Is Tomingley, NSW Climate Safe? 2026 Assessment
Climate Safety Score
5.5/10Moderate climate risk — address-specific
Key Facts
- Climate Safety
- Medium
- Flood
- Tomingley faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events that can cause local waterways to overflow. The risk is influenced by the area's topography and drainage systems.
- Bushfire
- The bushfire risk in Tomingley is relatively high due to the surrounding vegetation and dry climate conditions, especially during the summer months. Grassfires are a significant concern.
- Heat
- Tomingley experiences high temperatures during summer, leading to a significant heat risk. Prolonged heatwaves can impact vulnerable populations and infrastructure.
- Storm
- Moderate storm risk — East Coast Lows bring severe weather including hail and damaging winds
- Postcode
- 2869
- Highest high-risk exposure
- 15.5% of land (bushfire)
Climate Safety Analysis
Tomingley in New South Wales has an overall climate safety rating of Medium. This multi-hazard assessment combines flood, bushfire, heat, coastal, and storm risk data with climate projections to 2050 from CSIRO and the Bureau of Meteorology.
Key factors affecting Tomingley's climate safety include heat, bushfire. Each hazard is assessed independently and combined for an overall picture. Australia has warmed by approximately 1.5 °C since 1910, with flow-on effects to fire weather, extreme rainfall, and heatwave frequency.
Climate safety for property in Tomingley is not uniform — it varies by address. Factors such as elevation, distance to waterways, proximity to bushland, and local drainage all influence actual risk at a specific property. Two nearby properties can have materially different risk profiles.
For a complete property-specific climate safety report for Tomingley including address-level hazard mapping, insurance outlook, and adaptation recommendations, use the ClimateNest full analysis tool.
Tomingley (postcode 2869) is tracked in ClimateNest's suburb hazard model, which maps the share of the suburb's land exposed to each hazard at high and moderate levels. The suburb's highest high-risk exposures are bushfire (15.5% of land in high-risk zones), riverine flood (13.4% of land in high-risk zones), surface flood (9.2% of land in high-risk zones). Exposure is not uniform across Tomingley — individual properties can sit well above or below these averages, so an address-level check is recommended before buying, selling or insuring.
Local Hazard Evidence
Historical Events
Severe drought conditions impacted agricultural activities and water resources in the Tomingley region.
Tomingley experienced a prolonged heatwave with temperatures exceeding 40°C for several days.
A bushfire near Tomingley threatened properties, requiring firefighting efforts to protect the community.
Heavy rainfall caused localized flooding in Tomingley, affecting some residential areas.
Adaptation & Mitigation Actions
Improve Drainage Infrastructure
Near-termUpgrade local drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce flood risk.
Est. cost: Medium
Bushfire Preparedness Programs
ImmediateImplement community-based bushfire preparedness programs to educate residents on risk reduction and evacuation procedures.
Est. cost: Low
Heat Action Plan
ImmediateDevelop and implement a heat action plan to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, including establishing cooling centers and providing public awareness campaigns.
Est. cost: Low
Water Conservation Measures
Long-termPromote water conservation measures to address drought risks and ensure sustainable water resources.
Est. cost: Low
Council & Emergency Services
Explore Tomingley Risk Reports
View other climate risk assessments for Tomingley:
Frequently Asked Questions
Is Tomingley safe from climate change?
No location in Australia is entirely immune to climate change impacts. Tomingley has an overall Medium climate risk rating. Understanding the specific hazards at your property address — not just the suburb average — provides the most reliable risk picture.
Which climate hazard poses the biggest risk in Tomingley?
The dominant hazard for Tomingley depends on geography and local environment. Proximity to waterways elevates flood risk, while proximity to bushland increases bushfire risk. ClimateNest's multi-hazard analysis identifies the highest-risk hazards for any specific address.
How does Tomingley compare to nearby suburbs for climate safety?
Nearby suburbs may have different climate risk profiles depending on elevation, vegetation cover, drainage patterns, and land use. ClimateNest allows comparison of climate safety scores across New South Wales suburbs.
Should I be concerned about buying property in Tomingley?
Climate risk should be one factor in your decision, alongside price, location, and amenity. An informed buyer understands the specific risks at a property address and factors insurance costs and climate projections into their assessment of long-term value.
What climate projections should I know for Tomingley?
Key projections for New South Wales from CSIRO include increased average temperatures, more frequent hot days, changes in rainfall seasonality, longer fire seasons, and potential increases in extreme rainfall intensity. These trends inform the long-term outlook for Tomingley.
What share of Tomingley is exposed to high bushfire risk?
ClimateNest's hazard overlay maps 15.5% of Tomingley in high-risk zones for bushfire, with a further 59.2% in moderate-risk zones. Suburb-level exposure is not uniform — individual properties can differ from these averages, so an address-level check is recommended.
Is Tomingley Safe from Climate Risk?
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