Climate Risk in Yarrawonga Park, NSW

Yarrawonga Park, New South Wales
Medium Risk
Updated May 2026

Yarrawonga Park faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding and heatwaves. These risks are projected to increase in the future due to climate change. Residents should take steps to prepare for these hazards.

Overall Risk Score

52/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.5
Bushfire
4.0
Heat
6.0
Coastal
4.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Yarrawonga Park

increasing

Flood

65/100

Yarrawonga Park faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
increasing

Bushfire

40/100

The area around Yarrawonga Park has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding vegetation. Hotter, drier conditions are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
increasing

Heat

60/100

Yarrawonga Park is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
  • ·Urban heat island effect
increasing

Coastal

40/100

Yarrawonga Park faces a low risk from coastal hazards. Sea level rise and storm surges could lead to erosion and inundation in some areas.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surges
stable

Wind

28/100

Moderate wind risk — East Coast Lows and gust fronts

stable

Storm

39/100

Moderate storm risk — severe thunderstorms and hail

stable

Social

21/100

Moderate social stability — mixed urban density

increasing

Energy

35/100

Moderate energy costs — climate-driven cooling demand

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Yarrawonga Park

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

60/100

Yarrawonga Park is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.0

Data source

flood Risk

65/100

Yarrawonga Park faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Urban development

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.0

2050

7.5

Data source

coastal Risk

40/100

Yarrawonga Park faces a low risk from coastal hazards. Sea level rise and storm surges could lead to erosion and inundation in some areas.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surges

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.5

2050

5.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

40/100

The area around Yarrawonga Park has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding vegetation. Hotter, drier conditions are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Fuel load

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.5

2050

5.0

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to climate risks.

Price Impact

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience price reductions.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps
  • 2.Assess bushfire risk
  • 3.Consider heat mitigation measures
  • 4.Review insurance options

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Local River
Elevation Range
5-15m
Flood Zone
Partially within flood zone

Some properties are located in areas prone to flash flooding.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
500m
Planning Overlay
RFS Bushfire Prone Land
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

Properties on the outskirts of the suburb are at higher risk.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
32°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
3 days

Urban areas experience higher temperatures due to the urban heat island effect.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
50 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Low
Erosion Risk
Low

Historical Climate Events

2011
floodModerate

Major flooding event impacted the region, causing property damage and displacement.

Source
2013
bushfireMinor

Bushfire near the suburb, but no major damage occurred.

Source
2017
heatwaveModerate

Prolonged heatwave with temperatures exceeding 40 degrees Celsius.

Source
2020
floodMinor

Localized flooding due to heavy rainfall.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood657.0(+0.5)7.5(+1.0)
bushfire404.3(+0.3)4.5(+0.5)
heat606.7(+0.7)7.2(+1.2)
coastal404.2(+0.2)4.3(+0.3)

By 2030, Yarrawonga Park is projected to experience a moderate increase in overall climate risk, with notable increases in flood and heatwave risks.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Flood Defenses

Near-term

Invest in flood barriers and drainage improvements to protect properties from flooding.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Develop a Heat Action Plan

Immediate

Create a community heat action plan to protect vulnerable residents during heatwaves.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Bushfire Preparedness

Near-term

Implement bushfire mitigation strategies, including vegetation management and community education.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Upgrade Infrastructure

Long-term

Upgrade critical infrastructure to withstand extreme weather events.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

About Yarrawonga Park's Climate Risk Profile

Yarrawonga Park, located in New South Wales, is susceptible to a range of climate-related hazards. The primary concerns are flooding, heatwaves, and bushfires, with coastal risks being less prominent but still relevant.

Flooding is a significant concern due to the suburb's proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Increased rainfall intensity, driven by climate change, is expected to exacerbate flood risks. Residents should be aware of flood warnings and have evacuation plans in place.

Heatwaves are also a growing threat, with projections indicating more frequent and intense heat events. This poses a particular risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions. Access to cooling centers and strategies for staying hydrated are essential.

Bushfire risk is moderate, with surrounding vegetation posing a potential fuel source. Hotter, drier conditions are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires. Residents should maintain their properties and be prepared to evacuate if necessary.

While coastal risks are relatively low, sea level rise and storm surges could still lead to erosion and inundation in some areas. It's important to monitor coastal conditions and take appropriate precautions.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · NSW RFS · NSW SES

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks in Yarrawonga Park?

The main climate risks are flooding, heatwaves, and bushfires. Coastal risks are less prominent but still relevant.

How is climate change expected to impact Yarrawonga Park?

Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of flooding, heatwaves, and bushfires.

What can I do to prepare for climate change in Yarrawonga Park?

You can take steps to protect your property from flooding and bushfires, and develop a plan for staying safe during heatwaves.

Where can I find more information about climate change in Yarrawonga Park?

You can find more information on the local council website and the websites of state emergency services.

Will climate change affect property values in Yarrawonga Park?

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience price reductions. Insurance premiums may also increase due to climate risks.

Get your property's risk report

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What A$69 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections