Climate Risk in Unanderra, NSW

Unanderra, New South Wales· City of Wollongong· 2526
Medium Risk
Updated May 2026

Unanderra is a suburb in New South Wales that faces moderate climate risks, particularly from flooding, heatwaves, and coastal hazards. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks in the future. Residents should take steps to prepare for these impacts.

Overall Risk Score

58/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.5
Bushfire
4.2
Heat
7.0
Coastal
5.5

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Unanderra

increasing

Flood

65/100

Unanderra faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
increasing

Bushfire

42/100

Unanderra has a moderate bushfire risk due to nearby bushland. Hotter, drier conditions are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
increasing

Heat

70/100

Unanderra is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
  • ·Urban heat island effect
increasing

Coastal

55/100

Unanderra faces a moderate risk from coastal hazards due to sea level rise and storm surges. This could lead to erosion and inundation of low-lying areas.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm intensity
stable

Wind

28/100

Moderate wind risk — East Coast Lows and gust fronts

stable

Storm

39/100

Moderate storm risk — severe thunderstorms and hail

stable

Social

21/100

Moderate social stability — mixed urban density

increasing

Energy

35/100

Moderate energy costs — climate-driven cooling demand

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Unanderra

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

70/100

Unanderra is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.5

2050

8.0

Data source

flood Risk

65/100

Unanderra faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Urban development

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.0

2050

7.5

Data source

coastal Risk

55/100

Unanderra faces a moderate risk from coastal hazards due to sea level rise and storm surges. This could lead to erosion and inundation of low-lying areas.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm intensity

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.0

2050

6.5

Data source

bushfire Risk

42/100

Unanderra has a moderate bushfire risk due to nearby bushland. Hotter, drier conditions are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Fuel load

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.7

2050

5.2

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase in the future due to climate risks.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone area designations.
  • 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Consider the potential impact of sea level rise.
  • 4.Obtain a building inspection report.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Mullet Creek
Elevation Range
5-20 meters
Flood Zone
Partially within flood zone

Some properties in Unanderra are located in areas prone to flooding during heavy rainfall events.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Less than 1km
Planning Overlay
RFS Bush Fire Prone Land Map
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

The western edge of Unanderra borders bushland, increasing bushfire risk.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
27.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
3 days

Unanderra experiences several days above 30 degrees Celsius during summer.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
2 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Low-lying areas may be exposed to sea level rise
Erosion Risk
Moderate

Historical Climate Events

2011
floodModerate

Heavy rainfall caused flooding in parts of Unanderra, affecting some residential and commercial properties.

Source
2013
bushfireMinor

A bushfire near Unanderra caused smoke haze and required firefighting efforts to prevent it from spreading to residential areas.

Source
2017
stormModerate

A severe storm brought heavy rain and strong winds to Unanderra, causing some damage to trees and power lines.

Source
2019
heatwaveModerate

Unanderra experienced a prolonged heatwave with temperatures exceeding 40 degrees Celsius for several days.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood657.0(+0.5)7.5(+1.0)
bushfire424.5(+0.3)4.9(+0.7)
heat707.7(+0.7)8.5(+1.5)
coastal555.9(+0.4)6.3(+0.8)

By 2030, Unanderra is projected to experience a moderate increase in overall climate risk, with notable increases in heatwave frequency and intensity. Flooding and coastal hazards are also expected to worsen.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Drainage Infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce the risk of flooding.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Implement Heatwave Early Warning System

Immediate

Develop and implement a heatwave early warning system to alert vulnerable populations and provide guidance on how to stay safe.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Strengthen Coastal Defenses

Long-term

Invest in coastal protection measures, such as seawalls and beach nourishment, to reduce the impact of sea level rise and storm surges.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Bushfire Risk Reduction

Near-term

Undertake controlled burns and vegetation management to reduce fuel loads in bushfire-prone areas.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

About Unanderra's Climate Risk Profile

Unanderra, located in the City of Wollongong, is susceptible to a range of climate-related hazards. Its proximity to waterways and the coast makes it vulnerable to flooding and coastal erosion. The increasing frequency and intensity of heatwaves also pose a significant threat to public health.

The risk of flooding in Unanderra is driven by increased rainfall intensity and sea level rise. Low-lying areas are particularly vulnerable, and infrastructure may be at risk. Bushfire risk is also present due to the presence of nearby bushland, with hotter, drier conditions increasing the likelihood of fires.

Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense, posing a risk to vulnerable populations. The urban heat island effect can further exacerbate these conditions. Coastal hazards, such as sea level rise and storm surges, can lead to erosion and inundation of low-lying areas.

Addressing these climate risks requires a combination of mitigation and adaptation measures. Reducing greenhouse gas emissions is essential to slow the pace of climate change. Local adaptation measures, such as improving drainage infrastructure and implementing heatwave early warning systems, can help to reduce the impacts of climate change on the community.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · NSW RFS · City of Wollongong

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Unanderra?

Unanderra faces risks from flooding, bushfires, heatwaves, and coastal hazards due to climate change.

How will climate change affect property values in Unanderra?

Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value due to increased climate risks.

What is the council doing to address climate change in Unanderra?

The City of Wollongong is implementing a range of measures to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and adapt to the impacts of climate change, including improving drainage infrastructure and developing a heatwave early warning system.

What can I do to prepare for climate change in Unanderra?

You can take steps to reduce your risk from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves, such as improving your home's drainage, clearing vegetation around your property, and developing a heatwave plan.

Where can I find more information about climate change risks in Unanderra?

You can find more information on the City of Wollongong website, the NSW Office of Environment and Heritage website, and the Bureau of Meteorology website.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Unanderra, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

Check Unanderra's specific flood risk and see how it compares to nearby suburbs. Enter your address for an instant risk assessment.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$69 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections