Climate Risk Profile: Tomewin, NSW
Tomewin faces moderate climate risks, particularly from bushfires and flooding. Climate change is expected to increase the severity and frequency of these events. Residents should prepare for potential impacts and take steps to adapt.
Overall Risk Score
Confidence: Medium
Hazard Breakdown
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Tomewin
Flood
Tomewin faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential riverine flooding. The risk is expected to increase due to climate change.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
Bushfire
Tomewin has a high bushfire risk due to its proximity to bushland and prevailing dry conditions. Climate change is projected to exacerbate bushfire risk.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
Heat
Tomewin experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves projected. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
Tomewin faces a moderate coastal risk due to potential sea level rise and coastal erosion. The risk is expected to increase with climate change.
Key drivers:
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Increased storm intensity
Wind
Moderate wind risk — East Coast Lows and gust fronts
Storm
Moderate storm risk — severe thunderstorms and hail
Social
Moderate social stability — mixed urban density
Energy
Moderate energy costs — climate-driven cooling demand
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Tomewin
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Tomewin experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves projected. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
- ·Urban heat island effect
Projections (RCP8.5)
2030
4.5
2050
5.0
flood Risk
Tomewin faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential riverine flooding. The risk is expected to increase due to climate change.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Urban development
Projections (RCP8.5)
2030
6.5
2050
7.0
coastal Risk
Tomewin faces a moderate coastal risk due to potential sea level rise and coastal erosion. The risk is expected to increase with climate change.
Primary Drivers
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Increased storm intensity
Projections (RCP8.5)
2030
5.5
2050
6.0
bushfire Risk
Tomewin has a high bushfire risk due to its proximity to bushland and prevailing dry conditions. Climate change is projected to exacerbate bushfire risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
- ·Increased fuel load
Projections (RCP8.5)
2030
7.5
2050
8.0
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums are likely to increase due to the elevated risk of bushfires and flooding.
Price Impact
Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value due to climate change impacts.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and bushfire-prone area designations.
- 2.Assess property's vulnerability to climate risks.
- 3.Obtain insurance quotes and understand coverage.
- 4.Develop a bushfire survival plan.
- 5.Consider energy efficiency and water conservation measures.
Local Climate Evidence
Flood Evidence
- Nearest Waterway
- Tweed River
- Elevation Range
- 5-20 meters
- Flood Zone
- Low to Moderate
Historical flood data indicates that some areas of Tomewin are susceptible to inundation during heavy rainfall events. Council flood maps provide detailed information on flood risk zones.
View council flood mapBushfire Evidence
- Distance to Bushland
- Adjacent
- Planning Overlay
- RFS Bush Fire Prone Land
- Bushfire Prone Area
- Yes
Tomewin is designated as a bushfire-prone area, requiring properties to adhere to specific building standards and vegetation management practices.
Heat Evidence
- Avg January Max Temp
- 29.5°C
- Heat Stress Days/Year
- 3 days
Average maximum temperatures in January are increasing, leading to more frequent heat stress events. Vulnerable populations are at higher risk during these periods.
Coastal Evidence
- Distance to Coast
- 5 km
- Sea Level Rise Exposure
- Low
- Erosion Risk
- Low
Historical Climate Events
Heavy rainfall caused flash flooding in parts of Tomewin, leading to road closures and property damage.
SourceBushfires in the region caused smoke haze and elevated fire danger in Tomewin.
SourceA prolonged heatwave resulted in increased demand for electricity and put strain on vulnerable residents.
SourceSignificant flooding event impacted the region, causing widespread damage and displacement.
SourceClimate Outlook to 2050
Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP4.5
| Hazard | Today | 2030 | 2050 |
|---|---|---|---|
| flood | 60 | 6.2(+0.2) | 6.8(+0.8) |
| bushfire | 70 | 7.4(+0.4) | 8.5(+1.5) |
| heat | 40 | 4.1(+0.1) | 4.6(+0.6) |
| coastal | 50 | 5.2(+0.2) | 5.5(+0.5) |
Under a moderate emissions scenario, Tomewin is projected to experience a slight increase in overall climate risk by 2030, with bushfire risk increasing more significantly than other hazards.
CSIRO Climate ProjectionsAdaptation Recommendations
Develop a Bushfire Survival Plan
ImmediateCreate a detailed plan for evacuating your property in the event of a bushfire, including designated meeting points and emergency supplies.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreImprove Home Energy Efficiency
Near-termInstall insulation, energy-efficient appliances, and solar panels to reduce energy consumption and lower your carbon footprint.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreUpgrade Drainage Infrastructure
Near-termInvest in improved drainage systems to reduce the risk of flash flooding during heavy rainfall events.
Est. cost: High
Learn morePlant Native Trees and Vegetation
Long-termPlanting native trees and vegetation can help to reduce the urban heat island effect and improve air quality.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreInstall Rainwater Tanks
Near-termInstall rainwater tanks to capture and store rainwater for use in gardens and toilets, reducing reliance on mains water supply.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreAbout Tomewin's Climate Risk Profile
Tomewin, located in New South Wales, is exposed to a range of climate-related risks. The primary concerns are bushfires, flooding, heatwaves, and coastal hazards. These risks are projected to intensify due to climate change, posing challenges to the community and local infrastructure.
Bushfire risk is significant due to the suburb's proximity to bushland. Hotter, drier conditions are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires, threatening homes and livelihoods. Residents should maintain firebreaks and have evacuation plans in place.
Flooding is another concern, with potential for both riverine and flash flooding. Increased rainfall intensity can overwhelm drainage systems and inundate properties. Coastal risks include sea level rise and coastal erosion, which could impact low-lying areas.
Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and severe, posing health risks to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic illnesses. It is important to stay hydrated and seek shelter during extreme heat events.
Adapting to these climate risks requires a multi-faceted approach, including improved infrastructure, community awareness programs, and individual preparedness measures. By taking proactive steps, Tomewin can build resilience and protect its residents from the impacts of climate change.
Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · NSW RFS · Tweed Shire Council
Local Government Resources
Tweed Shire Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate risks facing Tomewin?
Tomewin is primarily at risk from bushfires, flooding, and heatwaves, all of which are expected to worsen with climate change.
How can I prepare my home for a bushfire?
Clear vegetation around your home, maintain firebreaks, and develop a bushfire survival plan. Ensure you have adequate insurance coverage.
What should I do during a heatwave?
Stay hydrated, seek shelter in air-conditioned environments, and check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.
Where can I find information on local flood risks?
Consult the Tweed Shire Council's flood maps and emergency management resources for detailed information on flood risk zones and evacuation procedures.
How is the local council addressing climate change?
The Tweed Shire Council is developing and implementing climate adaptation strategies to reduce the community's vulnerability to climate risks. Check their website for more information.
Will climate change affect my property value in Tomewin?
Potentially, yes. Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value due to increased insurance premiums and potential damage from climate-related events.
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