Climate Risk Profile: Tyringham, NSW

Tyringham, New South Wales

Medium Risk

Updated May 2026

Tyringham faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding and bushfires. Increasing temperatures and changing rainfall patterns are expected to exacerbate these risks in the future. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.

Overall Risk Score

52/100

Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood

6.5

Bushfire

7.0

Heat

4.0

Coastal

1.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Tyringham

increasing

Flood

65/100

Tyringham faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its location and rainfall patterns. Local waterways can overflow during heavy rain events, impacting properties and infrastructure.

Key drivers:

·Increased rainfall intensity
·Changes in land use

increasing

Bushfire

70/100

Tyringham has a high bushfire risk due to its proximity to bushland and prevailing weather conditions. Dry vegetation and strong winds can contribute to rapid fire spread.

Key drivers:

·Drier conditions
·Increased fuel load

increasing

Heat

40/100

Tyringham experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves projected. This can impact vulnerable populations and infrastructure.

Key drivers:

·Rising global temperatures
·Urban heat island effect

stable

Coastal

10/100

Tyringham has a low coastal risk as it is not located near the coast. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not significant threats to this area.

Key drivers:

·Distance from coast

stable

Wind

28/100

Moderate wind risk — East Coast Lows and gust fronts

stable

Storm

39/100

Moderate storm risk — severe thunderstorms and hail

stable

Social

21/100

Moderate social stability — mixed urban density

increasing

Energy

35/100

Moderate energy costs — climate-driven cooling demand

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Tyringham

Should I Buy

Property buying guide with climate risk assessment

Flood Risk

Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections

Bushfire Risk

BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history

Climate Safety

Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050

Storm Risk

Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis

Heat Risk

Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs

Insurance Costs

Premium estimates and insurance availability

Investment Score

Climate-adjusted property investment analysis

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

40/100

Tyringham experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves projected. This can impact vulnerable populations and infrastructure.

Primary Drivers

·Rising global temperatures
·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.5

2050

5.0

Data source

flood Risk

65/100

Tyringham faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its location and rainfall patterns. Local waterways can overflow during heavy rain events, impacting properties and infrastructure.

Primary Drivers

·Increased rainfall intensity
·Changes in land use
·Aging infrastructure

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.0

2050

7.5

Data source

coastal Risk

10/100

Tyringham has a low coastal risk as it is not located near the coast. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not significant threats to this area.

Primary Drivers

·Distance from coast

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

1.0

2050

1.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

70/100

Tyringham has a high bushfire risk due to its proximity to bushland and prevailing weather conditions. Dry vegetation and strong winds can contribute to rapid fire spread.

Primary Drivers

·Drier conditions
·Increased fuel load
·More frequent heatwaves

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.5

2050

8.0

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Premiums may increase due to flood and bushfire risks.

Price Impact

Potential for decreased property values in high-risk areas.

Buyer Checklist

1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone area designations.
2.Assess property's vulnerability to extreme weather events.
3.Review insurance options and costs.
4.Consider long-term climate projections for the area.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway: Local creeks and rivers
Elevation Range: Variable
Flood Zone: Potentially affected areas near waterways

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland: Adjacent to bushland areas
Planning Overlay: RFS bushfire prone area map
Bushfire Prone Area: Yes

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp: 32°C
Heat Stress Days/Year: 3 days

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast: 150 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure: Not applicable
Erosion Risk: Not applicable

Historical Climate Events

2019

bushfireModerate

Bushfires impacted the region, causing property damage and evacuations.

Source

2020

floodModerate

Heavy rainfall led to flooding in low-lying areas, disrupting transport and damaging infrastructure.

Source

2017

heatwaveModerate

Prolonged heatwave conditions strained local resources and caused health concerns.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

Hazard	Today	2030	2050
flood	65	7.0(+0.5)	7.5(+1.0)
bushfire	70	7.5(+0.5)	8.0(+1.0)
heat	40	4.3(+0.3)	4.5(+0.5)
coastal	10	1.0	1.0

By 2030, Tyringham is projected to experience a moderate increase in overall climate risk, with notable increases in flood and bushfire risks due to changing rainfall patterns and drier conditions.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Flood Defenses

Near-term

Upgrade drainage infrastructure and implement flood control measures to reduce the impact of flooding.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Bushfire Preparedness

Immediate

Implement bushfire mitigation strategies, including vegetation management and community education programs.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Heatwave Action Plan

Near-term

Develop and implement a heatwave action plan to protect vulnerable populations during extreme heat events.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Community Resilience Building

Long-term

Promote community engagement and awareness of climate risks and adaptation strategies.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Tyringham's Climate Risk Profile

Tyringham, NSW, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary risks are associated with flooding and bushfires, both of which are projected to worsen in the coming decades. Changes in rainfall intensity and prolonged dry periods contribute to these elevated risks.

Flooding is a concern due to the local waterways and potential for heavy rainfall events to cause overflows. Bushfire risk is heightened by the surrounding bushland and the increasing frequency of heatwaves and dry conditions. These factors create a conducive environment for rapid fire spread.

Rising temperatures also pose a threat, particularly to vulnerable populations such as the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions. The increasing frequency of heatwaves can strain infrastructure and emergency services.

While coastal risks are minimal due to Tyringham's inland location, the community should still be aware of the broader impacts of climate change and take proactive steps to adapt and mitigate these risks.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · NSW SES · NSW RFS

Local Government Resources

UNKNOWN

Flood Maps Emergency Services

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Tyringham?

The main climate change risks in Tyringham are flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. These risks are projected to increase in the coming decades due to changing rainfall patterns, drier conditions, and rising temperatures.

How will climate change affect property values in Tyringham?

Climate change may negatively impact property values in high-risk areas due to increased flood and bushfire risks. Properties in vulnerable locations may experience decreased demand and higher insurance premiums.

What can residents do to prepare for climate change impacts?

Residents can take several steps to prepare for climate change impacts, including improving flood defenses, implementing bushfire mitigation strategies, and developing a heatwave action plan. Community engagement and awareness are also crucial.

Where can I find more information about local climate change projections?

More information about local climate change projections can be found on the CSIRO website and through local council resources. These resources provide detailed data and analysis of projected climate impacts.

What is the council doing to address climate change?

The local council is responsible for developing and implementing climate adaptation strategies. Check the council's website for information on their climate action plan and initiatives.

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2022 insured disaster losses*

$300B+

climate risk to property by 2050*

30-120%

insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

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