Climate Risk in Tingira Heights, NSW

Tingira Heights, New South Wales
Medium Risk
Updated May 2026

Tingira Heights faces moderate climate risks, particularly from bushfires and flooding. Increasing temperatures and changing rainfall patterns are expected to exacerbate these risks in the future. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.

Overall Risk Score

58/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.5
Bushfire
7.0
Heat
5.0
Coastal
4.5

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Tingira Heights

increasing

Flood

65/100

Tingira Heights faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential stormwater runoff. The risk is influenced by local topography and drainage infrastructure.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
increasing

Bushfire

70/100

Tingira Heights has a high bushfire risk due to its proximity to bushland areas. Dry vegetation and prevailing winds can contribute to rapid fire spread during bushfire season.

Key drivers:

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Dry vegetation
increasing

Heat

50/100

Tingira Heights experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwave events projected. This can impact vulnerable populations and infrastructure.

Key drivers:

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urban heat island effect
increasing

Coastal

45/100

Tingira Heights has a relatively low coastal risk due to its inland location. However, it may still be indirectly affected by coastal hazards such as sea-level rise and storm surges.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea-level rise
  • ·Increased storm intensity
stable

Wind

28/100

Moderate wind risk — East Coast Lows and gust fronts

stable

Storm

39/100

Moderate storm risk — severe thunderstorms and hail

stable

Social

21/100

Moderate social stability — mixed urban density

increasing

Energy

35/100

Moderate energy costs — climate-driven cooling demand

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Tingira Heights

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

50/100

Tingira Heights experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwave events projected. This can impact vulnerable populations and infrastructure.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

5.5

2050

6.0

Data source

flood Risk

65/100

Tingira Heights faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential stormwater runoff. The risk is influenced by local topography and drainage infrastructure.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
  • ·Inadequate drainage capacity

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.0

2050

7.5

Data source

coastal Risk

45/100

Tingira Heights has a relatively low coastal risk due to its inland location. However, it may still be indirectly affected by coastal hazards such as sea-level rise and storm surges.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea-level rise
  • ·Increased storm intensity

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

5.0

2050

5.5

Data source

bushfire Risk

70/100

Tingira Heights has a high bushfire risk due to its proximity to bushland areas. Dry vegetation and prevailing winds can contribute to rapid fire spread during bushfire season.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.5

2050

8.0

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to climate risks.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience price reductions.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone areas
  • 2.Assess property's vulnerability to heatwaves
  • 3.Review insurance options and premiums
  • 4.Consider long-term climate risks when buying

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Local creeks and stormwater channels
Elevation Range
Varies across the suburb
Flood Zone
Areas near creeks and low-lying areas

Local council may have specific flood studies available.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Adjacent to bushland areas
Planning Overlay
Bushfire prone land overlay applies
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

Check with local council for specific bushfire management requirements.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
30°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
3 days

Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
15 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Low
Erosion Risk
Low

Historical Climate Events

2013
bushfireModerate

Bushfires impacted areas near Tingira Heights, causing property damage and evacuations.

Source
2015
stormModerate

Severe storms caused flash flooding and property damage in the region.

Source
2017
floodMinor

Heavy rainfall led to localized flooding in low-lying areas of Tingira Heights.

Source
2019
heatwaveModerate

Prolonged heatwave conditions impacted vulnerable residents and increased fire risk.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood656.8(+0.3)7.1(+0.6)
bushfire707.4(+0.4)7.8(+0.8)
heat505.6(+0.6)6.0(+1.0)
coastal454.7(+0.2)4.9(+0.4)

By 2030, Tingira Heights is projected to experience a moderate increase in overall climate risk, with notable increases in heatwave frequency and bushfire intensity. Flooding risk will also increase due to more intense rainfall events.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve stormwater drainage

Near-term

Upgrade drainage infrastructure to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce flood risk.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Bushfire hazard reduction

Immediate

Implement regular bushfire hazard reduction programs to reduce fuel loads and protect properties.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Heatwave preparedness plan

Near-term

Develop a community heatwave preparedness plan to protect vulnerable residents during extreme heat events.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Promote water conservation

Long-term

Encourage water conservation measures to reduce water stress during prolonged dry periods.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Community awareness programs

Near-term

Implement community awareness programs to educate residents about climate risks and adaptation strategies.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Tingira Heights's Climate Risk Profile

Tingira Heights, located in New South Wales, is subject to a range of climate-related risks that are projected to intensify in the coming decades. The primary concerns for the suburb are bushfires, flooding, and heatwaves, with coastal risks being less immediate due to its inland location.

Bushfire risk is elevated due to the suburb's proximity to bushland areas. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires, posing a significant threat to properties and human safety. Residents should maintain their properties and be prepared to evacuate during bushfire season.

Flooding is another significant concern, with heavy rainfall events and stormwater runoff posing a risk to low-lying areas. The existing drainage infrastructure may be insufficient to handle increased rainfall intensity, leading to more frequent and severe flooding. Upgrades to drainage systems and improved stormwater management are crucial to mitigate this risk.

Heatwaves are also becoming more frequent and intense, impacting vulnerable populations such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions. The urban heat island effect can further exacerbate heat stress in built-up areas. Implementing heat mitigation strategies, such as increasing green spaces and improving building insulation, can help reduce the impact of heatwaves.

While coastal risks are relatively low, sea-level rise and storm surges could indirectly affect Tingira Heights through impacts on regional infrastructure and supply chains. Monitoring coastal changes and planning for potential disruptions is important to ensure the suburb's long-term resilience.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · NSW SES · NSW RFS

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks facing Tingira Heights?

The main climate risks include bushfires, flooding, and heatwaves. These risks are expected to increase in the future due to climate change.

How can I prepare my property for bushfires?

You can prepare your property by clearing vegetation, maintaining gutters, and having a bushfire survival plan.

What should I do during a heatwave?

During a heatwave, stay indoors, drink plenty of water, and check on vulnerable neighbors.

Where can I find information about local flood risks?

You can find information about local flood risks on the NSW SES website or by contacting your local council.

How is the local council addressing climate change?

The local council is developing and implementing climate adaptation strategies to reduce the impacts of climate change on the community. Contact the council for more information.

Will climate change affect my insurance premiums?

Yes, climate change may lead to increased insurance premiums, especially for properties in high-risk areas.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Tingira Heights, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

Check Tingira Heights's specific flood risk and see how it compares to nearby suburbs. Enter your address for an instant risk assessment.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$69 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections