Climate Risk Profile: Wallaringa, NSW

Wallaringa, New South Wales
Medium Risk
Updated May 2026

Wallaringa faces moderate risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks in the coming decades. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.

Overall Risk Score

52/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
4.5
Bushfire
6.0
Heat
5.0
Coastal
1.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Wallaringa

increasing

Flood

45/100

Wallaringa faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential riverine flooding. The risk is influenced by the proximity to waterways and the local topography.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
increasing

Bushfire

60/100

Wallaringa has a notable risk of bushfires due to the presence of surrounding bushland and dry vegetation. Hot, dry conditions during the bushfire season exacerbate this risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures
increasing

Heat

50/100

Wallaringa is subject to increasing heatwave events and higher average temperatures, particularly during the summer months. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations.

Key drivers:

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urban heat island effect
stable

Coastal

10/100

Wallaringa has a low risk from coastal hazards due to its inland location. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not significant concerns for this suburb.

Key drivers:

  • ·Distance from coast
stable

Wind

28/100

Moderate wind risk — East Coast Lows and gust fronts

stable

Storm

39/100

Moderate storm risk — severe thunderstorms and hail

stable

Social

21/100

Moderate social stability — mixed urban density

increasing

Energy

35/100

Moderate energy costs — climate-driven cooling demand

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Wallaringa

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

50/100

Wallaringa is subject to increasing heatwave events and higher average temperatures, particularly during the summer months. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

5.5

2050

6.0

Data source

flood Risk

45/100

Wallaringa faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential riverine flooding. The risk is influenced by the proximity to waterways and the local topography.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
  • ·Climate change

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

5.0

2050

5.5

Data source

coastal Risk

10/100

Wallaringa has a low risk from coastal hazards due to its inland location. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not significant concerns for this suburb.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Distance from coast

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

1.0

2050

1.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

60/100

Wallaringa has a notable risk of bushfires due to the presence of surrounding bushland and dry vegetation. Hot, dry conditions during the bushfire season exacerbate this risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures
  • ·Strong winds

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.0

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to climate risks.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience price fluctuations.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone area designations.
  • 2.Assess property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Review insurance options and potential premium increases.
  • 4.Consider long-term climate risks when making property decisions.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Local Creeks
Elevation Range
Variable
Flood Zone
Potentially affected areas near creeks

Some properties may be at higher risk due to their proximity to waterways and low-lying areas.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Adjacent to bushland reserves
Planning Overlay
RFS Bushfire Prone Land Map
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

Residents should maintain firebreaks and be aware of fire danger ratings.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
31.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
3 days

Elderly and those with chronic illnesses are particularly vulnerable during heatwaves.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
50 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Not applicable
Erosion Risk
Not applicable

Historical Climate Events

2011
floodModerate

Heavy rainfall caused localized flooding in low-lying areas of Wallaringa.

Source
2013
bushfireModerate

A bushfire near Wallaringa threatened properties, requiring evacuations.

Source
2017
heatwaveModerate

A prolonged heatwave resulted in increased hospital admissions and strain on infrastructure.

Source
2020
bushfireMajor

The Black Summer bushfires impacted the region, with smoke and ash affecting Wallaringa.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood454.8(+0.3)5.1(+0.6)
bushfire606.4(+0.4)6.8(+0.8)
heat505.6(+0.6)6.2(+1.2)
coastal101.01.0

By 2030, Wallaringa is projected to experience a moderate increase in overall climate risk, with notable increases in flood, bushfire, and heatwave risks.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve stormwater drainage

Near-term

Upgrade stormwater infrastructure to reduce the risk of flooding during heavy rainfall events.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Implement bushfire management plans

Immediate

Develop and implement bushfire management plans to protect properties and reduce the risk of bushfires.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Promote energy-efficient building designs

Long-term

Encourage the use of energy-efficient building designs to reduce the urban heat island effect and lower energy consumption.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Develop community emergency plans

Near-term

Create community emergency plans to prepare residents for extreme weather events and ensure a coordinated response.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Wallaringa's Climate Risk Profile

Wallaringa, NSW, is exposed to a range of climate-related risks that are projected to intensify in the future. The suburb's location makes it vulnerable to flooding from heavy rainfall and nearby waterways. Bushfire risk is also significant due to the presence of surrounding bushland, which can become highly flammable during dry periods. Additionally, Wallaringa is susceptible to heatwaves, with rising average temperatures posing a threat to public health, especially for vulnerable populations.

The increasing frequency and intensity of extreme weather events are driven by climate change, with rising temperatures and altered rainfall patterns contributing to higher risks. Urban development and land use changes can also exacerbate these risks, particularly in relation to flooding and heatwaves. It is crucial for residents and local authorities to take proactive measures to mitigate these risks and adapt to the changing climate.

To address these challenges, a range of adaptation strategies can be implemented. These include improving stormwater drainage systems to reduce flood risk, implementing bushfire management plans to protect properties, and promoting energy-efficient building designs to reduce the urban heat island effect. Community awareness and preparedness are also essential, with residents encouraged to develop emergency plans and stay informed about potential hazards.

By taking proactive steps to address climate risks, Wallaringa can enhance its resilience and protect its community from the impacts of climate change. This requires a collaborative effort involving residents, local government, and other stakeholders to implement effective adaptation strategies and build a more sustainable future.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · NSW RFS · NSW SES

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks facing Wallaringa?

Wallaringa faces risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves, which are expected to increase due to climate change.

How can I prepare my property for bushfires?

Clear vegetation around your home, maintain firebreaks, and have a bushfire survival plan.

What should I do during a heatwave?

Stay indoors, drink plenty of water, and check on vulnerable neighbors.

Where can I find information about local flood risks?

Check the council's flood maps and the SES website for information about flood-prone areas.

How is the local council addressing climate change?

The council is developing and implementing a climate strategy to reduce emissions and adapt to climate risks.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Wallaringa, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

Check Wallaringa's specific flood risk and see how it compares to nearby suburbs. Enter your address for an instant risk assessment.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$69 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections