Climate Risk in Timbarra, New South Wales

Timbarra, New South Wales
Medium Risk
Updated May 2026

Timbarra faces increasing risks from bushfires and heatwaves. Flooding is also a concern due to increased rainfall intensity. Residents should prepare for more extreme weather events.

Overall Risk Score

55/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
4.0
Bushfire
6.0
Heat
6.0
Coastal
1.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Timbarra

increasing

Flood

40/100

Timbarra faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and nearby waterways. Properties close to creeks are more vulnerable.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development increasing runoff
increasing

Bushfire

60/100

The area around Timbarra has a high bushfire risk due to the proximity of bushland. Hot, dry conditions exacerbate this risk, particularly during summer.

Key drivers:

  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Increased fuel load
increasing

Heat

60/100

Timbarra is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, especially the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect
stable

Coastal

10/100

Timbarra is not directly exposed to coastal risks.

stable

Wind

28/100

Moderate wind risk — East Coast Lows and gust fronts

stable

Storm

39/100

Moderate storm risk — severe thunderstorms and hail

stable

Social

21/100

Moderate social stability — mixed urban density

increasing

Energy

35/100

Moderate energy costs — climate-driven cooling demand

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Timbarra

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

60/100

Timbarra is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, especially the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.0

Data source

flood Risk

40/100

Timbarra faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and nearby waterways. Properties close to creeks are more vulnerable.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development increasing runoff

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.5

2050

5.0

Data source

coastal Risk

10/100

Timbarra is not directly exposed to coastal risks.

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

1.0

2050

1.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

60/100

The area around Timbarra has a high bushfire risk due to the proximity of bushland. Hot, dry conditions exacerbate this risk, particularly during summer.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Increased fuel load

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.0

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums are likely to increase due to the rising risks of bushfires and floods.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps
  • 2.Assess bushfire risk
  • 3.Evaluate cooling options
  • 4.Review insurance coverage

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Local Creeks
Elevation Range
Variable
Flood Zone
Areas near creeks

Check local council flood maps for specific property risks.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Adjacent to bushland areas
Planning Overlay
RFS Bush Fire Prone Land Map
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

Check the RFS website for bushfire prone areas and safety guidelines.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
32°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
5 days

Take precautions during heatwaves, such as staying hydrated and seeking air-conditioned environments.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
150 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Not applicable
Erosion Risk
Not applicable

Historical Climate Events

2019
bushfireModerate

Bushfires impacted the region, causing property damage and evacuations.

Source
2020
floodMinor

Heavy rainfall caused localized flooding in low-lying areas.

Source
2017
heatwaveModerate

A prolonged heatwave resulted in increased hospital admissions.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood404.3(+0.3)4.5(+0.5)
bushfire606.4(+0.4)6.7(+0.7)
heat606.6(+0.6)7.0(+1.0)
coastal101.01.0

By 2030, Timbarra is projected to experience a notable increase in heatwave frequency and intensity, along with a heightened risk of bushfires due to drier conditions. Flooding risks will also increase due to more intense rainfall events.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Bushfire Preparedness

Immediate

Create a bushfire survival plan and maintain a well-cleared property.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Enhance Home Cooling

Near-term

Install air conditioning or improve insulation to reduce heat exposure.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Upgrade Flood Defenses

Near-term

Install flood barriers or improve drainage around your property.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Community Education Programs

Long-term

Participate in local workshops and training sessions on climate resilience.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Timbarra's Climate Risk Profile

Timbarra, NSW, is increasingly vulnerable to climate change impacts. The primary risks are bushfires, heatwaves, and flooding. Rising temperatures and drier conditions are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires, posing a significant threat to properties and lives.

Heatwaves are also becoming more common, placing stress on the community, particularly vulnerable individuals. The urban heat island effect can exacerbate these conditions, making it essential to implement strategies to mitigate heat exposure.

Flooding is another concern, with heavier rainfall events leading to increased runoff and potential inundation of low-lying areas. Proper drainage and flood management infrastructure are crucial to minimize the impact of these events.

While Timbarra is not directly exposed to coastal hazards, the broader effects of climate change, such as disruptions to supply chains and increased insurance costs, can still impact the community. Adapting to these changes requires a proactive approach, including community education, infrastructure upgrades, and emergency preparedness.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · NSW RFS · NSW SES

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Timbarra?

The primary risks are bushfires, heatwaves, and flooding due to increased rainfall intensity and rising temperatures.

How can I prepare my home for bushfires?

Create a bushfire survival plan, clear vegetation around your property, and ensure you have adequate insurance coverage.

What should I do during a heatwave?

Stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and check on vulnerable neighbors.

Where can I find information about local flood risks?

Consult the local council's flood maps and the NSW State Emergency Service website.

Are there any community initiatives to address climate change in Timbarra?

Check with the local council for information on community workshops and sustainability programs.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Timbarra, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

Check Timbarra's specific flood risk and see how it compares to nearby suburbs. Enter your address for an instant risk assessment.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$69 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections