Climate Risk in Wallagoot, New South Wales

Wallagoot, New South Wales
Medium Risk
Updated Apr 2026

Wallagoot is a suburb in New South Wales that faces moderate climate risks. The primary concerns are flooding, bushfires, heatwaves and coastal hazards. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.

Overall Risk Score

58/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.5
Bushfire
7.0
Heat
4.5
Coastal
5.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Wallagoot

increasing

Flood

65/100

Wallagoot faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to riverine and flash flooding.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
increasing

Bushfire

70/100

The risk of bushfire in Wallagoot is high due to the surrounding bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures increase the likelihood of bushfires.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
increasing

Heat

45/100

Wallagoot experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves projected.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
  • ·Urban heat island effect
increasing

Coastal

50/100

Wallagoot faces a moderate risk from coastal hazards, including sea level rise and coastal erosion, given its proximity to the coast.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm intensity
stable

Wind

28/100

Moderate wind risk — East Coast Lows and gust fronts

stable

Storm

39/100

Moderate storm risk — severe thunderstorms and hail

stable

Social

21/100

Moderate social stability — mixed urban density

increasing

Energy

35/100

Moderate energy costs — climate-driven cooling demand

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Wallagoot

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

45/100

Wallagoot experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves projected.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

5.0

2050

5.5

Data source

flood Risk

65/100

Wallagoot faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to riverine and flash flooding.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Urban development

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.0

2050

7.5

Data source

coastal Risk

50/100

Wallagoot faces a moderate risk from coastal hazards, including sea level rise and coastal erosion, given its proximity to the coast.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm intensity

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

5.5

2050

6.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

70/100

The risk of bushfire in Wallagoot is high due to the surrounding bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures increase the likelihood of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Fuel load

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.5

2050

8.0

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums are likely to increase due to the rising risk of extreme weather events.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone area designations.
  • 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Investigate coastal erosion risks.
  • 4.Review insurance options and potential premium increases.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Wallagoot Lake
Elevation Range
5-20 meters
Flood Zone
Areas near Wallagoot Lake are susceptible to flooding.

Historical flood data indicates that properties close to the lake have experienced inundation during heavy rainfall events.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Adjacent to South East Forest National Park
Planning Overlay
RFS Bush Fire Prone Land Map
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

The area's proximity to dense bushland increases the risk of bushfires impacting residential properties.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
26.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
3 days

Average January temperatures are expected to increase, leading to more frequent heat stress events, particularly for elderly residents.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
1 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Low-lying areas near the coast are vulnerable to sea level rise.
Erosion Risk
Coastal erosion is a concern along Wallagoot Beach.

Historical Climate Events

2017
floodModerate

Heavy rainfall caused flooding in low-lying areas of Wallagoot, impacting several properties.

Source
2019
bushfireMajor

Bushfires in the region caused significant smoke haze and required evacuations in some areas of Wallagoot.

Source
2020
heatwaveModerate

A prolonged heatwave resulted in increased demand for electricity and put stress on vulnerable residents.

Source
2022
floodModerate

Significant rainfall led to localized flooding and road closures in and around Wallagoot.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood656.8(+0.3)7.1(+0.6)
bushfire707.4(+0.4)7.8(+0.8)
heat455.1(+0.6)5.5(+1.0)
coastal505.2(+0.2)5.5(+0.5)

By 2030, Wallagoot is projected to experience a moderate increase in overall climate risk. Heatwaves will become more frequent and intense, and bushfire risk will continue to rise. Flooding risk will also increase due to more intense rainfall events.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Drainage Infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade drainage systems to reduce the risk of flooding during heavy rainfall events.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Bushfire Preparedness

Immediate

Implement bushfire management strategies, including fuel reduction and community education programs.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Heatwave Action Plan

Near-term

Develop a heatwave action plan to protect vulnerable residents during extreme heat events.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Coastal Protection Measures

Long-term

Implement coastal protection measures to mitigate the impacts of sea level rise and coastal erosion.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Community Awareness Programs

Near-term

Conduct community workshops and distribute information to raise awareness about climate risks and adaptation strategies.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Wallagoot's Climate Risk Profile

Wallagoot, NSW, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The region is expected to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves, leading to increased heat stress on vulnerable populations. Changes in rainfall patterns may exacerbate flood risks, particularly in low-lying areas near waterways.

Bushfire risk is also a significant concern for Wallagoot. Drier conditions and higher temperatures contribute to a longer fire season and increased fire intensity. Residents should maintain their properties and be prepared to evacuate if necessary.

Sea level rise poses a threat to coastal areas of Wallagoot, potentially leading to erosion and inundation of low-lying properties. Planning for coastal adaptation is crucial to protect infrastructure and communities.

Addressing these climate risks requires a combination of mitigation and adaptation strategies. Reducing greenhouse gas emissions is essential to slow the pace of climate change. Local adaptation measures, such as improved drainage systems, bushfire management, and coastal protection, can help to reduce the impacts of extreme weather events. Community engagement and education are also vital to ensure that residents are aware of the risks and prepared to take action.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · NSW RFS · Bega Valley Shire Council · NSW State Emergency Service

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Wallagoot?

The main climate change risks in Wallagoot include flooding, bushfires, heatwaves, and coastal erosion due to sea level rise.

How will climate change affect property values in Wallagoot?

Properties in high-risk areas, such as those prone to flooding or bushfires, may experience a decrease in value. Insurance premiums are also likely to increase.

What can I do to prepare for bushfires in Wallagoot?

You can prepare for bushfires by maintaining your property, creating a bushfire survival plan, and staying informed about fire danger ratings and warnings.

What is the council doing to address climate change in Wallagoot?

The Bega Valley Shire Council is developing and implementing climate change strategies, including measures to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and adapt to the impacts of climate change.

Where can I find more information about flood risks in Wallagoot?

You can find more information about flood risks on the Bega Valley Shire Council website and the NSW State Emergency Service website.

Are there any community groups working on climate change in Wallagoot?

Yes, there are several community groups in the Bega Valley region that are working on climate change initiatives. Contact the Bega Valley Shire Council for more information.

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What A$69 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections