ClimateNest
ClimateNest

Climate Risk Profile: Werrington, NSW

Werrington, New South Wales· Penrith· 2747
Medium Risk
Updated Apr 2026

Werrington faces moderate risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves, which are expected to increase with climate change. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.

Overall Risk Score

58/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.5
Bushfire
4.2
Heat
7.0
Coastal
1.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Werrington

increasing

Flood

65/100

Werrington faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
increasing

Bushfire

42/100

Werrington has a moderate bushfire risk due to the presence of surrounding bushland. Hotter and drier conditions are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
increasing

Heat

70/100

Werrington experiences a high risk of heatwaves, particularly during summer. Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of heatwaves, posing a threat to vulnerable populations.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect
stable

Coastal

10/100

Werrington is located inland and does not face a direct risk from coastal hazards such as sea level rise or coastal erosion.

stable

Wind

28/100

Moderate wind risk — East Coast Lows and gust fronts

stable

Storm

39/100

Moderate storm risk — severe thunderstorms and hail

stable

Social

21/100

Moderate social stability — mixed urban density

increasing

Energy

35/100

Moderate energy costs — climate-driven cooling demand

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Werrington

Should I Buy

Property buying guide with climate risk assessment

Flood Risk

Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections

Bushfire Risk

BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history

Climate Safety

Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050

Storm Risk

Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis

Heat Risk

Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs

Insurance Costs

Premium estimates and insurance availability

Investment Score

Climate-adjusted property investment analysis

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

70/100

Werrington experiences a high risk of heatwaves, particularly during summer. Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of heatwaves, posing a threat to vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect
  • ·Ageing population

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.5

2050

8.0

Data source

flood Risk

65/100

Werrington faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
  • ·Inadequate drainage infrastructure

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.0

2050

7.5

Data source

coastal Risk

10/100

Werrington is located inland and does not face a direct risk from coastal hazards such as sea level rise or coastal erosion.

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

1.0

2050

1.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

42/100

Werrington has a moderate bushfire risk due to the presence of surrounding bushland. Hotter and drier conditions are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Fuel load

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.7

2050

5.2

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to increased flood and bushfire risk.

Price Impact

Property values may be negatively impacted by increased climate risks.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone area designations.
  • 2.Assess property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Review insurance options and potential premium increases.
  • 4.Consider energy efficiency upgrades to reduce cooling costs.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Nepean River
Elevation Range
30-60m
Flood Zone
Partially within a 1 in 100 year flood zone

Some areas of Werrington are prone to flash flooding during heavy rainfall events.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Adjacent to bushland reserves
Planning Overlay
Bushfire prone land overlay applies
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

Residents should maintain fire breaks and clear vegetation around their homes.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
31.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
5 days

Western Sydney experiences higher temperatures than coastal areas due to the urban heat island effect.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
50 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Not applicable
Erosion Risk
Not applicable

Historical Climate Events

1990
floodModerate

Major flooding along the Nepean River affected low-lying areas of Werrington.

Source
2001
bushfireModerate

Bushfires in the surrounding areas threatened Werrington, requiring residents to be on alert.

Source
2011
floodModerate

Heavy rainfall caused flash flooding in Werrington, inundating some properties.

Source
2013
heatwaveModerate

Prolonged heatwave conditions led to increased demand for electricity and placed stress on vulnerable residents.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood656.8(+0.3)7.1(+0.6)
bushfire424.4(+0.2)4.7(+0.5)
heat707.8(+0.8)8.5(+1.5)
coastal101.01.0

By 2030, Werrington is projected to experience a moderate increase in overall climate risk, driven primarily by more frequent and intense heatwaves. Flood and bushfire risks are also expected to increase slightly.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Drainage Infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce the risk of flash flooding.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Bushfire Preparedness

Immediate

Implement community education programs and assist residents in preparing their properties for bushfires.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Heatwave Management Plan

Immediate

Develop and implement a heatwave management plan to protect vulnerable residents during extreme heat events.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Promote Water Conservation

Long-term

Encourage water conservation measures to reduce water stress during periods of drought and heatwaves.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Werrington's Climate Risk Profile

Werrington, located in Western Sydney, is susceptible to several climate-related risks. The suburb's proximity to waterways increases its vulnerability to flooding, particularly during periods of heavy rainfall. Climate change is expected to exacerbate this risk, with projections indicating more intense rainfall events in the future.

Bushfire risk is also a concern for Werrington, given the presence of surrounding bushland. Hotter and drier conditions, driven by climate change, are likely to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires in the region. Residents should be aware of bushfire safety measures and maintain their properties to reduce fuel loads.

Heatwaves pose a significant threat to Werrington, especially during the summer months. Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of heatwaves, potentially leading to heat stress and other health problems, particularly among vulnerable populations such as the elderly and those with chronic illnesses.

While Werrington is not directly exposed to coastal hazards, the broader impacts of climate change, such as disruptions to supply chains and infrastructure, could still affect the suburb. It is essential for residents and local authorities to take proactive steps to adapt to the changing climate and mitigate its potential impacts.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · NSW State Emergency Service · Penrith City Council

Local Government Resources

Penrith City Council

Climate StrategyFlood MapsEmergency Services

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks for Werrington?

Werrington faces increasing risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves due to climate change. These risks are projected to worsen in the future.

How can I prepare my home for a bushfire in Werrington?

Clear vegetation around your home, maintain fire breaks, and have a bushfire survival plan in place. Stay informed about bushfire alerts and warnings.

What should I do during a heatwave in Werrington?

Stay indoors in air-conditioned environments, drink plenty of water, and avoid strenuous activities. Check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.

Where can I find information about flood risks in Werrington?

Penrith City Council provides flood maps and information on its website. You can also contact the NSW State Emergency Service for assistance.

Is Werrington likely to experience water shortages in the future?

Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and severity of droughts, potentially leading to water shortages. Conserving water is essential to ensure a sustainable water supply.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Werrington, use our analysis tool.

Analyse a Property in Werrington →

Check Your flood Risk Now

Check Werrington's specific flood risk and see how it compares to nearby suburbs. Enter your address for an instant risk assessment.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data
Get Your flood Risk Report — A$69

What A$69 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections