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Climate Risk in Ungarie, New South Wales

Ungarie, New South Wales· 2669
Medium Risk
Updated May 2026

Ungarie is a rural town in New South Wales that faces moderate risks from bushfires, heatwaves and flooding. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks in the coming decades. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.

Overall Risk Score

52/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
4.5
Bushfire
6.0
Heat
5.0
Coastal
1.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Ungarie

stable

Flood

45/100

Ungarie experiences some risk of flooding, primarily from local rainfall events and potential overflow from nearby creeks. The risk is moderate but can be exacerbated by poor drainage.

Key drivers:

  • ·Local rainfall patterns
  • ·Creek overflow
increasing

Bushfire

60/100

Ungarie faces a notable risk of bushfires due to the surrounding grasslands and agricultural areas. Dry conditions and strong winds can increase the likelihood and intensity of fires.

Key drivers:

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·Wind patterns
increasing

Heat

50/100

Ungarie is subject to periods of high heat, particularly during the summer months. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of heatwaves.

Key drivers:

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Regional weather patterns
stable

Coastal

10/100

Ungarie is located inland and does not face any direct coastal risks.

stable

Wind

28/100

Moderate wind risk — East Coast Lows and gust fronts

stable

Storm

39/100

Moderate storm risk — severe thunderstorms and hail

stable

Social

21/100

Moderate social stability — mixed urban density

increasing

Energy

35/100

Moderate energy costs — climate-driven cooling demand

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Ungarie

Should I Buy

Property buying guide with climate risk assessment

Flood Risk

Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections

Bushfire Risk

BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history

Climate Safety

Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050

Storm Risk

Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis

Heat Risk

Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs

Insurance Costs

Premium estimates and insurance availability

Investment Score

Climate-adjusted property investment analysis

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

50/100

Ungarie is subject to periods of high heat, particularly during the summer months. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of heatwaves.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Regional weather patterns

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

5.5

2050

6.0

Data source

flood Risk

45/100

Ungarie experiences some risk of flooding, primarily from local rainfall events and potential overflow from nearby creeks. The risk is moderate but can be exacerbated by poor drainage.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Local rainfall patterns
  • ·Creek overflow
  • ·Drainage capacity

Projections (RCP4.5)

2030

4.7

2050

5.0

Data source

coastal Risk

10/100

Ungarie is located inland and does not face any direct coastal risks.

Projections (N/A)

2030

1.0

2050

1.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

60/100

Ungarie faces a notable risk of bushfires due to the surrounding grasslands and agricultural areas. Dry conditions and strong winds can increase the likelihood and intensity of fires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·Wind patterns
  • ·Climate change

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.0

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to the rising risk of bushfires and floods.

Price Impact

Properties in areas prone to flooding or bushfires may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone area designations.
  • 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Inquire about insurance costs and coverage.
  • 4.Review local council's climate adaptation plans.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Billabong Creek
Elevation Range
200-220m
Flood Zone
Low-lying areas near Billabong Creek

Historical flood events have primarily affected low-lying areas near the creek. Improved drainage infrastructure is needed to mitigate future risks.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Adjacent to grasslands and agricultural areas
Planning Overlay
RFS Bush Fire Prone Land Map
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

The area is designated as bushfire prone. Residents should maintain firebreaks and have a bushfire survival plan.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
33°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
5 days

Heatwaves are common in summer. Residents should stay hydrated and avoid strenuous activity during peak heat hours.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
450 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Not applicable
Erosion Risk
Not applicable

Historical Climate Events

2012
floodModerate

Heavy rainfall caused flooding in low-lying areas of Ungarie, impacting some residential and agricultural properties.

Source
2017
bushfireModerate

A bushfire near Ungarie threatened several properties and required the deployment of fire crews.

Source
2019
heatwaveMajor

Ungarie experienced a prolonged heatwave with record-breaking temperatures, placing stress on the community and local infrastructure.

Source
2023
floodMinor

Localized flooding occurred after a period of intense rainfall, affecting some roads and agricultural land.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP4.5

HazardToday20302050
flood454.7(+0.2)4.9(+0.4)
bushfire606.4(+0.4)6.7(+0.7)
heat505.3(+0.3)5.9(+0.9)
coastal101.01.0

Under a moderate emissions scenario, Ungarie is projected to experience a slight increase in overall climate risk, with notable increases in bushfire and heatwave risks.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Develop a community bushfire plan

Immediate

Create a comprehensive bushfire plan that includes evacuation routes, designated safe zones, and communication protocols.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Improve drainage infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade drainage systems to reduce the risk of flooding during heavy rainfall events.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Implement a heatwave response plan

Immediate

Establish a heatwave response plan that includes public cooling centers, outreach programs for vulnerable populations, and public awareness campaigns.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Promote water conservation

Long-term

Encourage water conservation practices to mitigate the impacts of drought and ensure a sustainable water supply.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Ungarie's Climate Risk Profile

Ungarie, located in the Riverina region of New South Wales, is a small agricultural community. The primary climate risks for Ungarie include bushfires, heatwaves, and flooding. The surrounding grasslands and agricultural lands create a significant bushfire risk, particularly during the dry summer months.

Heatwaves are also a concern, with temperatures frequently exceeding 40°C during summer. Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of these heatwaves, posing a risk to vulnerable populations. Flooding can occur due to heavy rainfall events, impacting local infrastructure and agriculture.

While Ungarie is not directly exposed to coastal risks, the broader impacts of climate change, such as drought and extreme weather, can affect the region's agricultural productivity and overall economy. Adapting to these changes will be crucial for the long-term sustainability of the community.

Residents should stay informed about weather forecasts and emergency warnings, maintain their properties to reduce fire hazards, and take steps to conserve water during dry periods. Community-level planning and investment in infrastructure improvements can also help to mitigate the impacts of climate change.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · NSW RFS · NSW SES

Local Government Resources

Carrathool Shire Council

Climate StrategyFlood MapsEmergency Services

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks facing Ungarie?

Ungarie faces risks from bushfires, heatwaves, and flooding. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of these events.

How can I prepare my property for a bushfire?

Clear vegetation around your home, maintain firebreaks, and have a bushfire survival plan. Stay informed about fire danger ratings and warnings.

What should I do during a heatwave?

Stay hydrated, avoid strenuous activity during peak heat hours, and seek shelter in air-conditioned environments. Check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.

Where can I find information about flood risks in Ungarie?

Consult the local council's flood maps and emergency services websites for information about flood-prone areas and emergency procedures.

What is the council doing to address climate change?

The Carrathool Shire Council is developing strategies to adapt to climate change and reduce greenhouse gas emissions. Check the council's website for more information.

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What A$69 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

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