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Climate Risk in Winton, NSW

Winton, New South Wales
Medium Risk
Updated May 2026

Winton, NSW, faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding and heatwaves. Bushfire risk is also a consideration. Residents should prepare for increasing extreme weather events in the future.

Overall Risk Score

58/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.5
Bushfire
4.2
Heat
7.0
Coastal
1.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Winton

increasing

Flood

65/100

Winton faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its location and rainfall patterns. Local waterways and historical flood events contribute to this risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
stable

Bushfire

42/100

The bushfire risk in Winton is moderate, influenced by surrounding vegetation and dry conditions during certain times of the year.

Key drivers:

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures
increasing

Heat

70/100

Winton experiences a high risk of heatwaves and extreme heat events, particularly during the summer months. Climate change is expected to exacerbate this risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urban heat island effect
stable

Coastal

10/100

Winton is not located near the coast, therefore the risk of coastal hazards is very low.

Key drivers:

  • ·Distance from coast
stable

Wind

28/100

Moderate wind risk — East Coast Lows and gust fronts

stable

Storm

39/100

Moderate storm risk — severe thunderstorms and hail

stable

Social

21/100

Moderate social stability — mixed urban density

increasing

Energy

35/100

Moderate energy costs — climate-driven cooling demand

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Winton

Should I Buy

Property buying guide with climate risk assessment

Flood Risk

Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections

Bushfire Risk

BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history

Climate Safety

Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050

Storm Risk

Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis

Heat Risk

Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs

Insurance Costs

Premium estimates and insurance availability

Investment Score

Climate-adjusted property investment analysis

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

70/100

Winton experiences a high risk of heatwaves and extreme heat events, particularly during the summer months. Climate change is expected to exacerbate this risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urban heat island effect
  • ·Increasing global temperatures

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.5

2050

8.0

Data source

flood Risk

65/100

Winton faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its location and rainfall patterns. Local waterways and historical flood events contribute to this risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
  • ·Climate change

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.0

2050

7.5

Data source

coastal Risk

10/100

Winton is not located near the coast, therefore the risk of coastal hazards is very low.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Distance from coast

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

1.0

2050

1.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

42/100

The bushfire risk in Winton is moderate, influenced by surrounding vegetation and dry conditions during certain times of the year.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures
  • ·Wind patterns

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.5

2050

4.8

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to flood and heatwave risks.

Price Impact

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
  • 2.Assess bushfire risk and implement mitigation measures.
  • 3.Ensure adequate insulation and cooling systems for heatwaves.
  • 4.Review insurance coverage for climate-related risks.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Local creeks and rivers
Elevation Range
Moderate
Flood Zone
Areas near waterways

Historical flood data indicates that properties near the creek are most vulnerable.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Within 5km
Planning Overlay
RFS Bushfire Prone Land Overlay
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

Properties adjacent to bushland areas require adequate fire protection measures.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
35°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
5 days

The number of days exceeding 35°C is projected to increase in the future.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
300 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Not applicable
Erosion Risk
Not applicable

Historical Climate Events

2011
floodModerate

Significant flooding occurred in the region, impacting low-lying areas and causing property damage.

Source
2013
bushfireModerate

Bushfires impacted areas surrounding Winton, leading to evacuations and property loss.

Source
2017
heatwaveMajor

A prolonged heatwave resulted in record-breaking temperatures and increased demand on emergency services.

Source
2020
droughtModerate

Prolonged drought conditions affected agricultural activities and water resources in the region.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood656.8(+0.3)7.1(+0.6)
bushfire424.3(+0.1)4.4(+0.2)
heat707.6(+0.6)8.5(+1.5)
coastal101.01.0

By 2030, Winton is projected to experience a notable increase in heatwave frequency and intensity, along with a moderate rise in flood risk due to more intense rainfall events. Bushfire risk is expected to remain relatively stable.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Flood Defenses

Near-term

Invest in infrastructure to mitigate flood risk, such as improved drainage systems and levees.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Enhance Bushfire Preparedness

Near-term

Implement bushfire mitigation measures, such as vegetation management and community education programs.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Develop Heatwave Action Plan

Immediate

Create a heatwave action plan to protect vulnerable populations during extreme heat events.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Promote Water Conservation

Long-term

Implement water conservation measures to address potential water shortages during drought periods.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Winton's Climate Risk Profile

Winton, located in New South Wales, is exposed to several climate-related risks that are projected to intensify in the coming decades. The most significant threats include increased flooding due to more intense rainfall events and a higher frequency of heatwaves during the summer months.

The risk of flooding is driven by both natural factors, such as the proximity to local waterways, and human-induced factors, including urban development that can exacerbate runoff. Climate change is expected to further increase rainfall intensity, leading to more frequent and severe flood events.

Bushfire risk is also a concern, particularly during dry periods. While not as high as flood or heat risk, the surrounding vegetation can pose a threat during bushfire season. Residents should stay informed about fire danger ratings and have a bushfire survival plan in place.

Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense due to climate change. This poses a significant risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions. Taking steps to stay cool during heatwaves is crucial for protecting health.

Coastal risks are minimal due to Winton's inland location. However, the broader impacts of climate change, such as disruptions to supply chains and economic activity, could still affect the community.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · NSW SES · NSW RFS

Local Government Resources

Example Council

Climate StrategyFlood MapsEmergency Services

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks facing Winton?

The main climate risks facing Winton are increased flooding due to more intense rainfall events and a higher frequency of heatwaves during the summer months. Bushfire risk is also a concern.

How is the local council addressing climate change?

The Example Council has developed a climate strategy that outlines actions to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and adapt to the impacts of climate change. This includes investing in flood mitigation infrastructure and promoting water conservation.

What can residents do to prepare for heatwaves?

Residents can prepare for heatwaves by staying informed about weather forecasts, drinking plenty of water, staying in air-conditioned environments, and checking on vulnerable neighbors.

Where can I find information about bushfire risks in Winton?

Information about bushfire risks in Winton can be found on the NSW Rural Fire Service website and through local council resources.

Are there any government grants available for climate adaptation measures?

Government grants may be available for climate adaptation measures, such as installing rainwater tanks or improving home insulation. Check the websites of relevant government agencies for more information.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Winton, use our analysis tool.

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