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Climate Risk in Turlinjah, NSW

Turlinjah, New South Wales· Eurobodalla· 2537
Medium Risk
Updated May 2026

Turlinjah, NSW, faces a medium overall climate risk. The primary concerns are increasing flood and bushfire risks due to climate change. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.

Overall Risk Score

52/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.5
Bushfire
7.0
Heat
4.0
Coastal
3.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Turlinjah

increasing

Flood

65/100

Turlinjah faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, potentially leading to more frequent and severe flood events.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
increasing

Bushfire

70/100

Turlinjah is located in a bushfire-prone area. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can increase the risk of bushfires. Climate change is projected to worsen these conditions, leading to a higher frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
increasing

Heat

40/100

Turlinjah experiences moderate heat risk. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of heatwaves, posing a risk to vulnerable populations.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
  • ·Urban heat island effect
increasing

Coastal

30/100

Turlinjah has a relatively low coastal risk. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are potential threats, but the immediate impact is less severe compared to other coastal areas.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm surge
stable

Wind

28/100

Moderate wind risk — East Coast Lows and gust fronts

stable

Storm

39/100

Moderate storm risk — severe thunderstorms and hail

stable

Social

21/100

Moderate social stability — mixed urban density

increasing

Energy

35/100

Moderate energy costs — climate-driven cooling demand

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Turlinjah

Should I Buy

Property buying guide with climate risk assessment

Flood Risk

Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections

Bushfire Risk

BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history

Climate Safety

Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050

Storm Risk

Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis

Heat Risk

Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs

Insurance Costs

Premium estimates and insurance availability

Investment Score

Climate-adjusted property investment analysis

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

40/100

Turlinjah experiences moderate heat risk. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of heatwaves, posing a risk to vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.5

2050

5.0

Data source

flood Risk

65/100

Turlinjah faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, potentially leading to more frequent and severe flood events.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Inadequate drainage infrastructure

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.0

2050

7.5

Data source

coastal Risk

30/100

Turlinjah has a relatively low coastal risk. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are potential threats, but the immediate impact is less severe compared to other coastal areas.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm surge

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

3.5

2050

4.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

70/100

Turlinjah is located in a bushfire-prone area. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can increase the risk of bushfires. Climate change is projected to worsen these conditions, leading to a higher frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Increased fuel load

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.5

2050

8.0

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums are likely to increase due to the rising risk of flooding and bushfires.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone area designations.
  • 2.Assess property's vulnerability to extreme weather events.
  • 3.Inquire about insurance costs and coverage.
  • 4.Review council's climate adaptation plans.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Tuross River
Elevation Range
5-20 meters
Flood Zone
Partially within flood zone

Historical flood data indicates inundation in low-lying areas near the Tuross River.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Adjacent to bushland
Planning Overlay
Bushfire prone area
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

The area has a history of bushfires, with several major events in recent decades.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
27.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
2 days

The number of days exceeding 35°C is projected to increase in the coming decades.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
5 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Low
Erosion Risk
Low

Historical Climate Events

2019
bushfireCatastrophic

The Black Summer bushfires caused widespread damage and evacuations in the region.

Source
2016
floodModerate

Heavy rainfall caused the Tuross River to flood, inundating low-lying areas.

Source
2013
bushfireModerate

A bushfire near Turlinjah threatened properties and required emergency response.

Source
2020
floodMinor

Localized flooding occurred due to intense rainfall.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood657.0(+0.5)7.5(+1.0)
bushfire707.5(+0.5)8.0(+1.0)
heat404.3(+0.3)4.7(+0.7)
coastal303.2(+0.2)3.5(+0.5)

By 2030, Turlinjah is projected to experience a moderate increase in overall climate risk, with notable increases in flood and bushfire risks. Heatwaves are also expected to become more frequent and intense.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Drainage Infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce flood risk.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Bushfire Fuel Management

Immediate

Implement regular bushfire fuel reduction programs to minimize the risk of bushfires.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Heat Action Plan

Near-term

Develop and implement a heat action plan to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Coastal Erosion Monitoring

Long-term

Monitor coastal erosion and implement measures to protect coastal assets and infrastructure.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Community Awareness Programs

Near-term

Educate the community about climate risks and adaptation measures.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Turlinjah's Climate Risk Profile

Turlinjah is a suburb in New South Wales that is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The region is particularly susceptible to flooding due to its proximity to waterways, and the risk is expected to increase with more intense rainfall events.

Bushfire risk is also a significant concern for Turlinjah. The area is surrounded by bushland, and hotter, drier conditions are projected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires. Residents need to be prepared for potential evacuations and property damage.

Heatwaves are another growing threat. As temperatures rise, vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions, are at greater risk of heat stress. Ensuring access to cooling centers and implementing heat action plans are crucial.

While coastal risks are relatively lower compared to other hazards, sea level rise and coastal erosion still pose a threat to Turlinjah. Long-term planning and adaptation measures are necessary to protect coastal assets and infrastructure.

Addressing these climate risks requires a coordinated effort from local government, emergency services, and the community. Implementing adaptation strategies, such as improving drainage infrastructure, managing bushfire fuel loads, and promoting energy efficiency, can help reduce the vulnerability of Turlinjah to climate change.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · NSW RFS · NSW SES · Eurobodalla Shire Council

Local Government Resources

Eurobodalla Shire Council

Climate StrategyFlood MapsEmergency Services

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks for Turlinjah?

The main climate change risks for Turlinjah are increased flooding, bushfire risk, and heatwaves. Sea level rise also poses a long-term threat.

How will climate change affect property values in Turlinjah?

Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value due to the increased risk of flooding and bushfires.

What is the council doing to address climate change in Turlinjah?

The Eurobodalla Shire Council is developing and implementing climate adaptation plans, including improving drainage infrastructure and managing bushfire fuel loads.

How can I prepare my home for a bushfire in Turlinjah?

You can prepare your home for a bushfire by clearing vegetation around your property, installing a sprinkler system, and having a bushfire survival plan.

What should I do during a flood in Turlinjah?

During a flood, you should evacuate to higher ground, avoid driving through floodwaters, and follow the instructions of emergency services.

Where can I find information about emergency services in Turlinjah?

You can find information about emergency services on the NSW State Emergency Service (SES) website.

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