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Climate Risk in Yerong Creek, New South Wales

Yerong Creek, New South Wales· 2650
Medium Risk
Updated May 2026

Yerong Creek faces increasing risks from bushfires, heatwaves and flooding. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these hazards, potentially impacting property values and community well-being. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.

Overall Risk Score

52/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
4.5
Bushfire
6.0
Heat
5.0
Coastal
1.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Yerong Creek

increasing

Flood

45/100

Yerong Creek faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and the potential for flash flooding due to its local topography.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Changes in land use
increasing

Bushfire

60/100

The area around Yerong Creek has a high bushfire risk due to the presence of surrounding bushland and dry conditions, particularly during the summer months.

Key drivers:

  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Increased fuel load
increasing

Heat

50/100

Yerong Creek is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves, increasing the risk of heat stress for vulnerable populations.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect
stable

Coastal

10/100

Yerong Creek is not directly exposed to coastal risks.

stable

Wind

28/100

Moderate wind risk — East Coast Lows and gust fronts

stable

Storm

39/100

Moderate storm risk — severe thunderstorms and hail

stable

Social

21/100

Moderate social stability — mixed urban density

increasing

Energy

35/100

Moderate energy costs — climate-driven cooling demand

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Yerong Creek

Should I Buy

Property buying guide with climate risk assessment

Flood Risk

Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections

Bushfire Risk

BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history

Climate Safety

Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050

Storm Risk

Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis

Heat Risk

Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs

Insurance Costs

Premium estimates and insurance availability

Investment Score

Climate-adjusted property investment analysis

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

50/100

Yerong Creek is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves, increasing the risk of heat stress for vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

5.5

2050

6.0

Data source

flood Risk

45/100

Yerong Creek faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and the potential for flash flooding due to its local topography.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Changes in land use
  • ·Aging drainage infrastructure

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

5.0

2050

5.5

Data source

coastal Risk

10/100

Yerong Creek is not directly exposed to coastal risks.

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

1.0

2050

1.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

60/100

The area around Yerong Creek has a high bushfire risk due to the presence of surrounding bushland and dry conditions, particularly during the summer months.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Increased fuel load
  • ·More frequent heatwaves

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.0

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums are likely to increase due to the rising risks of bushfires and floods.

Price Impact

Property values may be negatively impacted by increasing climate risks.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone area designations.
  • 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Inquire about insurance costs and coverage.
  • 4.Review emergency preparedness plans.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Yerong Creek
Elevation Range
200-250m
Flood Zone
Areas near the creek are susceptible to flooding.

Local topography contributes to the risk of flash flooding during heavy rainfall.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Adjacent to significant bushland areas.
Planning Overlay
Refer to NSW RFS for bushfire prone area mapping.
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

The area has a history of bushfire activity.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
32°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
3 days

Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
400 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Not applicable.
Erosion Risk
Not applicable.

Historical Climate Events

2012
floodModerate

Heavy rainfall caused flooding in low-lying areas of Yerong Creek.

Source
2017
bushfireModerate

A bushfire near Yerong Creek threatened properties and required evacuations.

Source
2019
heatwaveModerate

Yerong Creek experienced a prolonged heatwave with record-breaking temperatures.

Source
2023
floodMinor

Localized flooding occurred after a period of intense rainfall.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood454.8(+0.3)5.1(+0.6)
bushfire606.4(+0.4)6.8(+0.8)
heat505.6(+0.6)6.2(+1.2)
coastal101.01.0

By 2030, Yerong Creek is projected to experience a notable increase in heatwave frequency and intensity, along with a heightened risk of bushfires due to drier conditions. Flooding risks are also expected to rise due to more intense rainfall events.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Upgrade Drainage Infrastructure

Near-term

Improve drainage systems to mitigate the risk of flash flooding during heavy rainfall events.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Implement Bushfire Management Plan

Immediate

Develop and implement a comprehensive bushfire management plan, including fuel reduction and community education programs.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Establish Cooling Centers

Near-term

Create designated cooling centers to provide refuge for vulnerable populations during heatwaves.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Promote Water Conservation

Long-term

Encourage water conservation practices to reduce water stress during periods of drought and heatwaves.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Community Education Programs

Near-term

Educate residents about climate risks and adaptation strategies.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Yerong Creek's Climate Risk Profile

Yerong Creek, located in New South Wales, is facing increasing climate-related challenges. The primary concerns are rising temperatures, increased bushfire risk, and more frequent flooding events. These changes are driven by global climate change and are expected to intensify in the coming decades.

The risk of bushfires is a significant concern for Yerong Creek. The surrounding bushland creates a high fuel load, and drier conditions combined with more frequent heatwaves increase the likelihood of severe bushfires. Residents need to be prepared for potential evacuations and property damage.

Flooding is another growing threat. Heavy rainfall events can lead to flash flooding, particularly in low-lying areas. Aging drainage infrastructure may exacerbate the problem, requiring upgrades to mitigate the risk.

Rising temperatures and more frequent heatwaves pose a health risk, especially for vulnerable populations such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions. Access to cooling centers and community awareness programs are essential to protect residents during extreme heat events.

While Yerong Creek is not directly exposed to coastal hazards, the broader impacts of climate change, such as disruptions to supply chains and economic activity, can still affect the community. Adapting to these changes requires a proactive approach, including community education, infrastructure upgrades, and emergency preparedness planning.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · NSW RFS · NSW SES

Local Government Resources

UNKNOWN

Climate StrategyFlood MapsEmergency Services

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks for Yerong Creek?

The main risks are increased bushfire risk, more frequent and intense heatwaves, and a higher chance of flooding due to heavy rainfall.

How will climate change affect property values in Yerong Creek?

Increasing climate risks may negatively impact property values due to higher insurance costs and potential damage from extreme weather events.

What can I do to prepare for bushfires in Yerong Creek?

Clear vegetation around your property, develop a bushfire survival plan, and stay informed about fire danger ratings.

Where can I find information about flood risks in Yerong Creek?

Contact the local council or refer to the NSW State Emergency Service for flood maps and information.

How can I stay safe during a heatwave in Yerong Creek?

Stay hydrated, seek shelter in air-conditioned buildings, and check on vulnerable neighbors.

Is Yerong Creek likely to experience water shortages in the future?

Climate change may lead to more frequent droughts, so it's important to conserve water and use it efficiently.

Get your property's risk report

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2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
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30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

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