route mapping, and property-specific risk mitigation recommendations.
The Lagoon sits within ClimateNest's suburb-level hazard model for bushfire risk. 18.6% of the suburb's land area is mapped in high-risk bushfire zones and 59.3% in moderate-risk zones, based on the national hazard overlay. Exposure at this scale varies street by street, which is why an address-level check matters before you buy or insure a specific property in The Lagoon.
The Lagoon (postcode 2795) is tracked in ClimateNest's suburb hazard model, which maps the share of the suburb's land exposed to each hazard at high and moderate levels. The suburb's highest high-risk exposures are bushfire (18.6% of land in high-risk zones), surface flood (6.4% of land in high-risk zones), riverine flood (6% of land in high-risk zones). Exposure is not uniform across The Lagoon — individual properties can sit well above or below these averages, so an address-level check is recommended before buying, selling or insuring.
Local Hazard Evidence
Historical Events
Bushfires in the region caused smoky conditions and increased fire danger.
Adaptation & Mitigation Actions
Improve Drainage Infrastructure
Near-termUpgrade local drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce flood risk.
Est. cost: High
Bushfire Preparedness Planning
ImmediateDevelop and implement community-based bushfire preparedness plans, including evacuation routes and firebreaks.
Est. cost: Medium
Heatwave Early Warning System
Near-termEstablish a heatwave early warning system to alert vulnerable populations and provide guidance on staying safe during extreme heat events.
Est. cost: Low
Community Education Programs
Long-termConduct community education programs to raise awareness of climate change risks and adaptation measures.
Est. cost: Low
Council & Emergency Services
Explore The Lagoon Risk Reports
View other climate risk assessments for The Lagoon:
Frequently Asked Questions
Is The Lagoon in a bushfire prone area?
Parts of The Lagoon may be designated as bushfire prone land. Based on available data, The Lagoon has a notable bushfire risk. Check your specific property for BAL ratings through ClimateNest or your local council.
What BAL rating applies to properties in The Lagoon?
BAL ratings in The Lagoon depend on the property's distance from classified vegetation, vegetation type, and slope. A site-specific assessment under AS 3959 is required to determine the exact BAL rating for any property within the suburb.
Does bushfire risk affect insurance in The Lagoon?
Yes, properties in bushfire-prone parts of The Lagoon may face higher building insurance premiums. Insurers assess bushfire risk based on BAL rating, fire history, and proximity to bushland. Some insurers may restrict cover in very high-risk locations.
What bushfire mitigation measures help protect homes in The Lagoon?
Effective bushfire mitigation includes maintaining cleared asset protection zones, using ember-proof mesh on vents, installing metal gutter guards, using non-combustible building materials, and maintaining defendable space. Consult the New South Wales fire authority for property-specific guidance.
What share of The Lagoon is exposed to high bushfire risk?
ClimateNest's hazard overlay maps 18.6% of The Lagoon in high-risk zones for bushfire, with a further 59.3% in moderate-risk zones. Suburb-level exposure is not uniform — individual properties can differ from these averages, so an address-level check is recommended.
Is The Lagoon Safe from Climate Risk?
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