Climate Risk Profile for Wyoming, NSW

Wyoming, New South Wales· Central Coast· 2250
Medium Risk
Updated May 2026

Wyoming faces moderate risks from flooding and heatwaves, with bushfire risk also present. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks, particularly increasing the intensity of heatwaves and rainfall. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.

Overall Risk Score

55/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.0
Bushfire
4.0
Heat
7.0
Coastal
1.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Wyoming

increasing

Flood

60/100

Wyoming faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
increasing

Bushfire

40/100

Wyoming has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding bushland. Hotter, drier conditions are projected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Decreased rainfall
increasing

Heat

70/100

Wyoming is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
  • ·Urban heat island effect
increasing

Coastal

10/100

Wyoming is not directly on the coast and has a low risk from coastal hazards. Sea level rise may indirectly affect the suburb through impacts on nearby coastal areas.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surges
stable

Wind

28/100

Moderate wind risk — East Coast Lows and gust fronts

stable

Storm

39/100

Moderate storm risk — severe thunderstorms and hail

stable

Social

21/100

Moderate social stability — mixed urban density

increasing

Energy

35/100

Moderate energy costs — climate-driven cooling demand

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Wyoming

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

70/100

Wyoming is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.5

2050

8.0

Data source

flood Risk

60/100

Wyoming faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Urban development

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.0

Data source

coastal Risk

10/100

Wyoming is not directly on the coast and has a low risk from coastal hazards. Sea level rise may indirectly affect the suburb through impacts on nearby coastal areas.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surges

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

1.5

2050

2.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

40/100

Wyoming has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding bushland. Hotter, drier conditions are projected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Decreased rainfall
  • ·Dry vegetation

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.5

2050

5.0

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to increased flood and bushfire risk.

Price Impact

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone areas.
  • 2.Assess property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Review insurance options and costs.
  • 4.Consider future climate projections when making purchasing decisions.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Narara Creek
Elevation Range
5-50 meters
Flood Zone
Parts of Wyoming are within a designated flood zone.

Historical flood data indicates that parts of Wyoming have experienced flooding in the past.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Adjacent to bushland reserves
Planning Overlay
Wyoming is partially covered by bushfire prone land overlay.
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

Check NSW RFS website for specific property risk.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
29°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
3 days

Elderly and those with chronic illnesses are most at risk during heatwaves.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
8 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Low
Erosion Risk
Low

Historical Climate Events

2007
floodModerate

Heavy rainfall caused flooding in parts of Wyoming, affecting some residential areas.

Source
2013
bushfireMinor

A bushfire near Wyoming caused some property damage and required evacuation of residents.

Source
2017
stormModerate

A severe storm caused damage to trees and powerlines in Wyoming, leading to power outages.

Source
2019
heatwaveModerate

Wyoming experienced a prolonged heatwave with temperatures exceeding 40 degrees Celsius for several days.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood606.5(+0.5)7.0(+1.0)
bushfire404.5(+0.5)5.0(+1.0)
heat708.0(+1.0)9.0(+2.0)
coastal101.2(+0.2)1.5(+0.5)

By 2030, Wyoming is projected to experience a notable increase in heatwave intensity and frequency, along with a moderate increase in flood and bushfire risk. Coastal risks remain relatively low.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Flood Defenses

Near-term

Invest in infrastructure to mitigate flood risk, such as improved drainage systems and levees.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Bushfire Preparedness

Near-term

Implement bushfire management strategies, including vegetation clearing and community education programs.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Heatwave Action Plan

Immediate

Develop and implement a heatwave action plan to protect vulnerable populations during extreme heat events.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Community Awareness Programs

Long-term

Educate residents about climate change risks and adaptation measures.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Wyoming's Climate Risk Profile

Wyoming, located on the Central Coast of New South Wales, is susceptible to several climate-related hazards. The suburb's proximity to waterways increases its vulnerability to flooding, which is projected to worsen with increased rainfall intensity due to climate change.

Bushfire risk is also a concern, given the surrounding bushland. Hotter and drier conditions are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires, posing a threat to properties and residents.

Heatwaves are another significant hazard, with Wyoming likely to experience more frequent and intense heat events. This can lead to heat stress and other health problems, especially for vulnerable populations.

While coastal risks are relatively low, sea level rise could indirectly affect Wyoming through impacts on nearby coastal areas. It is important for residents to stay informed and take steps to prepare for these climate-related hazards.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · NSW RFS · NSW SES · Central Coast Council

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Wyoming?

The main climate change risks in Wyoming are increased heatwaves, flooding, and bushfire risk. Sea level rise may also indirectly affect the suburb.

How can I prepare for heatwaves in Wyoming?

Stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and check on vulnerable neighbors during heatwaves. Follow advice from NSW Health.

What should I do to prepare for a bushfire?

Clear vegetation around your property, have a bushfire survival plan, and monitor the NSW RFS website for alerts.

Where can I find information about flood risks in Wyoming?

Check the Central Coast Council website for flood maps and information about flood risks in your area.

How is the Central Coast Council addressing climate change?

The Central Coast Council has a climate strategy that outlines actions to reduce emissions and adapt to the impacts of climate change.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Wyoming, use our analysis tool.

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What A$69 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections