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Climate Risk in Yathella, New South Wales

Yathella, New South Wales
Medium Risk
Updated May 2026

Yathella faces moderate risks from flooding and heatwaves, with bushfire risk also present. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks, particularly heatwaves and flooding. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.

Overall Risk Score

58/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.5
Bushfire
4.2
Heat
7.1
Coastal
1.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Yathella

increasing

Flood

65/100

Yathella faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to riverine and flash flooding.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
stable

Bushfire

42/100

The risk of bushfires in Yathella is moderate, given the presence of surrounding bushland. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can exacerbate the risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures
increasing

Heat

71/100

Yathella is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.

Key drivers:

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urban heat island effect
stable

Coastal

10/100

Yathella is not directly exposed to coastal risks such as sea level rise and coastal erosion due to its inland location.

Key drivers:

  • ·Distance from coast
stable

Wind

28/100

Moderate wind risk — East Coast Lows and gust fronts

stable

Storm

39/100

Moderate storm risk — severe thunderstorms and hail

stable

Social

21/100

Moderate social stability — mixed urban density

increasing

Energy

35/100

Moderate energy costs — climate-driven cooling demand

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Yathella

Should I Buy

Property buying guide with climate risk assessment

Flood Risk

Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections

Bushfire Risk

BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history

Climate Safety

Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050

Storm Risk

Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis

Heat Risk

Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs

Insurance Costs

Premium estimates and insurance availability

Investment Score

Climate-adjusted property investment analysis

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

71/100

Yathella is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.8

2050

8.5

Data source

flood Risk

65/100

Yathella faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to riverine and flash flooding.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
  • ·Climate change

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.0

2050

7.5

Data source

coastal Risk

10/100

Yathella is not directly exposed to coastal risks such as sea level rise and coastal erosion due to its inland location.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Distance from coast

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

1.0

2050

1.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

42/100

The risk of bushfires in Yathella is moderate, given the presence of surrounding bushland. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can exacerbate the risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures
  • ·Windy conditions

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.5

2050

4.8

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to the increased risk of flooding and other extreme weather events.

Price Impact

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
  • 2.Assess the property's bushfire risk.
  • 3.Consider the potential impact of heatwaves on the property.
  • 4.Ensure adequate insurance coverage.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Local Creeks
Elevation Range
50-70m
Flood Zone
Partially within flood zone

Historical flood data indicates that some properties in low-lying areas have been affected by flooding in the past.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Within 1km
Planning Overlay
RFS Bushfire Prone Land
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

Properties located on the urban fringe are at higher risk of bushfire.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
32.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
3 days

The number of days exceeding 35°C is projected to increase in the coming decades.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
150 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Not applicable
Erosion Risk
Not applicable

Historical Climate Events

2011
floodModerate

Major flooding occurred in the region, impacting some properties in Yathella.

Source
2013
bushfireMinor

A bushfire near Yathella caused some property damage and required evacuations.

Source
2017
heatwaveModerate

A prolonged heatwave resulted in increased hospital admissions and strain on infrastructure.

Source
2020
bushfireMajor

The Black Summer bushfires impacted air quality and caused widespread concern in Yathella.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood656.8(+0.3)7.2(+0.7)
bushfire424.3(+0.1)4.5(+0.3)
heat717.9(+0.8)8.6(+1.5)
coastal101.01.0

By 2030, Yathella is projected to experience a notable increase in heatwave intensity and frequency, along with a moderate increase in flood risk. Bushfire risk is expected to remain relatively stable. Coastal risks will remain negligible.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Flood Defenses

Near-term

Invest in infrastructure to mitigate flood risk, such as levees and improved drainage systems.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Develop a Heat Action Plan

Immediate

Implement a heat action plan to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Bushfire Preparedness

Near-term

Implement community education programs on bushfire preparedness and evacuation procedures.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Upgrade Building Codes

Long-term

Update building codes to ensure that new buildings are more resilient to extreme weather events.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

About Yathella's Climate Risk Profile

Yathella, located in New South Wales, is subject to a range of climate-related risks. The primary concerns are flooding, heatwaves, and bushfires. The suburb's proximity to waterways increases its vulnerability to flooding during periods of heavy rainfall. Climate change is projected to increase the intensity and frequency of extreme rainfall events, further elevating the flood risk.

Heatwaves are another significant concern for Yathella. As temperatures rise, the risk of heat stress and heatstroke increases, particularly among vulnerable populations. The urban environment can exacerbate the effects of heatwaves due to the urban heat island effect.

Bushfires pose a moderate risk to Yathella, especially during the dry summer months. The presence of surrounding bushland increases the likelihood of bushfires impacting the suburb. Residents should be aware of bushfire safety measures and have a plan in place in case of a fire.

While Yathella is not directly exposed to coastal risks, the broader impacts of climate change, such as disruptions to supply chains and infrastructure, could still affect the suburb. It is important for residents and local authorities to take proactive steps to adapt to the changing climate and mitigate the risks.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · NSW SES · NSW RFS

Local Government Resources

UNKNOWN

Climate StrategyFlood MapsEmergency Services

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks facing Yathella?

The main climate risks facing Yathella are flooding, heatwaves, and bushfires. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks.

How will climate change affect property values in Yathella?

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value. Increased insurance premiums may also affect property values.

What is the council doing to address climate change?

The council is developing a climate strategy to reduce emissions and adapt to the impacts of climate change. Specific details can be found on the council website.

How can I prepare for a heatwave in Yathella?

Stay indoors in air-conditioned buildings, drink plenty of water, and check on vulnerable neighbors. Follow the advice of local health authorities.

What should I do if a bushfire threatens Yathella?

Follow the advice of the NSW Rural Fire Service. Have a bushfire survival plan in place and be prepared to evacuate if necessary.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Yathella, use our analysis tool.

Analyse a Property in Yathella →

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